The news that Tom Brady is leaving the New England Patriots rocked the football world earlier this morning. It also had quite a profound impact on some NFL futures markets at DraftKings Sportsbook.
After it broke that Brady would continue his career elsewhere this upcoming season, DraftKings immediately pulled Patriots-related markets, including team win totals, division odds, championship odds, and 2021 Super Bowl odds. Those odds have since been updated, and while New England remains the betting favorite, its odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy next February took quite the hit.
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Tom Brady’s Influence on Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Check out this shift in AFC East Division Odds:
- Patriots moved from -278 to -110
- Bills moved from +325 to +150
- Jets moved from +1200 to +900
- Dolphins moved from +1600 to +1000
The Bills, a playoff team a season ago, have closed the gap significantly. The Brady news is the primary factor at play, obviously, but the Bills’ acquisition of wide receiver Stefon Diggs also provided a boost to their odds.
The Dolphins, though considered an AFC East longshot, have also seen their odds take a significant jump, spurred by the additions of Byron Jones, Kyle Van Noy, Shaq Lawson, Ereck Flowers, Emmanuel Ogbah, and Jordan Howard.
Other DraftKings Sportsbook NFL Futures Odds
Beyond the AFC East, the Patriots are still among the AFC teams with the best odds to win the Super Bowl. They trail only the Chiefs (+600) and Ravens (+750) in the AFC, while the 49ers (+900) and Saints (+1200) remain ahead out of the NFC.
As for the impact of Brady’s potential move to Tampa Bay, the news has vaulted the Bucs (+350) ahead of the Falcons and Panthers to win the NFC South, though they still comfortably trail the Saints at -150. That, however, has not stopped DraftKings bettors from backing Tampa Bay. The market has been bullish on the Bucs to win the Super Bowl as it is the top bet of the day, both in terms of handle and number of bets.
Locally in markets such as Pennsylvania and New Jersey, the Eagles (+120) are holding as a slight favorite to win the NFC East ahead of the Cowboys (+130). Dallas solidified its offensive core on Monday with news coming that the team applied the franchise tag to quarterback Dak Prescott and locked up wide receiver Amari Cooper to a five-year deal worth a reported $100 million.
The Eagles, meanwhile, added defensive tackle Javon Hargrave on a three-year deal and retained defensive backs Jalen Mills and Rodney McLeod, though the team announced it is parting ways with defensive leader Malcolm Jenkins.
Much like a season ago, the Giants (+800) and Redskins (+900) both currently sit far back in the rearview mirror.
Finally, bettors in Indiana will be happy to read that after the Colts (+180) added veteran quarterback Philip Rivers on a one-year deal, the team is right in the thick of things in the AFC South. They sit just behind the Titans (+170) for the best odds to win the division.