The Eagles Can Give Themselves a 75% Chance of Getting a Bye with a Win Against the Seahawks

538 bye

After beating the Cowboys on the road for sole possession of first place in the NFC East, it almost feels like the big game is behind us for now. But Sunday’s afternoon’s game against Seattle has major implications too, especially for the first round bye.

According to FiveThirtyEight, the Eagles currently have a 48.8% chance of getting said bye. With a win against Seattle, that percentage jumps by 25.3%(!), and a loss drops it down 29.4%. That swing of 54.7% means the Eagles’ bye chances increase to 74.1% with a win, and slip down to 19.4% with a loss.

Though there is much more at stake in the AFC’s games this week — another 55 point swing for Miami in terms of playoff chances — the Seahawks/Eagles matchup is the most important in the NFC.

The big game against Dallas is over, sure. But now it’s on to the next one. And after that? Another potential first-place-on-the-line clash.

[The Eagles don’t hold all their own, ahem, Cards yet. Arizona and Green Bay are both 9-3, too, and hold tiebreakers over the Birds. But, the Cardinals appear to be heading in the wrong direction and have to play the Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks and 49ers.]

Check out all the scenarios here.

H/T to (@smokesdawg88)

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8 Comments

  • FACE December 4, 2014 at 11:23 am

    If they beat Seattle and Dallas this whole thing is going to go shit house!

    13-3…pray GB loses…no one is beating them at Lambeau.

    FACE

    Reply
  • Moo Stonky December 4, 2014 at 11:24 am

    FUCK YOU

    Reply
  • Charlie Brown December 4, 2014 at 11:33 am

    Man, non stop posts about FiveThirtyEight.com predictions these days.

    Will CB post a FiveThirtyEight.com article tomorrow? 85% chance.

    Reply
  • Kyle's camel toe December 4, 2014 at 12:04 pm

    Oh man another fucking chart. At least made by others who use accurate figures.

    Reply
  • one eyed willie December 4, 2014 at 12:20 pm

    this chart hurts my brain.

    Reply
  • Candy from the Oak December 4, 2014 at 12:48 pm

    This is great except the Eagles have 0% chance of beating the Seahawks.

    Also, did anyone else see that bitch Missynelli get exposed on a national talk radio show the other night. It was about his interview with Barkley when despite all evidence and reason, he was trying to still blame the cop for the death of that thug in Ferguson. It was quite enjoyable.

    Reply
  • Maxie December 4, 2014 at 4:34 pm

    Well, the Eagles are definitely not going to beat Seattle but it should be a good game. However, I can see them taking the last three and end up 12-4.

    Reply
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