Why the NBA Should (and Shouldn’t) Rig the Lottery for the Sixers

Photo Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The NBA draft lottery is only six days away. All over the world (mainly just at Xfinity Live!) people will be biting their nails anxiously, waiting to see if the Sixers can end up with the #1 pick they damn well deserve. Some – including Shaq – think the whole system is rigged. If it is, there’s plenty of reason the NBA should (and shouldn’t/won’t) give the first pick to the Sixers. First, lets look at the numbers.

According to LotteryBucket, here are the odds the Sixers end up with certain picks:

  • #1 – 26.9%
  • #2 – 22.6%
  • #3 – 18.2%
  • #4 – 32.3%

And pick combinations (when adding in SAC pick swap, to the best of my calculations):

  • #1 and #4 – 13.4%
  • #2 and #4 – 13.4%
  • #3 and #4 – 13.7%
  • #4 and #5 – 1.7%

The odds of the Sixers getting a top-3 pick and the #5 overall pick are very slim. Overall, there’s a 44.2% chance the Sixers get the Lakers pick, and a 67.7% chance they pick in the top 3.

Why the NBA Should Rig the Lottery for the Sixers

The Sixers did everything the league asked – or definitely didn’t ask, nope, not at all. From hiring Jerry Colangelo to give the front office some clout, pushing Sam Hinkie out, bringing Bryan Colangelo in, and now hiring Ned Cohen from the league office, the Sixers went from fringe assholes to being firmly in the NBA’s good graces. Whether they meant to or not, they embarrassed the hell out of themselves in the process.

Historically, the Sixers are one of the NBA’s marquee franchises in one of the league’s biggest markets. Outside of New York, Chicago, and LA, Philly is the biggest media market in the country. If the NBA is worried about the health of the league, the Sixers and Lakers are in need of a serious boost. The Lakers just had the spotlight on them all year long with Kobe’s masturbatory farewell tour, so they can take one year to grow out of the spotlight of having the top pick. The Sixers need it. Philadelphia needs it. The league needs it.

Why the NBA Won’t Rig the Lottery for the Sixers

Two words: The Lakers. With Kobe gone, the NBA’s premier franchise is without a star for the first time in 20 years. A hole needs to be filled. As much as the Lakers “tanked” by trotting the geriatric Kobe out to do whatever he wanted, they didn’t tank in the face of basketball progress like the Sixers did. The Sixers shouldn’t be rewarded for making themselves the national embarrassment of the NBA. If the Sixers don’t get the number one pick and they’re really bad for another year or two, does it hurt the NBA? No. At this point, that’s business as usual. However, the Lake show being dreadful next year, in the NBA’s spotlight, with no top pick on their squad? That’s no good.

What Will Happen

If the lottery is rigged – and depending on who you are that’s a big IF or a small one – the league would benefit from giving the Lakers and the Sixers the top two picks. Having the Lakers pick convey to the Sixers (even though they get it eventually) validates Hinkie’s work, and we just can’t have that. Here’s how the top five is gonna shake out:

  1. Lakers
  2. Sixers
  3. Minnesota
  4. Boston (via Brooklyn)
  5. New Orleans

If I was rigging it from the point-of-view of the league, that’s how it’d go. The negative Nancy in me thinks we’re getting #4 and only #4 (21.6% chance).

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22 Comments

  • Kyle Scott May 11, 2016 at 5:15 pm

    Pussy Farts

    Reply
  • How is Breakfast on Broad still on TV? May 11, 2016 at 5:51 pm

    When Cleveland wins the lottery 3 out the 4 years Lebron played for the Heat, just so they could be stacked to lure him back, then i say it’s rigged.

    Is there really a generation talent in this draft anyway? Simmonds couldn’t make the March Madness tournament this year as Olowakandi was the last #1 overall pick to miss the tourney. And we know how he turned out…….

    Reply
  • Uhhh... May 11, 2016 at 6:05 pm

    …I don’t like using the word ‘retarded’ but when I do I save it for these lame posts.

    Reply
  • Jake Friedman May 11, 2016 at 6:29 pm

    Hope they don’t draft that fraud Ben Simmons

    Reply
  • Jerry Goebbles May 11, 2016 at 7:31 pm

    What’s the deal with keistallnacht?

    Reply
  • Jerry Goebbles May 11, 2016 at 7:32 pm

    *kristallnacht

    Reply
  • Ronnie The Limo Driver May 11, 2016 at 8:06 pm

    Sixers are a fucking joke du. If they were legit about winning they should trade one of those shitty picks for Paul George, go all in for Durant, and bring over Saric but they won’t because they’re fucking inept and don’t use c*ck rings du.

    Reply
    • Or... May 11, 2016 at 8:53 pm

      After drafting Brandon Ingram with their #2 overal pick, trade Jahlil Okafor, along with the rights to the Lakers pick, and one of their(Sixers) late 2016 1st rd picks ( 24th or their 26th) to the Bulls for Jimmy Butler.

      And then when free agency hits, you go after Durant, and tell him the Sixers is his team, and he won’t have to worry about a pg jacking up 25 to 30 shots a game if he signs here.

      Reply
  • PJFC11 May 11, 2016 at 9:35 pm

    cut yourself jim

    Reply
    • I hate hipster Jim May 11, 2016 at 10:52 pm

      On the penis vein

      Reply
  • 97.5 Thursday topic May 11, 2016 at 10:49 pm

    Bradfords agent says the Broncos are a better team than the eagles and that it would have been a good situation for his client. Philly fans want blood. How dare someone say the defending super bowl champs are a better team than the gold standard eagles.

    I hate this town sometimes

    Reply
  • Shut it Down May 11, 2016 at 11:19 pm

    Good god, who decided that letting a skeletor juuuuuuuuu run the NBA was a good idea? He looks like they plucked him off the Auscchwit!z killing pens and strapped a suit on him.

    Reply
  • Kate Bilo's Arms Are Used Candlesticks May 11, 2016 at 11:23 pm

    This blog sucks

    Reply
  • Radio Wars feeds Kyle's starving family May 11, 2016 at 11:50 pm

    Who’s a bigger whore for athletes: K@c|e McHor$eteeth or da cuz?

    Reply
    • huge fan of nonstop sam bradford talk on sports radio May 12, 2016 at 8:07 am

      k-c

      Reply
  • Chase Friedman May 12, 2016 at 6:25 am

    I think I might literally lose my mind today on work if wip & 97.5 talk Bradford again

    Reply
    • Ray Albed Jr May 12, 2016 at 11:10 am

      Start losing your mind Skippy; because Rob Ellis is talking nonstop Sam Bradford.

      Reply
  • huge fan of nonstop sam bradford talk on sports radio May 12, 2016 at 8:08 am

    who’s this channel 3 chick reporter that does these bar stops

    Reply
  • Victoria Woodill's Butterface May 12, 2016 at 9:31 am

    Me.

    Reply
  • BigShot May 12, 2016 at 10:08 am

    NOBODY FUCKING CARES

    Reply
  • VITTORIA WOODILL May 12, 2016 at 11:04 am

    Actually my name’s VITTORIA

    Reply
  • The Ghost of Jim Barniak May 12, 2016 at 11:30 am

    The Sixers need to draft someone with the silky smooth jumper of Ron Anderson and the heart and grit of Thunder Bob Thornton.

    Reply
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