Sixers’ Lottery Odds Update: Five Games to Change

Photo Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

All hail the Phoenix Suns! Thanks to their 12th loss in a row (and 14th of the last 15 games) last night, they have slipped by the Lakers into the lottery’s number two spot, statistically speaking. The difference between two and three is only a half game right now, but that half game is the difference between a 44.2% chance the Sixers get the Lakers’ pick and a 53.1% chance. The Suns have four more games (Warriors, Thunder, Mavericks, Kings), while the Lakers have five (Spurs, Kings, Timberwolves, Pelicans, Warriors). The Lakers must beat the Kings. Everyone must beat the Kings (except maybe Phoenix).

The Sixers’ odds are in a bit more flux. They have the fifth best odds to get the top pick, with five games left to play (29.1% shot at a top-3 pick, 8.8% chance at #1), but there are only four games separating the teams with the fourth and eighth best odds. Ideally, you’d want the Sixers to lose the rest of their games, while the Lakers win all of their games, so the Sixers have a better shot of getting the Lakers’ top-3 protected pick. If the Suns continue to lose, they’ll keep the second-best odds and help the Sixers’ chances at getting the Lakers pick. The Kings should lose every game.

The Sixers will wind down the season starting tomorrow with a sure-fire win (as shitty as it’ll be) against the Nets, followed up by the Bulls, Bucks, Pacers, and a must-lose to the Knicks. The Kings currently have the 7th best odds at a top-3 and top overall pick. When combined with the Sixers’ chances (thanks to the pick swap), the Sixers have a 44.1% chance at a top-3 pick, and 13.1% chance at the top overall pick (for reference, the third-worst team in the NBA’s odds are 46.9%/15.6%).

tank standings

By FiveThirtyEight’s end of season predictions, the Suns and Lakers will tie for the two-spot, the Sixers and Knicks will tie for fifth, and the Kings will tie the Timberwolves for seventh. They’re no help at all. One day we won’t be pulling for crucial late-season Sixers losses. That probably starts next year.

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23 Responses

    1. Is this the same fuckface who has been doing the GLASSMASK and BRAD 24YR OLD ASSHOLE posts?
      BEAT IT!
      YOU’RE schtick is not funny shitface!

    1. A 2hr Saturday morning show doesn’t equate to having a legitimate sports talk show you miserable little kike.

      1. But i still make more than you asswipe!
        Any your favorite pussy is a jar of vaseline and a walmart underwear ad.
        I’ve had more pussy than a toilet seat in the women’s bathroom at the Well FargoCenter.
        So beat it DOPE!

  1. People like Jim who are content with mediocrity are the fucking scum of the earth. This is why Philly as a sports town blows right now. But don’t worry, you can plan on a Sixers parade in 2028 once The Process has reached full maturation!

    1. So you’d rather they win the last 5 games and not get a decent guard? Why? For who? For what?

  2. We would just like to announce that in December that we will announce that something difficulties have arisen with the knee problem with the player we drafted 5th overall. And the time table for his return is now March.

    And then in February we will announce he is having surgery.

    #Trust the Process.

  3. FUCK THE SIXERS!
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    jk……..
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    THEM and wigger round ball!

    1. AW COME ON MAN!
      That’s 100% pure recycle woodchuck roadkill.
      We leave it in the road at least 2 week so that it can get season by goodyear, goodrich and all those
      jap tires.
      Then we shovel it up, run it through the defurring/deboning machine TWICE and slice it thin (with love) to make the
      most delicious sandwiches!. The ones you know and love!

  4. If you’re interested in the size and girth of NFL players, tune into my weekly Eagles podcast called ‘Pud-cast’. I’ll break down the curvature of all your favorite hometown players and teams in the visitor’s locker room.

    1. I interested in the fake Spadaro jumping off the platt bridge into the drying sewer sludge pools below.
      Just leave him in there with the rest of the shit.

  5. Did anyone hear Rob E. story of him umpiring his kids baseball game over the weekend? Some baseball Mom didnt like one of Rob E’s call and let him have it verbally. Well that wasnt go to fly with Tough Guy Ellis.Instead of letting the petty yelling t roll of his back He went back at the Baseball Mom hard. Suggesting she come down and be the umpire in a tough manner . My guess is the story may have been totally fabricated but if it actually did happen it probably in a joking manner on Rob’s part. But for some reason Rob E has to present this tough guy image. Why is that?

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