Sixers vs. Raptors Betting Pick (February 21, 2021)

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Photo credit: © Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

On Sunday night, the Philadelphia 76ers are on the road taking on the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers have the best record in the Eastern Conference at 20-10. The Raptors are 15-15 on the season, good enough for the sixth seed in the East.

Let’s get into our Sixers-Raptors betting preview, including odds, boosts, and picks.

Preview

The top team in the Eastern Conference will look to extend their winning streak over their sixth-seed rivals as the Philadelphia 76ers take on the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers won the last matchup between the teams 100-93 on December 29. In that game, the Sixers were led by the duo of Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris, who combined for 55 points and 27 rebounds.

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The Raptors will likely be without their leading scorer from December’s contest as Kyle Lowry is listed as doubtful with a left thumb sprain. Toronto is riding a three-game winning streak, featuring back-to-back wins over the Milwaukee Bucks and a victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves, all of which came on the road.

 

Sixers vs. Raptors Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Raptors at DraftKings Sportsbook:

    • Spread: Sixers -3, Raptors +3
    • Moneyline: Sixers -143, Raptors +123
    • Total: 223.5

And here are the current best available odds for the Sixers (may not display on Google AMP pages):

 

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

FiveThirtyEight gives the Sixers just a 37% chance of winning with a +3 point line. Philadelphia’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is 57%.

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Joel Embiid Over 29.5 Points and Sixers to Win (+155, FOX Bet)

There’s a legitimate chance things in this game could change in terms of the point spread and over/under totals with Sixers point guard Ben Simmons listed as probable due to illness. As such, we’d recommend rolling with prop bets at solid value built around the Sixers’ franchise big man Joel Embiid.

Embiid is coming off a career night, when he dropped 50 points, grabbed 17 rebounds, dished out five assists, blocked four shots, and recorded two steals in 35 minutes of action against the Chicago Bulls. He put his case for MVP on full display in that one in front of a national audience.

There’s reason to believe he’ll keep up his high-scoring ways in this one. He’s had at least 30 points in eight of his last nine games, with the lone outlier coming in a road win over the Sacramento Kings in which he shot just 6-15 from the field.

Regardless of Simmons’ status, expect Embiid to rack up points in the paint and at the line.

Joel Embiid Over 0.5 Dunks and Sixers to Win (+200, FOX Bet)

This is a prop bet that FOX Bet offers from time-to-time and is worth taking a flier on. Despite his size, Embiid can often get caught up finishing with a soft touch at the rim, rather than jamming one home. After taking a nasty fall after being pushed out of the air by LeBron James, Embiid has fought through bouts of back tightness. However, on Friday night, the big man looked spry and as explosive as ever. It stands to reason he’ll work to make his presence known early with a jam in the paint. If he does and the Sixers win, bettors stand to make a greater profit than on a Sixers win alone.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Joel Embiid to Score 30+ Points and Tobias Harris to Score 20+ Points (+250, BetMGM)

Joel Embiid has been an MVP candidate, but another player on his team has been getting a bit of All-Star buzz as well. Tobias Harris has been truly impressive this season, establishing himself as Philadelphia’s second-leading scorer with 20.9 points per game. He’s also been a solid rebounder at 7.9 per game (24th in the league) while dishing out 3.3 assists per game.

This duo has put up gaudy totals when they’ve both been in the lineup, combining for at least 50 points in eight of their last ten games together.

This bet has a bit of risk in that Harris tends to see his point total hover around 20 points, though it occasionally dips below that threshold.

If you believe that Embiid and Harris will contribute at least 30 and 20 points, respectively, this is a great bet independent of outcome.

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Joel Embiid to Score 25+ Points and Tobias Harris to Score 20+ Points (+123, FanDuel)

If there’s concern as to Joel Embiid’s ability to hit 30 points in this game, consider hedging a bit on the previous bet with this one.

Over their last ten games together, Embiid and Harris have finished with at least 25 and 20 points, respectively, in six of their last ten games:

  • v. Chicago: Embiid 50, Harris 22 (77 points)
  • v. Houston: Embiid 31, Harris 24 (55 points)
  • @ Phoenix: Embiid 35, Harris 18 (53 points)
  • @ Portland: Embiid 35, Harris 17 (52 points)
  • @ Sacramento: Embiid 25, Harris 22 (47 points)
  • v. Brooklyn: Embiid 33, Harris 21 (54 points)
  • v. Portland: Embiid 37, Harris 12 (49 points)
  • @ Charlotte: Embiid 34, Harris 26 (60 points)
  • @ Minnesota: Embiid 37, Harris 17 (54 points)
  • v. LA Lakers: Embiid 28, Harris 24 (52 points)

If you’re more concerned with the Tobias Harris side of the equation, you can build your own Same Game Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook and get Embiid to score 25+ points and Harris to score 15+ points at -195 odds.

Joel Embiid Top Point Scorer of the Game (-167, FOX Bet)

Joel Embiid has scored at least 25 points in 13 consecutive games. He’s averaging an astounding 35 points per game in the month of February. Over his last four games, he’s seen that point average jump to 37.8 points per game. With Kyle Lowry out for Toronto, there’s a possibility that Fred VanVleet or Norman Powell goes off for 30+, but it’s hard to bet against the NBA’s second-leading scorer.

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Bet $10 to Win $50 if the Sixers Score Against the Mavericks (FOX Bet)

This promo is for new users only at FOX Bet and it’s for next Thursday night’s game between the Sixers and Mavericks, not tonight’s game between the Sixers and the Raptors. New users can turn a $10 bet into up to $50 in free bets at FOX Bet if the Sixers score a point on February 25 (a guarantee) by taking advantage of this promotion. Getting in on the action is simple:

  • Register and verify a new FOX Bet account.
  • Make a minimum deposit of at least $10.
  • Place your first bet on the “5x Your Money If PHI Scores 1+ Point” promotion (under the “Promotions” tab)
  • Bet up to $10 on the Sixers to score at least one point against the Mavericks.
  • Your account will be credited with up to $50 in free bets within 24 hours of the final horn.

This is a great promo to take advantage of with a small financial commitment from new users.

 

Sixers vs. Raptors Prediction

Pick: Despite the projection model, we’re taking the Sixers to Win. Consider getting even better value with the Joel Embiid and Sixers to win parlays, plus the Embiid and Tobias Harris totals markets.

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