Flyers vs. Sabres Betting Pick (March 9, 2021)

sabres flyers betting preview
Photo Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Flyers play host to the Buffalo Sabres for the first time in Philadelphia since January 19. The teams last met in Buffalo on February 28. The Flyers (12-7-3) are twelve points ahead of the Sabres (6-14-3), with the Sabres owning the worst record in the NHL.

Let’s get into our Flyers-Sabres betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this March 9, 2021 matchup.

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Flyers vs. Sabres Betting Pick (March 9, 2021)

Entering play exactly a week ago, the Flyers were 11-4-3 coming off back-to-back shutout victories over the Sabres in Buffalo. They had lost just one game in regulation to a team not named the Boston Bruins. What followed was a painful 1-3-0 stretch that including two losses to the cross-state rival Pittsburgh Penguins, and most recently a home loss to the Washington Capitals. Philadelphia has two more games this week against the Caps, but first they have to get through tonight’s matchup with the Buffalo Sabres.

The Buffalo Sabres are in the midst of a horrible season, including the fewest points in the league. Buffalo is 0-6-1 in their last seven games, a stretch that included consecutive 3-0 shutout losses to the same Philadelphia Flyers squad they’ll face tonight. To the Sabres’ credit, they’ve been consistent, scoring two goals per game in each of their last four games, all of which have come on the road. Tonight’s game marks the end of their five-game road trip that started exactly a week ago.

Flyers vs. Sabres Odds

Here’s the line for the Flyers and Sabres at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:

  • Spread: Flyers -1.5 (+102), Sabres +1.5 (-121)
  • Moneyline: Flyers -250, Sabres +210
  • Over/Under: O 5.5 -120, U 5.5 +100
[sb-standard teams=”Philadelphia Flyers” books=”DraftKings”]

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Bets We Like With a Flyers Win

Money Puck gives the Flyers just a 70.5% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is slightly lower at 67%.

Flyers Win and Over 4.5 Goals (-120, BetMGM)

After suffering a 6-1 beatdown loss at home at the hands of the Buffalo Sabres back on January 18, the Flyers have rattled off three straight 3-0 shutout wins over their visitors from the north. Philadelphia has gone 14-0-0 in their last 14 games as favorites following a loss and will look to do so over the basement-dwellers of the East Division.

Interestingly enough, Buffalo has more wins on the road (4) than at home (2) this season, including the aforementioned 6-1 victory in Philadelphia in mid-January. Although the Flyers have suffered two straight defeats, Buffalo is in the midst of a six-game losing streak.

As for the over/under, BetMGM is offering a same-game parlay on the Flyers moneyline and over 4.5 goals, which is lower than the over/under alone at most sportsbooks, which stands at 5.5 goals as of early Tuesday afternoon. Just playing the averages, Philadelphia averages 3.2 goals per game, while Buffalo averages 3.3 goals against. On the flip side, Buffalo averages 2.3 goals for and Philadelphia averages 3.1 goals against per game. Despite Philadelphia shutting out Buffalo in three consecutive games, there’s reason to believe Buffalo will get on the board in this game, regardless of who’s in net for the Flyers. Philadelphia has given up fifteen goals in their last four games, while Buffalo has fifteen goals in their last three games.

If you’re planning on taking the Philadelphia moneyline, take advantage of this same-game parlay from BetMGM at -120 odds.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

5X Your Money if the Flyers Score a Goal (FOX Bet)

FOX Bet is once again offering this great promotion for new users for Thursday’s game between the Flyers and Capitals. If you haven’t signed up for FOX Bet yet, get in on this promo to turn a $10 bet into $50. It’s so simple to take advantage of this promo on the Flyers to score a goal:

  • Register and verify a new account with FOX Bet.
  • Make an eligible first deposit.
  • Choose the promotion “5x Your Money if Philadelphia Scores a Goal” via the promotions tab or on the scrolling bar on the app’s home screen.
  • If the Flyers score a goal against the Capitals on Thursday night, you can turn $10 into up to $50 in free bets.

If the Flyers score a goal in Thursday night’s game against Washington, you’ll receive your free bets credits within 24 hours of the end of the game.

Get 5x your money at FOX Bet in PA if Flyers score on Thursday against the Capitals here here. Get the same offer on the Devils against the Capitals tonight in NJ by clicking here.

 

Sean Couturier to Record Over 0.5 Point (-162, DraftKings)

Reigning Selke Trophy winner Sean Couturier has 14 points to his credit in 11 full games this season. He’s recorded at least one point in nine of his last ten games, including six goals and seven assists.

In two games against the Sabres this season, Couturier has averaged more than a point per game, finding the back of the net twice and registering one assist. If you’re looking for a more attractive upside, you can get +185 odds on Sean Couturier to score a goal. If you prefer the more general market, -162 odds on Couturier to record a point is great value.

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Sean Couturier Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+120, FanDuel)

Sean Couturier has been a consistent force for the Flyers this season, and it’s paid dividends for bettors who have thrown down money on a number of markets. One that looks rock solid is Couturier to register over 2.5 shots on goal at +120 odds with BetMGM.

Couturier has recorded at least three shots on goal in five of his last seven games, including two matchups with the Sabres in which he registered five and four shots on goal.

Flyers vs. Sabres Prediction

Pick: The Flyers need to right the ship and a meeting with the last-place team in the division is about all the Orange & Black could ask for. Take the Flyers to Win and Over 4.5 Goals. Additionally, get in on the Sean Couturier markets.

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