On Saturday afternoon, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the Boston Bruins. This represents the eighth and final meeting between the teams this season and the fourth to take place at the Wells Fargo Center.
Let’s get into our Flyers-Bruins betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this April 10, 2021 matchup.
Flyers vs. Bruins Betting Pick (April 10, 2021)
The Philadelphia Flyers and Boston Bruins are set to meet for their third time this week. The teams’ first matchup of the week saw Philadelphia skate away with their first win against Boston in six attempts this season. Boston bounced back in a big way the next night, earning a 4-2 victory in Philadelphia. The teams parted ways temporarily with the Flyers losing a 3-2 shootout to the Islanders on Long Island, while, the Bruins picked up a 4-2 road victory over the Washington Capitals. The teams will now meet for the eighth and final time this season, the fourth such contest to take place in Philadelphia.
The Flyers enter play at 18-15-6, which puts them one point behind the New York Rangers for fifth place in the East Division. Meanwhile, Boston’s hold on fourth place in the division remains strong, five points ahead of the Rangers with three games in hand over the team from the Big Apple.
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Can Philadelphia pick up their second victory over the Bruins and narrow the game to postseason contention, or will the Bruins effectively end the Flyers’ hopes of a playoff berth?
Flyers vs. Bruins Odds
Here’s the line for the Flyers and Bruins at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers +1.5 (-245), Bruins -1.5 (+200)
- Moneyline: Flyers +104, Bruins -121
- Over/Under: O 5.5 -120, U 5.5 -103
Bets We Like With an Bruins Win
Money Puck gives the Bruins a 51.1% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Boston’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is slightly higher at 53%.
Bruins Win and Over 5.5 Goals (+215, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Boston Bruins have been absolutely and unequivocally dominant against the Philadelphia Flyers this season, having won six of seven matchups between the teams. The Bruins have gone 6-2-2 in their last ten games, collecting 14 of a possible 20 points over that stretch.
Philadelphia, meanwhile, has struggled for the last month plus. The Orange & Black are just 3-4-3 over their last ten games, including a 4-2 loss at home to the Bruins on Tuesday night. While three of their last five games have gone beyond the sixty minutes of regulation time, Philadelphia has prevailed only once.
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As for the Over 5.5 portion of this same-game parlay, it’s worth noting that the total goals scored between the teams crossed the 5.5 goal threshold numerous times:
- 1/21/21 PHI @ BOS: 5-4 (BOS win)
- 1/23/21 PHI @ BOS: 6-1 (BOS win)
- 2/3/21 BOS @ PHI: 4-3 (BOS win in OT)
- 2/5/21 BOS @ PHI: 2-1 (BOS win)
- 2/21/21 PHI @ BOS: 7-3 (BOS win)
- 4/5/21 PHI @ BOS: 3-2 (PHI win in OT)
- 4/6/21 BOS @ PHI: 4-2 (BOS win)
All told, the total goals have gone over 5.5 in five of seven meetings between the teams this season. The Flyers have benefitted from slightly better goaltending since the calendar flipped from March to April, but the Bruins have shown a propensity for scoring at will against the Flyers in Philadelphia.
Bets We Like With a Flyers Win
Flyers Win and Over 5.5 Goals (+285, DraftKings Sportsbook)
In what amounts to a must-win game for the Philadelphia Flyers, Alain Vigneault’s team will need to put forward their best effort and play a true 200ft. game. The issue at hand for the Orange & Black is the fact that they’re running out of time and they’ll need to leapfrog two teams to qualify for the Stanley Cup playoffs. They simply cannot afford to see the six point gap between them and the Bruins expand any further, especially given the fact that Boston holds two games in hand over Philadelphia.
If you’re planning on a Flyers moneyline bet and believe the aforementioned scoring trends will hold, a same-game parlay of a Flyers moneyline bet and over 5.5 goals could make for quite a lucrative payout.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Sean Couturier and Claude Giroux 2+ Shots Each (+100, FOX Bet)
There aren’t many better player parlays than this one being offered by FOX Bet. The Philadelphia Flyers are in a situation where virtually every game is a must-win. It’s been clear in their comments to the media. It’s been clearly stated by head coach Alain Vigneault. Vigneault has opted to shorten his bench in recent games, relying on his leadership core, including Couturier and Giroux, to shoulder the load in pursuit of a playoff berth.
Sean Couturier has found the back of the net five times in his last ten games, recording at least two shots on goal in eight of those ten games. He put three shots on goal in the last meeting between the Flyers and Bruins on Tuesday night. Claude Giroux, meanwhile, hasn’t recorded a shot in his last two games, but did so in each of his previous eight games, including in Monday night’s game against Boston.
A max wager of $100 would pay out $200 if this bet hits.
Flyers vs. Bruins Prediction
Pick: The Bruins have dominated the season series against the Philadelphia Flyers, having won six of seven prior matchups. Philadelphia should come out with plenty of jump in front of the raucous Philly faithful, but we expect the oddsmakers and projection model to have this one right. Take the Bruins to Win and Over 5.5 Goals.
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