On Friday night, the Philadelphia Flyers will be on the road taking on the Washington Capitals at the Capital One Arena. This represents the seventh meeting between the teams and the first of a two-games-in-two-nights set.
Let’s get into our Flyers vs. Capitals betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this May 7, 2021 matchup.
Flyers vs. Capitals Betting Pick (May 7, 2021)
Friday night’s matchup between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Washington Capitals marks the first game of a back-to-back that will pit the East Division’s sixth seed in the Flyers against the second-seed Capitals. Washington is just two points behind the Pittsburgh Penguins for the top seed in the division with two games in hand.
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The Flyers last played on Tuesday night, when their cross-state rivals the Pittsburgh Penguins drubbed them at Wells Fargo Center 7-3. In a season that can’t end quickly enough for Philadelphia, losing in such decisive fashion to their biggest rival could not have sat well in what marked a disappointing effort in netminder Brian Elliott’s 500th career game.
The Washington Capitals enter play coming off consecutive 6-3 and 4-2 victories over the New York Rangers. The Caps caught the ire of the hockey world two games ago when enforcer Tom Wilson’s actions against Rangers forwards Artemi Panarin and Pavel Buchnevich earned just a $5,000 fine from the NHL’s Department of Player Safety. After a number of fights between the teams in their second meeting of the week, the feel-good story coming out of the game was that of TJ Oshie, who scored a hat trick in his first game following the passing of his father.
Will the Capitals put themselves in a stronger position to reclaim the top seed in the East or will Philadelphia play spoiler?
Flyers vs. Capitals Odds
Here’s the line for the Flyers and Capitals at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers +1.5 (-143), Capitals -1.5 (+120)
- Moneyline: Flyers +160, Capitals -186
- Over/Under: O 6.5 +102, U 6.5 -125
Bets We Like With a Capitals Win
Money Puck gives the Capitals a 61.6% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Washington’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is slightly higher at 63%.
Capitals to Win and Over 6.5 Goals (+190, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Washington Capitals have three games left in their season, with two games in hand over the top seed Pittsburgh Penguins. They have two games in two night against the sixth-place Philadelphia Flyers before their season finale against. the third-seeded Boston Bruins, who also hold an outside shot at finishing in the East Division’s top spot. Washington will look to win their tenth-consecutive game as a favorite following a road win.
Although Philadelphia managed to win the first of two games against the Penguins earlier this week, they got blown out in the second matchup and it stands to reason that their performance on the road against Washington could have plenty of variance. An upset win isn’t out of the question, but the Caps have won each of the last five meetings between the teams this season and are 6-3-1 in their last ten games, as opposed to Philadelphia’s subpar 3-6-1 record over that same stretch.
As for taking the Over 6.5 Goals market, the scoring between the teams in this matchup has been electric to say the least. In fact, the teams have combined for over 6.5 goals in five of six meetings this season:
- 2/7/21: PHI @ WSH (7-4)
- 3/11/21: WSH @ PHI (5-3)
- 3/13/21: WSH @ PHI (5-4)
- 4/13/21: PHI @ WSH (6-1)
- 4/17/21: WSH @ PHI (6-3)
The Over 6.5 Goals market has hit in each of Philadelphia’s last two games and in five of their last six games overall, while Washington has seen the same market hit in three of their last six games overall. Meanwhile, Washington has seen this market hit in each of their past seven meetings with Philadelphia following a road win.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Alex Ovechkin to Score a Goal (-115, BetMGM)
Before getting into this one, note that Washington Capitals sniper Alex Ovechkin’s status for this game is a bit up in the air after he played just one shift, totaling 39 seconds in Washington’s win over the Rangers on Monday night. He missed Wednesday night’s game out of an abundance of caution, so it remains to be seen if he’ll get a look on Friday or Saturday as a tune-up for the postsesason.
If Ovechkin does play, this is as close to a lock as it gets for player props independent of outcome. In the Capitals’ last game against the Flyers, Ovechkin went off for two goals while dishing out one assist in a 6-3 road win in Philadelphia. That game marked the sixth-consecutive game against Philadelphia in which Ovechkin lit the lamp. Given the fact that Philadelphia is expected to play at least one young defenseman in 20-year-old Cam York, there’s a high likelihood that Ovechkin will make his way onto the ice in an advantageous position.
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Claude Giroux to Record a Point (-114, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Lost in the Flyers’ disastrous season has been the outstanding play of captain Claude Giroux. The 33-year-old captain has posted 41 points (16G, 25A) in 51 games this season. For a player who had garnered some negative attention for his perceived lack of production in Philadelphia’s seven-game series against the New York Islanders in last season’s bubble playoffs, Giroux answered the call in a big way, standing out as one of his team’s top performers. He has the Flyers’ second-most goals, assists, and points this season.
As for recent trends, Giroux has put up five points in his last two games and eight points in his last six games overall. After being held off the scoresheet in his first two games against the Caps this season, Giroux scored a goal on March 13 and posted two assists in a loss on April 17. Given Giroux’s propensity for racking up points in spoiler opportunities, expect him to record at least one point on Friday night.
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Flyers vs. Capitals Prediction
Pick: The Washington Capitals have a chance to close the gap between themselves and the Pittsburgh Penguins, seizing the top seed in the East Division. They’ll play two games against the underachieving Flyers before a critical season finale against the Boston Bruins. Expect their intensity to be cranked up from the first puck-drop. Take the Capitals to Win and Over 6.5 Goals.