After letting control of the series slip away on Monday night, the Sixers return to the Wells Fargo Center as big favorites looking to win a pivotal Game 5 over the Hawks.

Let’s get ready for Game 5 between the 76ers and Hawks with a closer look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this June 16, 2021 NBA Playoffs matchup.

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Sixers vs. Hawks Game 5 Pick (June 16, 2021)

Blowing an 18 point lead and squandering a chance to come home up 3-1 in the series had to be a wake up call for this group. The Sixers have responded from setbacks all season when others have counted them out, much the way they did in Game 5 against the Wizards. Pride, talent and urgency should all come together tonight for this group and allow them a convincing Game 5 victory for a second straight series.

The alternative is a 3-2 deficit heading back to Atlanta for Game 6, a prospect Philly knows will significantly jeopardize its chances.

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Sixers vs. Hawks Game 5 Odds

Here’s the Game 5 odds for the 76ers and Hawks at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Team Run Line Moneyline Total
Hawks +7 (-108) +240 O 215.5 (-112)
Sixers -7 (-113) -295 U 215.5 (-109)

And here are the current best available odds for the Sixers (may not display on Google AMP pages):

 

76ers vs. Hawks Game 5 Prediction

If you buy into the belief that Philadelphia should at least win this game, then the question becomes whether it can also cover the sizable spread. Well, the 76ers are 12-2 SU at home this season after a loss, but did you know they only lost two of those games against the spread, as well? That also includes a perfect 4-0 ATS record at home after a loss by four or less points.

In those four instances, the Sixers won their next game by 8, 16, 24, and 16 points, all more than enough to cover this line, with the final example coming in Game 2 of this series, also on this court.

The Hawks played consecutive games against the same team just once this regular season where the first meeting was in Atlanta and the second on the road. They lost that away tilt at Charlotte by eight points as 5-point favorites.

Atlanta failed to cover their other second leg of consecutive games against the same team where the first meeting was at home. Overall, they were just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five second legs of back-to-backs against the same team in the regular season.

Atlanta has seen 11 of its last 13 road losses that followed a win come by tonight’s spread or better. That includes a current run of nine straight since Feb. 23, two of which came in the playoffs — a nine-point Game 2 loss at the Knicks and a 16-point Game 2 loss at the Sixers.

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Betting Trends

The Sixers were dominant all season both at home and as a favorite straight up and against the spread. They are 25-15-1 at Wells Fargo Center, including a sparkling 11-5-2 ATS against above .500 competition.

They are also 32-21-2 ATS as a single-digit favorite, playing a Hawks team that was just 5-11 ATS as a dog of five or more points this year. Atlanta has covered just two of its last eight games against above .600 teams and just two of its last seven road games against teams with above .600 home win percentages.

The Hawks, for all their home success, have covered just three of their last 10 road games. They have just one cover in their last five trips to Philly, as well. Atlanta also has just eight covers in its last 28 attempts in Eastern Conference Semifinal games.

Philadelphia has covered four straight after an ATS loss and four of its last five after a SU loss. The Sixers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 contests as a home favorite.

Finally, they have covered five of their last seven as postseason favorites, all coming this season.

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Game 5 Betting Pick

The 76ers know their limitations with Embiid’s health and Simmons’ late game foul shot deficiencies. Their defense has been smothering and they should be able to gain another large lead in this one. After blowing an 18 point first half advantage the other night, expect them to bury Atlanta tonight while they have the chance with the hopes of taking Ben out of the late-game equation and perhaps even giving Embiid a little extra rest in a possible late blowout.

Our Pick: Philadelphia -6.5 (FOXBET -118)

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