Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds, Pick, Betting Prediction (Week 4)

eagles chiefs odds pick prediction
PHOTO CREDIT: CRAIG DUDEK

Two weeks ago, the Eagles and their fans were riding high as the team was preparing for its home opener with a 1-0 record. A flawlessly-executed game plan catered to Jalen Hurts’ skill set had many thinking the Eagles could be the surprise team of the NFL season. Fast forward two weeks and that once rosy outlook has dimmed. The Eagles lost two straight and now get an ultra-motivated Chiefs team that is coming off two straight losses of its own.

Let’s take a look at this NFL Week 4 matchup between the Eagles and Chiefs with a dive into the odds and betting trends before revealing our pick and prediction.

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds

Kansas City opened as roughly six-point road favorites, but approximately three out of every four tickets coming in on the Chiefs has pushed the spread up to or over a touchdown at many sportsbooks. As of Friday afternoon, the spread sits at Chiefs -6.5. The total has hovered in the mid-50s, a clear sign that oddsmakers believe the 41 points given up by the Eagles in Dallas on Monday night was not a mirage.

A look at the current Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, courtesy of Barstool Sportsbook:

TeamsSpreadMoneyline Total
Eagles-3.5 (-110)-190O 45 (-110)
Giants+3.5 (-110)+160U 45 (-110)

Chiefs vs. Eagles Pick

Yes, the Chiefs have lost two straight games for just the third time since Patrick Mahomes took over at quarterback during the 2018 season. Yes, they should probably be 0-3 right now. And yes, they have been a horrific cover team for quite some time. However, this is still the Kansas City Chiefs, the team that went 16-3 SU last season and only seemed to improve on paper in the offseason.

Do you think that Andy Reid, who has won and covered both games against the Eagles since his firing, and  Mahomes, who won and covered both of his previous games off back-to-back SU losses in his NFL career, are going to fall to Sirianni, Jalen Hurts, and an Eagles team that looked outclassed at every turn against Dallas Monday night?

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Speaking of which, the Eagles have the disadvantage of a short week while facing a Chiefs team on normal rest. Everyone on Earth is aware of Reid’s prowess off a bye, so you have to imagine he gains some advantage here with an extra day against a first-year head coach.

By the way, did we mention the Eagles are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games after a Monday Night Football appearance?

That should go well for the Birds against Mahomes, who won those two other games off of back-to-back losses in his career by 30-6 and 35-3 margins. <insert obvious eye roll>

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Some Concerning Betting Trends

Simply put, the Eagles’ coaching staff looked overmatched last week. Having a new head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator, none of which has had success at this level calling plays, is a death wish in this league. Notably, offensive coordinator Shane Steichen helped guide the Chargers to a 9-15 SU and 8-14-2 ATS record when he was calling plays — and he’s the only staffer with experience doing so in a full-on regular season capacity.

To make matters worse, the Eagles called just three rushing plays to running backs on Monday night, asking a quarterback who clearly does not yet have the tools necessary to sit in the pocket and sling the ball around to throw it nearly 40 times like he’s Tom Brady. Something feels off here, and teams must be firing on all cylinders to hang with Kansas City.

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The Eagles have failed to cover any of their last six games after gaining less than 90 yards on the ground prior, a feat that was obviously inevitable against Dallas (64 rushing yards) when Miles Sanders received just two carries. They are also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after a SU loss.

Meanwhile, on the other side, Mahomes entered 2021 with a 21-13 ATS record against non-divisional opponents, while Reid has led the Chiefs to a 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS record against the NFC East in his time with Kansas City. Despite losing to the Chargers last week, the Chiefs managed to pile up 186 rushing yards en route to 437 total yards in the game. Worth noting, they are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games after gaining over 150 rushing yards prior and have covered six of their last eight after amassing over 350 total yards in their previous game.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction

Hurts is about to play his first game against a quarterback off a loss and it happens to be against Mahomes, a guy that’s never lost three in a row in the NFL. It’s going to get worse before it gets better for Philadelphia and it’s hard to see how the Eagles can hang around in this one.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Pick : Kansas City -6.5

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