Eagles vs. Jets Odds, Pick, Prediction (NFL Week 13)

eagles jets odds pick prediction

The Philadelphia Eagles did what was supposed to be the hard work by climbing back into the NFC playoff picture with wins over Denver and New Orleans. Then, well, you know what happened last week in New Jersey. Now, they’ll return to the scene of last week’s letdown and try to secure a victory in a must-win spot at MetLife Stadium when they play the 3-8 New York Jets.

Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Jets prediction for this NFL Week 13 matchup, including a look at the odds, betting trends, and our ATS pick.

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Eagles vs. Jets Odds

Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Jets odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamsSpreadMoneyline Total
Eagles+9.5 (-110)+290O 46 (-110)
Buccaneers-9.5 (-110)-380U 46 (-110)

The Eagles opened as roughly 6.5-point favorites on the road for this one and the line has bounced between that number and -7 ever since. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is receiving roughly 60 percent of point spread bets and as much as 80 percent of the handle. The total opened around 45 and has seen around 60 percent of the wagers and handle both come in for the under, with the total remaining relatively unchanged.

No matter how much you want to read into the Eagles’ loss last week or the Jets’ road win over Houston, this line should still probably be higher than it is. It’s just difficult to slap a 5-7 team with more than a touchdown number during a season in which underdogs have been so profitable.

That said, as bad as the Eagles played against the Giants a week ago, it was a divisional road game, which we all know takes conventional wisdom off the table. Meanwhile, Houston is one of the league’s worst teams, so how much was that Jets win really worth?

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Eagles vs. Jets Pick

Oddsmakers have seemed to have a weird love affair with the Eagles for much of this season, but it’s worth noting that this is the first time they have been favorites of more than four points. That also helps explain the current point spread not being higher here.

Meanwhile, New York is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. The Jets have been underdogs of 6-11 points three times this season, failing to cover any of those games. They allowed 41.7 points per game in those outings, losing by an average of 27.3 points. In fact, since the Jets’ opening game, they have not lost any game by less than seven points.

Philadelphia head coach Nick Sirianni has done his best work this season against similarly raw opposing head coaches. The team has five wins; two of which came against rookie head coaches. The Eagles also allowed just six points to both teams coached by first-year guys, winning those games by 26 and 38 points.

New York will be playing this one without Michael Carter, the team’s leading rusher and a guy who accounts for nearly 20 percent of the team’s total scrimmage yards this season. The Jets’ next most productive back has yet to reach 200 yards on the ground. And with a mistake-prone rookie quarterback in Zack Wilson who has struggled in many facets this season, New York could have a difficult time moving the ball in this one. Interestingly, the Jets average 454 yards of offense per game without Zach Wilson under center, but just 267 yards per game with him.

On the other side, the Eagles’ elite rushing attack should be able to wear down a Jets defense that allows a generous 4.5 yards per carry.  Also of note, the Jets have allowed the NFL’s sixth most rushing yards and have been overrun by quality rushing attacks all season long.

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ATS Trends to Know

  • New York is just 1-6 SU and ATS against opponents in the top 14 in rushing yards per game with all six of those losses coming by 15 or more points.
  • The Jets are unlikely to gain any momentum off their win last week. They lost both other games this season SU and ATS following a SU win, with those losses each coming by seven or more points. New York is also just 2-5 ATS following its last seven SU wins and 1-5 ATS in its last six after an ATS victory.
  • New York has dropped seven straight games against teams coming off a SU loss and have won just one of their last five ATS after holding an opponent to 14 points or less.
  • The Jets will be trying to change that narrative against a Philadelphia bunch that has covered nine of its last 13 games after an ATS loss, including each of its last three this season. Two of those came as favorites, games which the Eagles won on the road by 11 and 38 points.
  • Finally, Philadelphia mustered just seven points last week on this field, the first time the Eagles were held to 10 points or fewer all season. However, the Jets’ league worst scoring defense is unlikely to keep Philly’s 13th ranked scoring offense in check here for a second week in a row. After all, Philadelphia has covered 14 of its last 15 road games after scoring 10 points or less previously.

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Eagles vs. Jets Prediction

Look for the Eagles to continue their dominant ATS run against AFC East opponents, against which they have covered eight of their last 10 games, while getting themselves back into playoff contention once again.

Our Pick: Philadelphia -7

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