The 3 Best Bucks vs. Hawks Game 4 Player Prop Picks (June 29, 2021)

On Tuesday night, the Atlanta Hawks will play host to the Milwaukee Bucks for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference Finals series.

Let’s take a closer look at the top Bucks vs. Hawks Game 4 player prop picks and make some predictions for this June 29, 2021 NBA Playoffs matchup.

Bucks vs. Hawks Game 4 Player Props (June 29, 2021)

The Eastern Conference Finals series between the Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks has begun to trend in the direction many pundits believed it would prior to the start of the series. To Atlanta’s credit, their Game 1 road victory was critical in establishing themselves as a legitimate opponent for the Bucks, but Milwaukee’s back-to-back wins have led to many wondering if Atlanta will be able to adapt and pull out a win at home in Game 4. Milwaukee walked away from Game 3 with an impressive 113-102 victory with the chance to take a 3-1 series lead on Tuesday night.

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Game 6 Best Bets
Jrue Holiday to Score 20+ Points (-120, BetMGM)
Devin Booker to Score 30+ Points and Make 3+ Three-Pointers (+220, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Pat Connaughton to Make Over 1.5 Three-Point Field Goals (-222, FOX Bet)

The Bucks were a two-man show on Sunday night, with Khris Middleton exploding for 38 points and Giannis Antetokounmpo going for 33 of his own. Bobby Portis (15) and Brook Lopez (10) were the only other Bucks to score in double figures in Game 3. Middleton’s performance was a welcome development for Milwaukee, who saw him pull down 11 rebounds and dish out 7 assists in the contest. Two-time league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo grabbed 11 rebounds of his own to go with 4 assists, 2 steals, and 1 block.

The Hawks’ odds of winning this series took a massive hit the moment Trae Young tweaked his ankle in Game 3, which has since been diagnosed as a bone bruise in his foot. Young’s status for Game 4 remains questionable as of early Tuesday afternoon. If Young is unable to go, Atlanta will have to replace his 35 points from Game 3. Danilo Gallinari (18), John Collins (13), and Kevin Huerter (11) all stand to get increased field goal attempts in this one if Trae Young is out of the lineup. Bogdan Bogdanovic, who is listed as probable, could also get a share of Young’s 20+ field goal attempts.

Will the Hawks draw level in this series or will the Bucks take a 3-1 series lead back to Milwaukee?

Giannis Antetokounmpo to Score 30+ Points and Bucks to Win (+120, BetMGM)

There is always inherent risk in taking a same game parlay including a team moneyline win as well as a player prop. However, given the recent form of two-time league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo and his team’s consecutive wins, this one has real value at +120 odds.

Antetokounmpo is coming off an efficient performance in Game 3 in which he went 13-21 from the field, including 6-13 from the free throw line en route to 33 points. That marked the second time this series in which Giannis has posted at least 33 points, which also included a 34-point Game 1 showing. In this series, Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.7 points per game. Overall, Giannis has dropped at least 30 points in seven of his last eight games and nine times in 14 playoff games.

Given the questionable status of Trae Young and the nature of his injury, it stands to reason the Bucks will take a 3-1 series lead with a big game from Giannis on the horizon.

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John Collins to Make Over 1.5 Three-Point Field Goals (+130, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Trae Young’s questionable status is going to create market volatility for any player props related to the Hawks. One of Atlanta’s most consistent performers in this series has been John Collins, who has posted double-digit scoring totals in 12 of his 15 postseason performances, including four straight games.

Collins’ scoring success has been built in some ways on his ability to take advantage of his opportunities from the field. Collins has attempted multiple three-pointers in each of his last three games and seven of his last eight games overall. While he has only connected on multiple three pointers once over that stretch, it’s worth noting that he could see an uptick in his attempts from deep regardless of whether or not Trae Young ultimately plays.

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Khris Middleton to Record Over 11.5 Combined Rebounds and Assists (-174, FanDuel Sportsbook)

Khris Middleton has been sensational this postseason as Milwaukee’s second option behind Giannis Antetokounmpo. Middleton has put up at least 15 points in 13 of his 14 postseason appearances while contributing as a playmaker and a player who can crash the boards.

Middleton’s 7.9 rebounds per game are the second-most on the team this postseason, while his 4.7 assists per game are the third-highest mark for the Bucks. As for him going over 11.5 combined rebounds and assists, there’s real value at -174 odds.

Middleton has crossed the 11.5 combined rebounds and assists threshold in six of his last eight games, including four of his last five contests. After combining for nine rebounds and assists in Game 1, Middleton has crossed the threshold in each of the last two games with 7 rebounds and 8 assists (15 total) in Game 2, as well as 11 rebounds and 7 assists (18 total) in Game 3.

Given his recent form as well as his ability to rack up rebounds and assists throughout this postseason, this market has realistic chance to hit.

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