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Feels Like a Phillies Run Line Night with Cristopher Sanchez Facing the White Sox
By Joe Tansey
Published:
The Phillies are one of three teams listed above -200 on the money line on Monday night. They’re 6-3 in Sanchez’s last nine starts and 15-5 overall when the left-hander is on the mound in 2025.
That’s enough to bet on the Phillies in some capacity, but the -220 money line price is too high for a lot of people, so the run line is the best way to go with backing the Sanchez trends.
Ten of the 15 wins earned by the Phils in Sanchez starts were by two or more runs. The run line price is much more manageable at -135. For Pennsylvania sports betting value, I would use that as the base of a parlay for BetMGM’s Any Sport Parlay Boost Token.
I’d add in the Tigers money line (the DBacks are dead and waiting for everyone to be traded) and the Guardians run line (home against the Rockies) to qualify for the boost. That’s +445 before applying.
bet365 has a 30 percent Same Game Parlay boost available for Monday’s MLB slate.
I’d lean more toward Sanchez outs props than strikeouts because he’s been so consistent with getting into the seventh inning lately. He’s coming off a 106-pitch complete game and threw into the seventh inning in each of his last four starts.
Sanchez’s over/under on outs sits at 18.5. The over sits at +132. That’s worth betting as a straight alone. I don’t mind betting the over 18.5 after the complete game because 106 pitches is right in the range where Sanchez has been over the last two months. He had 105 pitches against the Giants on July 7th and then threw 7.1 innings versus the Padres in his next start.
Davis Martin is on the hill for the White Sox. Right-handed hitters have had far more success (.288 BA) compared to lefties (.209 BA). He’s allowed three or more earned runs across three of his last four starts.
Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos, and J.T. Realmuto all have at least 74 hits against righties. They are the top three Phillies hitters in terms of hits versus righties.
Turner, Castellanos, and Realmuto all to record a hit, Sanchez o18.5 outs, and the Phillies run line puts you at +575 before the 30 percent boost is applied.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.