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Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: I-95 Rivalry Renewed
Published:
EDIT – Joel Embiid has been ruled out with right knee injury management
It’s time for another heated chapter in the I-95 rivalry as the Sixers prepare to host the New York Knicks and their rat bastard fans.
The Sixers are coming off an ugly loss in Portland on Monday night, but went 3-2 on the five-game road trip. The Knicks have lost 2 of 3 after their eight-game win streak came to an end. That streak included a road win in Philadelphia, thought the season series is currently 2-1 Sixers with a pair of wins in Madison Square Garden,
Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks Betting Odds
Here are the latest consensus betting odds for tonight’s matchup at Xfinity Mobile Arena:
- Point Spread: 76ers -2.5 (-105), Knicks +2.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: 76ers -135, Knicks +113
- Total: O/U 224.5 Points
76ers vs. Knicks Prediction: Trust the Sixers to Cover at Home
While New York fans love to flood South Philly and pretend it’s Madison Square Garden South, the Sixers are in decent shape coming off a road loss without Joel Embiid. We are fading the noise and backing the home squad to take care of business.
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 (-105)
The Knicks have been surprisingly competent against the number lately, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, which is admittedly cute. However, Philadelphia locks in when the books expect them to win. The 76ers are a dominant 5-1 as a favorite over their last six contests, showing they know how to protect home court when playing from ahead.
While New York boasts a solid 51.4% rebounding rate in away games compared to Philadelphia’s 49.0% at home, the Sixers have the star power to negate that hustle. Joel Embiid is questionable, expected to play, and averaging roughly 26.6 points per contest this season. Tyrese Maxey has already piled up 1,471 total points and OG Anunoby is OUT on the latest injury report. The Sixers have the closers to operate effectively in the halfcourt and cover this short number and claim the season series.
Best Philadelphia 76ers Player Props vs. Knicks
We’ve combed through the spreadsheets so you don’t have to, identifying where the books might be asleep at the wheel regarding the Sixers’ roster. Tonight, we are looking at volume scoring and a fade on the boards. Here are the top player prop picks.
Tyrese Maxey Over 25.5 Points
Somewhere in a back room, a devastating calculator error must have occurred, because this line feels disrespectful to the franchise guard. Tyrese Maxey has been absolutely torching nets this season, racking up a staggering 1,471 points over 51 games. If you do the math—and we assume you can—that averages out to roughly 28.8 points per game, significantly higher than the number the books are hanging tonight.
Maxey isn’t exactly shy about shooting the basketball, either. He has launched 1,096 field goal attempts this year, including 451 from beyond the arc. While the Knicks trot out defensive specialists like Mikal Bridges and OG Anunoby to make life difficult, Maxey’s pure volume makes him nearly immune to a total shutdown. Unless he decides to play this game blindfolded for charity, backing him to clear a bar he consistently vaults over is the only logical move.
Joel Embiid Under 8.5 Rebounds
We love Joel, but tonight we are fading the big man on the glass. Through 31 games this season, Embiid has pulled down 232 total rebounds, which averages out to just under 7.5 per contest. Asking him to secure nine boards against this specific New York lineup feels like asking a cat to enjoy a bath—it’s theoretically possible, but it’s going to be a struggle.
The issue here isn’t just Embiid’s modest rebounding rate; it’s the monsters he has to box out. The Knicks start Karl-Anthony Towns, who has gobbled up 596 rebounds this season, and they rotate in Mitchell Robinson, who has snagged 340 boards in just 38 games. Between Robinson camping in the paint and Josh Hart flying in from nowhere (320 rebounds for a guard is absurd), there simply aren’t enough missed shots to go around. We expect Embiid to focus on scoring and let the Knicks argue over the loose balls.
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