If you would’ve told me three weeks ago that the Eagles would find themselves in a must-win game heading into Week 6, I would have said you were crazy. The Giants? Maybe. But not the Eagles. Yet that’s exactly the situation facing both teams when they take the field at MetLife Stadium tonight. It’s been ugly for both teams lately. The 2-3 Eagles are coming off a sloppy and disappointing 23-21 loss to Minnesota, while the Giants try to bounce back after a walkoff 63-yard field goal sank them in Carolina a week ago.
Can the Eagles right the ship? Can the Giants save their season? Let’s find out by taking a look at what the betting trends and data reveal.
Eagles (-3) at Giants, Over/Under 44
It’s hard to imagine the Giants bouncing back and competing after such a crushing defeat last week, but those expecting New York to fold tonight should look to last year’s game with the Eagles in which they lost on a 61-yard field goal as a cautionary tale. The Giants covered the following week as a 2.5-point underdog, as they are tonight at several books, in a 25-23 loss at Tampa Bay. I expect a similar fight this time around.
The Eagles and Giants come in both looking to avoid their third-straight loss. The Eagles haven’t been in this spot since 2016 and were 2-1 ATS in such games that season. Manning, meanwhile has had plenty of experience with losing back-to-back games in his career and is 11-12-1 in such games.
While on the surface, a matchup with the cellar-dwelling Giants would seem to be a welcomed opponent given the Eagles have won 16 of the last 20 matchups between the two teams, including the past three contests. That advantage, however, isn’t as pronounced when measured against the spread lately. Pederson is 3-1 straight-up against the Giants, but only 1-3 ATS as the Eagles failed to cover either of their wins a season ago.
Other game trends to know
Backers of the Eagles can take some solace in the Eagles’ 3-0 record straight-up and ATS under Doug Pederson when the Eagles play on Thursday night, including a 24-19 win over the Giants in December of 2016. Across the league, the home team is 13-8-1 ATS on Thursdays dating back to the start of last season, and 4-1 ATS this season. Favorites, meanwhile, are 12-9-1 ATS during the same time frame and are 33-23-2 since the start of the 2015 season. Of all the trends I found during my research, this is perhaps the most convincing. Continue Reading