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Premier League Picks Week 6

Philip Keidel - September 21, 2018

Your pal Paddy is off to a rough start here. Two losing weeks in a row has shaken the confidence, but there isn’t any use in dwelling over the bad breaks of the past. This weekend’s Premier League slate contains endless opportunities for profit. We just need to look in the right places. Here are Paddy’s Picks for Week 6.

CARDIFF CITY v. MANCHESTER CITY

“I wish I knew how to quit you,” I heard someone say somewhere. Manchester City has lightened my wallet twice so far and yet their match with lowly Cardiff in Wales this weekend is too attractive to stay away from. Man City are almost certainly going to win this match — Cardiff was just promoted in August, and City have won 16 of their last 21 matches against newly-promoted sides. So we have to find value here somewhere. The handicap market is not much use to us because Cardiff has conceded 10 goals in their last three matches in all competitions. They are probably going to cough up a few to Man City, too.

Ultimately, then, the question is really this: Can Cardiff score even once at home? Even in the past three matches where they have had their heads handed to them, Cardiff scored in each of them. Additionally, Man City has conceded at least one goal in three of their last four league matches. With Man City reeling and exhausted from a mid-week loss in Champions League play, Cardiff has better than half a chance to at least score. So the pick here is Manchester City to win AND both teams to score at 2/1.

LIVERPOOL v. SOUTHAMPTON

Liverpool is unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League matches at Anfield, their happy home hunting ground. Southampton’s last Premier League effort saw the Saints blow a two-goal lead at home to a Brighton and Hove Albion side that is as nondescript and devoid of threat as Southampton is. The temptation is great here to see this as an easy 3-0 or 4-0 win for Liverpool, whose five wins in five league matches have them sharing the league lead with Chelsea (though the Blues lead on goal difference.)

Ah, but there’s that pesky Champions League again, getting in the way of what should be an easy day for Liverpool. The Reds expended a ton of energy at Anfield mid-week, beating Paris Saint-Germain in a thriller. Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp is almost certainly going to have to rotate his squad and sit some of his best players, at least at the outset of this match. There is no reason to pick Southampton to win or even draw this match, but there is definitely cause to temper expectations for how dominant Liverpool can be in this match. The pick: Liverpool to win AND over 2.5 goals at 4/6.

Jose says “this pick is a lock, chalk it up now.” Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas, USA TODAY

MANCHESTER UNITED v. WOLVERHAMPTON

Wolverhampton has been a nice story at the outset of this Premier League campaign. Wolves lead the newly-promoted sides comfortably in the table, having won twice already in five tries in league play (more wins than Cardiff City and Fulham combined thus far.) Wolves have also been great value, and helped your humble tout with a timely win at West Ham in Week 4. Wolverhampton is riding a three-match winning streak in all competitions and is unbeaten in four. So you should take Wolves, yes?

No. United have won the last six matches against Wolves at Old Trafford. Wolves have only managed to score twice in their last seven visits to the Theatre of Dreams. Perhaps most crucially, United manager Jose Mourinho has never suffered back-to-back home league defeats in his managerial career. He won’t lose this one either. Take Manchester United to win at 3/5.

Good luck this week.

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS:

$100 to win $240 on Watford/Manchester United draw: LOSS

$100 to win $83 on Arsenal over Newcastle: WIN

$100 to win $75 on Manchester City win over Fulham AND over 3.5 goals: LOSS

TOTAL LAST WEEK: -$117

TOTAL TO DATE: $-197

 

 

 

LeSean McCoy Faces New Disturbing Allegations of Abusing His Son

Philip Keidel - September 19, 2018

Former Eagles Pro Bowl running back LeSean McCoy has been accused of physically abusing his own son by the boy’s mother.

According to Danny Heifetz’s post to The Ringer:

Stephanie Maisonet, the mother of Buffalo Bills running back LeSean McCoy’s son, filed an affidavit in which she states that McCoy physically abused the boy on multiple occasions.

“Our son would often come home with bruises in which I would consistently receive outlandish excuses as to where the bruises would come from,” Maisonet’s affidavit says.

If proven, these allegations are horrific enough in and of themselves. This situation is almost certain to get even murkier and uglier, though, because Maisonet’s affidavit was offered in connection with the ongoing investigation of the July invasion of McCoy’s home. You will recall that McCoy’s erstwhile girlfriend, Delicia Cordon, was living in his Georgia home at the time of the attack despite McCoy having already instituted eviction proceedings against her.

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Sports Betting Updates

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BetStars NJ Launches With Insane $500 Free Bet Promo

BetStars NJ launched their sports betting app and they offer a pretty outrageous promo code and deposit bonus, which you should absolutely take advantage of. Owned by The Stars Group, a Canadian-based company that powers the popular PokerStars app, BetStars is targeting DraftKings and FanDuel directly, bringing its mobile-focused product to New Jersey with an AGGRESSIVE promo and deposit bonus. BetStars is offering new customers up to $500 in free bets and 100 to 1

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Jemele Hill’s ESPN Stint Ends Not With a Bang but With a Whimper

Philip Keidel - September 14, 2018

Rumors of Jemele Hill’s impending departure from ESPN have been circulating for weeks.

Today, Hill announced her departure from the Worldwide Leader:

Hill proclaims that the past 12 years at ESPN was “where I became the best version of myself, both personally and professionally.” That’s a fairly glossy summation.

Professionally, Hill’s biggest chance at ESPN came when the network entrusted its six o’clock SportsCenter — traditionally one of its most coveted slots — to her and co-host Michael Smith. “SC6” never really took off, though, and lasted just over a year.

Well, the show did, anyway.

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Phillies Get Rained Out Without a Drop Falling

Philip Keidel - September 10, 2018

One of the worst beatings I narrowly avoided in my insufferably mouthy twenties came at a South Philadelphia bar after a Flyers playoff win when my friends and I were standing next to some of the guys who worked at the Center taking care of the ice. None of the jokes I told were especially funny, but at least they weren’t very clever, either.

“So, if you guys don’t show, does the ice just melt?”

“When you apply for that job, do you submit a resume or just a picture of your hosing down your back yard in January?”

“Have the Flyers ever ended up playing in roller blades on the hard wood because you guys messed up?”

And so on. I definitely should have lost some teeth that night.

Anyway, this story popped into my head tonight as the condition of the field mere hours from the start of tonight’s scheduled game with the Washington Nationals led to some pretty interesting scenes: Continue Reading

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Mychal Kendricks Released by Cleveland Browns in Wake of Insider Trading Charge

Philip Keidel - August 29, 2018

Earlier today we advised that former Eagles linebacker Mychal Kendricks had run afoul of the Federales with regard to some stock dealings that may not have been on the level.

It did not take very long for the proverbial other shoe to drop on this situation. From the Browns’ Twitter feed:

The Cleveland Browns have terminated the contract of LB Mychal Kendricks.

Statement from John Dorsey on Mychal Kendricks:

Prior to signing Mychal, we were informed that there was a financial situation that he had been involved with in 2014. We were told Mychal had fully cooperated with investigators as a victim. From what was communicated at that time and based on the numerous questions we asked and further due diligence on our part, including checking with the league office, there was no information discovered that conveyed otherwise.

Recently, we were provided an update on the matter and the circumstances have changed. We are now dealing with a different set of facts and the additional information we’ve gathered has led us to the decision to release Mychal from our team. Due to the ongoing legal nature of this situation, we will have no further comments.

Well then.

Maybe you have a long list of possible interpretations of this situation, and if you do, please share them because maybe you will enlighten me. From this keyboard, though, the rational conclusions fall into two categories: 1. The Browns never really had a full appreciation of just what Kendricks was accused of because he was not fully forthcoming; or 2. Kendricks was fully forthcoming, and the Browns bailed out once the heat got too hot.

Either way, if I had any say in the Eagles’ personnel decisions, I would leap at the chance to bring Kendricks back on a low-money deal or even to sign him to the practice squad if that was possible. This is the ultimate “low risk, high reward” situation, and nothing insulates you from allegations of putting winning over employing bad character guys like a recent Super Bowl triumph.

JJ Redick Isn’t Sure Who or What Was in His Courtesy Car, but It Probably Wasn’t Good

Philip Keidel - August 16, 2018

Philadelphia 76ers shooting guard JJ Redick might be this city’s sporting version of The Most Interesting Man in the World. The former Duke star has had a very productive NBA career, and since he has taken his talents to Philadelphia he has launched a podcast and in some ways has become a brand all his own.

Part of Redick’s branding is attributable to his looks, and good for him. Work it. But Redick was working it recently in a photo shoot in New York for a clothing company and, well, let’s just say things got weird. From his podcast on The Ringer with Orlando Magic draft choice Mo Bamba:

So yesterday, I had a photo shoot…and at the end of the shoot they had set up a driver for me. So we come downstairs out of the apartment where we were shooting at in Chelsea, and I knock on the door, and the guy kind of leans out and he’s like “are you JJ Redick” and I’m like “yeah.” So…I’m like “hey, I’ve gotta put my bag…in the back.”

We’re OK so far. Let’s just keep the tape rolling and see where this goes:

As I’m like leaning in to put my bag in there and Kylee (my sister-in-law) and my wife (Kylee’s twin is my wife) the three of us were like in the back, and so I put my stuff in the back, Kylee put her stuff in the back, and I was like, “it smells kind of weird.” It wasn’t like a bad smell, like it didn’t smell like dog food or dog shit, it was just like a weird smell, and at the time I didn’t think anything of it.

Photo Credit: Eric Hartline, USA TODAY

We’re still OK…but very soon this story is going to go sideways:

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The Recent Rain Storms Turned the Schuylkill River into a Floating Garbage Dump

Philip Keidel - August 14, 2018

We all know that the polar ice caps are melting and that planet Earth as we know it is probably on a fast track to an early destruction due to carbon emissions. We don’t live particularly close to the polar ice caps here, so it’s fairly easy to ignore all that.

But when the Schuylkill River looks like this, as it did today, well…yikes:

Technically, we aren’t really to blame for this. The Schuylkill flows south from parts of the state that we don’t generally think about too often.

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Cole Hamels Is Going to Get Another Chance for a Ring in Chicago

Philip Keidel - July 26, 2018

Three years and one day to the point in time when Cole Hamels no-hit the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field, Hamels is headed to Chicago to bolster the Cubs’ rotation just as the pennant race heats up:

Hamels has recently resembled the end-of-career Steve Carlton, suffering a number of nasty beatings at least some of which were likely due to the heat in Arlington, Texas — a place where his crafty style was probably never really going to play anyway:

But as we all know, there are lies, damned lies, and statistics:

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