Posts for Sports Gambling Category

FanDuel Sportsbook Is Coming To Live! Casino and Hotel in South Philly

Craig Dudek - December 13, 2019

FanDuel Group and The Cordish Companies announced a partnership that will place the popular FanDuel Sportsbook in Cordish’s casino properties across the country. This partnership combines the efforts of two established leaders in the casino and sportsbook worlds with The Cordish Companies serving over 55 million visitors a year and FanDuel Group having over 8.5 million users in 45 states.

“This partnership allows us to capitalize on the incredible success of sports betting to date and bring FanDuel’s top sports betting operations to Cordish destinations across the United States,” said Matt King, CEO of the FanDuel Group.

By partnering with FanDuel Group, Cordish Companies can now offer special promotions and unique sports betting opportunities to all of their Live! properties.

The first two installments of this partnership will be at Cordish’s Live Casino & Hotel Philadelphia, which is being built next to the city’s sports complex, and the Live! Casino in Westmoreland County, PA. Philadelphians are already familiar with The Cordish Companies through Xfinity Live!, a dining and entertainment venue located between the stadiums that is a hot spot before, during and after all of the games.

By combining forces with The Cordish Companies, FanDuel Group has secured a second location near a professional sports stadium. Their other location at the Meadowlands Racetrack next to MetLife Stadium put them in an excellent spot to bring in bettors from New York and those their way to game. Having a physical book next to stadiums that house four professional sports team is a big win in a crowded market.

The Cordish Companies and FanDuel Group are now working on acquiring sports betting licenses in states where it is legalized and are well positioned to jump into new markets when they open their doors to the industry.

Chiefs Vs. Patriots Betting Prediction: Odds and Picks

Bob Wankel - December 8, 2019

It will be a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game when New England and Kansas City get together at Gillette Stadium later this afternoon, and we’ve got everything you need to know ahead of this crucial Week 14 showdown with our Chiefs vs. Patriots betting prediction and picks.

Despite struggling a week ago on the road at Houston, the Patriots return home where they have been virtually unbeatable late in the season against conference foes since the turn of the century. New England’s home dominance against AFC squads isn’t just limited to the month of December, as the Patriots have rattled off 14 straight wins against conference opponents dating back to the start of the 2017 season. Their last home loss? It came at the hands of the Chiefs, a team which will be looking to exact some revenge for the Patriots’ dramatic win at Arrowhead Stadium that clinched their spot in Super Bowl 53. Which team will get it done today and cover the spread? Let’s get into it.

How to Bet on Chiefs vs. Patriots

Pennsylvania

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA Only

‘Tis the season for giving and the legal online sportsbooks are spreading some holiday cheer this Sunday.

FOX Bet PA is giving new users a $20 signup bonus and $100 deposit match that you can cash in on right here.   Meanwhile, all users can take advantage of FOX Bet’s money back specials and bet boosts.

DraftKings Sportsbook PA is offering users a $500 risk-free first bet which can be had by hitting it here .

Indiana

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana offers the same $500 risk-free bet, which you can get here .

Similarly, FanDuel Sportsbook IN is one of the state’s top legal betting options and also gives new users a $500 risk-free first bet .

New Jersey

DraftKings, FanDuel, and FOX Bet are each available in New Jersey, but we also strongly recommend PointsBet for its excellent new user offer. PointsBet gives bettors a free $100 with a $50 deposit at sign up.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Odds

Here are the current Chiefs vs. Patriots betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of Sunday morning:

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs        +3 (-105)      +145   O 49 (-110)
Patriots        -3 (-117)      -167   U 49 (-110)

FOX Bet

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs       +3 (-105)     +135   O 49 (-110)
Patriots       -3 (-110)     -154   U 49 (-110)

FanDuel Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Chiefs       +3 (+100)      +136   O 49.5 (-110)
Patriots       -3 (-120)      -154   U 49.5 (-110)

Win Probability

FiveThirtyEight’s ELO point spread projection suggests there’s a little bit of value on the Patriots right now.

ELO projects the Patriots as a four-point favorite and calculates a 63% win probability for the home team. With New England currently favored by three points at the legal books, the ELO projection suggests there is roughly one point of betting value on the Patriots. 

Meanwhile, the implied win probability of the -154 moneyline price on the Patriots at FOX Bet is 60.6%, which means the moneyline price is just a bit cheaper than what the ELO projection suggests to be appropriate (-170 would be in line with a 63% win probability).

As for the Chiefs, the implied win probability of their +135 moneyline odds at FOX Bet is 42.6%, meaning there exists no value on a Kansas City moneyline play in relation to the ELO probability.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Injury Report

Patriots Injury Report

The Patriots will be without defensive lineman Byron Cowart (head) and offensive lineman Ted Karras (knee), while six players are questionable–including some significant names. Linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley (knee), offensive tackle Marcus Cannon (illness), safety Patrick Chung (heel), wide receiver Julian Edelman (shoulder), corner Jason McCourty (groin), and wide receiver Mohamed Sanu (ankle) are each questionable, but expected to suit up.

Chiefs Injury Report

The Chiefs will be down corners Morris Claiborne (shoulder) and Rashad Fenton (knee), which is good news for a struggling Patriots passing attack. Defensive end Frank Clark (shoulder/illness) is questionable, while Andy Reid’s offense will be without the services of running back Damien Williams (ribs), who had quite the game against New England last January:

His absence comes in the wake of the news that fellow running back Darrel Williams was placed on injured reserve earlier in the week, so that means LeSean McCoy is expected to lead the way. McCoy doesn’t have more than 12 carries in any game this season and has only 15 total rushes over his last three games. Spencer Ware and Darwin Thompson are also expected to share the load.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Betting Specials

Over at FOX Bet, Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5 Special continues to be a solid promo. Users can follow Cowherd’s pack of five picks (Ravens -6, Browns -7.5, Broncos +8.5, Chiefs +3, Cardinals +2.5), and if he gets at least three picks right, bettors cash at +100 odds. FOX Bet is also offering nine different bet boosts for this game, including:

  • Mahomes to throw for 300+ yards an Chiefs to win (+400)
  • Chiefs +3.5, Mahomes 300+ pass yards, Hill 75+ receiving yards, Chiefs 3+ TD (+650)
  • James White to score anytime, Pats to cover -3.5, and over 49.5 points (+750)

DraftKings Sportsbook has a boosted game parlay on the Patriots, Steelers, and Titans to all win at +450, as well as Patrick Mahomes to record over 2.5 passing touchdowns boosted to +200.

Finally, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Close Loss Insurance in which you can get a $50 refund on losing pre-game money line bets if your team loses by six points or less. With a close game expected between these two teams, that promo might be worth a look.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Betting Trends

Note: All trends date back to the 2003 season unless otherwise noted.

Why Backing the Chiefs is a Good Bet

The Chiefs are 30-10 ATS as a road team against conference opponents under Andy Reid. They are 7-3 ATS on the road against conference opponents with a .700 winning percentage or better.

Why Backing the Patriots is a Good Bet

Since 2017, the Patriots are 22-2 straight up and 16-8 ATS at home home, having won 21 consecutive games at Gillette Stadium.

The Patriots have won 14 straight conference games at home (10-4 ATS) since losing to the Chiefs, 42-27, in September 2017.

The Patriots are 25-1 at home straight up and 18-8 ATS against AFC teams in the month of December, but they were only favored by three points or less in just one of those games.

The Game Total

Our lean is on the under in this game.

The over is 25-35-1 in conference games between a road team with a .600 record or better and a home team with a .700 record or better in December or later. The over is also only 3-7-1 when the total closes between 48-50 points in this situation, and it’s 1-5 when the total closes between 48.5-50 points.

Where’s the Action?

As of early Sunday morning, 52% of spread bets and 59% of the spread handle backs the Chiefs. As for the total, roughly 49% of bets and 57% of the money sides with the over.

Bets We Like

Colin Cowherd’s Blazing 5 Special at FOX Bet. Sign up right here.

Cowherd has the Ravens -6, Browns -7.5, Broncos +8.5, Chiefs +3, and Cardinals +2.5 this week. Three of these picks must win in order to cash the bet. We’re in an agreement with Cowherd on the Ravens, Chiefs and Cardinals. You can find out why right here with our full slate of Week 14 NFL picks.

Mahomes Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (boosted to +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook). Get it here .

The Patriots aren’t in the business of allowing passing touchdowns–they’ve only given up eight scores through the air in 13 games this season. In fact, the four passing touchdowns they allowed last week at Houston equaled their season total:

As for Mahomes, he enters this game having thrown for three or more touchdowns in 5 of his 10 starts this season, but is coming off of back-to-back performances in which he’s thrown for just one touchdown. I’d be wary of this play if it were an even proposition, but at boosted +200 odds, there’s some value here. The Chiefs are down two of their top three running backs, and it seems probable that Mahomes is going to have to “out duel” Brady if Kansas City is to win this game.

Team to win by 1-13 points at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get it here .

Our pick is on the the Chiefs to cover the number, but you can get creative with FanDuel’s winning margin offerings. It’s hard to envision a blowout in this game. Kansas City’s defense isn’t good enough to bury New England, while it’s hard to imagine the Patriots’ struggling offense separating from the Chiefs’ attack.

Personally, I’m going to make the Chiefs +3 my primary play and add a smaller bet on them to win by 1-13 points at +200 odds, but if you’re on New England, grabbing the Patriots to win by 1-13 points at +145 odds also makes some sense for a few reasons. Not only is it a stronger payout, but bettors won’t get beat in the event of a Patriots win/Chiefs cover in a close contest, and they would also cash instead of settling for a push in the event New England wins by a field goal.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction

A look at the history suggests a daunting task for the Chiefs today. Not only have the Patriots been lights out at home, particularly against conference opponents late in the season, but they are also 16-3 straight up (11-8 ATS) as a home favorite following a loss dating back to the 2003 season. The Chiefs’ injury concerns in both the secondary and running game are also concerning, but I simply think Kansas City possesses the explosiveness New England lacks. It feels like the Chiefs have been a bit under the radar this season. The Ravens (+240) and Patriots (+400) are both far more heavily favored than the Chiefs (+1100) in the current Super Bowl odds, but I expect Andy Reid’s team to come out strong today and make a statement.

Prediction: Chiefs (+3) over Patriots

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Draftkings Sportsbook PA Weekend Betting Preview: College Football, NFL Week 14 Headline Action

Bob Wankel - December 7, 2019

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Hello, friends. The holiday season is in full swing and the sports gods have brought us the splendid gift of football, football, and more football. Sports bettors have QUITE the weekend ahead of them with a jam-packed slate of games to choose from at PA online sportsbooks, particularly over DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

Saturday kicks off with the Big 12 Championship Game between No. 7 Baylor and No. 6 Oklahoma, followed by the SEC Championship Game at 4 pm between No. 4 Georgia and No. 2 LSU. On Saturday night, No. 8 Wisconsin and No. 1 Ohio State cap off the day in the Big 10 Championship Game.

But wait, there’s more!

Week 14 in the NFL resumes Sunday with heavyweight tilts featuring the 49ers vs. Saints and the Chiefs vs. Patriots, along with 12 other matchups as teams jockey down the stretch in a fight for the postseason.

And don’t forget about the weekend’s 13 NBA matchups, including the Cavaliers vs. 76ers on Saturday night from the Wells Fargo Center. There’s also 16 NHL games on tap, including the Senators vs. Flyers on Saturday afternoon, along with a robust offering of college hoops action.

Many gifts have been bestowed upon us, indeed, and DraftKings Sportsbook in PA has a few more to give, including a $500 risk-free bet that new users can grab right here .

DraftKings Sportbook’s Best Weekend Promos in PA

Crossing Broad’s Exclusive +300 Odds Boost on the Eagles to Beat the Giants

Undoubtedly, our exclusive +300 odds boost on the Eagles moneyline is the best deal of the weekend. The Eagles are currently -360 on the moneyline, so new bettors get insane value on a $50 max bet that returns $200 if the Birds can get it done as a big favorite on Monday night. You can claim it exclusively right here .

Battle for Bowl Season

Conference Championship Weekend is here and all users can place a $25 pre-game bet on select matchups and grab a $10 free live bet on that same game. Free bets are good bets.

Parlay Insurance 

Looking to hit that big payout? Place a 5+ leg parlay on any sport and get your money back up to $25 if you miss on one leg.

Offensive Defense

This promo gives those who lose a NFL pregame moneyline bet up to a $25 refund if their team scores 24+ points but still goes on to lose.

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds Boosts

DraftKings’ weekend odds boosts this weekend include:

  • LSU, Ohio State, and Oklahoma all to win (boosted to +155)
  • Baylor to score first vs. Oklahoma, the total game points over 69.5, and total game points being odd (boosted to +890)
  • Ohio State and Clemson each to win by 23 or more points (boosted +335)
  • Drew Brees, Jimmy Garappolo each to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns (boosted to +450)
  • Jacoby Brissett to record over 1.5 passing touchdowns and Colts to win (boosted to +325)
  • 49ers and Cardinals both to win (boosted to +500)

College Football Conference Championship Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Here’s a quick look at Saturday’s top title game action:

Baylor vs. Oklahoma

      Spread     Money        Total
Baylor     +9 (-110)   +245   O 66 (-110)
Oklahoma     -9 (-110)   -315   U 66 (-100)

Trend to Know

Oklahoma is 9-1 in conference championship games, including four straight.

Georgia vs. LSU

      Spread     Money        Total
Georgia     +7.5 (-110)   +210   O 56 (-110)
LSU     -7.5 (-110)   -265   U 56 (-100)

Trend to Know

Since 2007, favorites of at least seven points are 8-0 SU and 4-3-1 ATS in SEC Championship Games.

Wisconsin vs. Ohio State

      Spread     Money        Total
Wisconsin     +16 (-110)   +480   O 57 (-110)
Ohio State     -16 (-110)   -715   U 57 (-100)

Trend to Know

Favorites are only 4-4 SU and 2-5-1 ATS since the first year of the Big Ten Championship Game in 2011, but Ohio State is 3-1 SU and covered as a 16.5-point favorite in last year’s Big 10 Championship Game.

Week 14 NFL Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Let’s take a look at the current NFL Week 14 odds of some of the top matchups at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Ravens vs. Bills

Trend to Know

Since the start of the 2003 seaosn, home underdogs of 4-6 points with a .700 record or better are only 3-11 ATS and they are 1-9 ATS after the month of September.

49ers vs. Saints

Trend to Know

The Saints are 18-1 ATS at home and 13-0 ATS under Sean Payton as a home favorite against opponents with a .700 winning percentage or better.

Chiefs vs. Patriots

Trend to Know

The Chiefs are 30-10 ATS under Andy Reid as a road team against AFC opponents.

Seahawks vs. Rams

Trend to Know

Since the start of the 2003 season, home underdogs in division games that lost the previous head-to-head matchup by three points or less are 13-8-1 ATS.

How To Sign Up for DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook is available in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Indiana, and West Virginia. You can sign up right here .

Cowboys vs. Bears Betting Prediction: Odds and Picks

Bob Wankel - December 5, 2019

Two of the NFC’s most disappointing teams will get together tonight at Soldier Field when the Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears kick off Week 14 in the NFL. The NFC East-leading (somehow) Cowboys look to shake off a pair of uninspiring losses, including a 26-15 drubbing at the hands of the Buffalo Bills on Thanksgiving in a defeat that wasn’t as close as the score indicates, while the Bears look to secure a third straight win and keep alive their uphill climb for one of the conference’s two wild card berths. Can the Cowboys wipe away Jerry Jones’ tears and turn down the heat on Jason Garrett’s hot seat tonight, or will the Bears climb over the .500 mark for the first time since early October? Let’s get into it with our Cowboys vs. Bears betting prediction. 

How to Bet on Cowboys vs. Bears

Pennsylvania

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA Only

‘Tis the season of giving and the legal online sportsbooks are in a generous mood ahead of the Week 14 action.

FOX Bet PA has it all. New users can grab a $20 signup bonus and $100 deposit match right here , while all users can take advantage of FOX Bet’s money back specials, boosted parlays, and plenty of single game bet boosts.

DraftKings Sportsbook PA is offering users a $500 risk-free first bet which you can cash in on by hitting it here .

Indiana

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana offers the same $500 risk-free bet, which can be had here .

Similarly, FanDuel Sportsbook IN is one of the state’s top legal betting options and also gives new users a $500 risk-free first bet .

New Jersey

DraftKings, FanDuel, and FOX Bet are each available in New Jersey, but we also recommend PointsBet. New users get a free $100 when they deposit $50. PointsBet is also offering a First TD Early Payout on tonight’s game. Place a pre-game money line bet, and if your team scores the game’s first touchdown, you win up to your first $50 staked.

Cowboys vs. Bears Odds

Here are the current Cowboys vs. Bears betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of Thursday morning:

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Cowboys        -3 (-103)     -148   O 43.5 (-110)
Bears        +3 (-120)      +130   U 43.5 (-110)

FOX Bet

      Spread     Money        Total
Cowboys       -3 (-110)     -154   O 43.5 (+100)
Bears       +3 (-110)     +135   U 43.5 (-118)

FanDuel Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Cowboys       -3 (-115)      -164   O 43.5 (-110)
Bears       +3 (-105)      +142   U 43.5 (-105)

Win Probability

FiveThirtyEight’s ELO point spread projection is most certainly NOT in agreement with oddsmakers ahead of this one.

ELO projects the Bears–not the Cowboys–as the favorite. ELO has the Bears as a 1.5-point favorite and calculates a 55% win probability for the home team. With Dallas currently favored by three points at the legal books, the ELO projection suggests there is roughly 4.5 points of betting value on Chicago. 

Meanwhile, the implied win probability of the -148 moneyline price on the Cowboys at DraftKings is 59.7%, which means the moneyline price is totally juiced up and way more expensive than what the ELO projection suggests to be appropriate (+122 would be in line with a 45% win probability). Perhaps we’re seeing oddsmakers drive up Dallas’ price because, let’s face it, who really wants to bet on Mitch Trubisky tonight?

As for the Bears, the implied win probability of their +130 moneyline odds at DraftKings is 43.5%, meaning the ELO calculation suggests there is enormous value on taking the Bears to win outright.

Cowboys vs. Bears Injury Report

Behold:

Cowboys Injury Report Analysis

The Dallas defense has some injury concerns ahead of this game as safety Jeff Heath (shoulder), linebacker Leighton Vander Esch (neck) and defensive tackle Antwaun Woods (knee) are each out. Vander Esch, the most high-profile of the bunch, hasn’t played since Nov. 17. It will once again be Sean Lee seeing increased reps in his place. 

Bears Injury Report Analysis

Wide receiver Taylor Gabriel (concussion) and offensive tackle Bobby Massie (ankle) are again out for Chicago this week, as is tight end Ben Braunecker (concussion). Despite missing Gabriel, who has 29 catches for 353 yards and four touchdowns this season, and Massie a week ago, the Bears offense showed signs of life in the team’s late rally on the road at Detroit.

Defensively, the Bears will again be without linebacker Danny Trevathan (elbow) and cornerback Prince Amukamara (hamstring) is also expected to miss the game, which is cause for concern against what is (sometimes) a prolific Dallas passing attack.

Cowboys vs. Bears Betting Specials

Over at FOX Bet, Cousin Sal’s Custom Sal’s Money Back Special continues to be one of the best promos we’ve seen. This custom game bet comes with a $25 money back guarantee if it doesn’t hit. This week’s special is on Ezekiel Elliott to record 100+ rushing yards with a touchdown and Dak Prescott to have more rushing yards than the Bears point total.

FOX Bet is also offering 12 unique bet boosts for tonight’s game, including:

  • Elliott 100+ rush yards and Cowboys win (+220)
  • Amari Cooper 8+ receptions and Cowboys win (+360)
  • Cowboys +3.5, Prescott 280+ pass yards, Elliott 75+ rush yards, Cowboys 3+ total TD (+400)
  • Bears +8.5, Trubisky 250+ pass yards, Robinson 60+ receiving yards, Bears 3+ TD (+475)

DraftKings Sportsbook has three different boosts available, including:

  • Elliott to Score a Touchdown and Cowboys to Win (+150)
  • Cooper to Score First Touchdown (+1080)
  • David Montgomery to Score and Bears to Win (+500)

Finally, FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Close Loss Insurance in which you can get a $50 refund on losing pre-game money line bets if your team loses by six points or less. With a close game expected tonight, this one might be worth a look.

Cowboys vs. Bears Betting Trends

Note: All trends date back to the 2003 season unless otherwise noted.

Why Backing the Cowboys is a Good Bet

Road Favorites Have Been Good on Short Rest

Road favorites are 38-28-2 ATS in Thursday Games played in October or later.

The Bears Have Been an ATS Nightmare This Season

The Bears are 3-9 ATS overall, including 1-7 ATS over their last eight games.

The Bears Struggle to Cover On Thursday

The Bears are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

Dallas is Due, Right?

The Cowboys convert third downs on offense, they stop them on defense. They can run the football, they can throw the football, and they can get after the quarterback—and yet, they’re only 6-6. No team in football has under-performed against expectations quite like the Cowboys. If they’re going to get it together this season, it feels like it has to be now or never–right? Maybe?

Why Backing the Bears is a Good Bet

Dallas is Mediocre ATS as a Short Road Favorite

Dallas is 7-9-2 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less under Jason Garrett.

Dallas Also Struggles on Thursday

The Cowboys are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games, including their loss to the Bills last week.

The Bears Have Been a Good Underdog Bet with Trubisky at Quarterback

Nobody circles the wagons like…Mitch Trubisky? Okay, maybe not, but the Bears are 9-6-1 ATS as an underdog when Trubisky starts at quarterback and 4-1-1 ATS in his starts as a home underdog.

The Law of Averages

Teams that cover more than half of its games are only 83-105-10 ATS against teams that cover 25% of its games or less and they are 11-19-2 ATS in primetime.

Where’s the Action?

As of early Thursday afternoon, 75% of spread bets and 82% of the spread handle backs the Cowboys. As for the total, roughly 42% of bets and 46% of the money sides with the over.

Bets We Like

Custom Sal’s Money Back Guarantee (Elliott to record 100+ rush yards with a touchdown and Dak Prescott to gain more rush yards than Bears total points) at FOX Bet. Sign up right here .

Let’s start with the likelihood of Elliott eclipsing 100 yards and finding the end zone tonight. Over his last four contests, Elliott is averaging 17.3 carriers per game but only 62.3 yards per game, while failing to sniff 100 yards in any of those contests. He has scored only two touchdowns over his last five games with both coming in the Cowboys’ Week 11 win over the Lions. Still, Elliott has tallied seven rushing scores this season and figures to be heavily involved in the gameplan tonight after getting only 12 carries a week ago.

As for what he will be up against, Chicago has the league’s No. 7 overall rush defense (97.5 yards per game), but that is a bit misleading. The Bears front has allowed the opposition to eclipse 100 rushing yards in six of its last eight games. Opponents have tallied nine total rushing touchdowns during that span, which is why they’ve allowed the fourth most rushing scores this season.

Now, let’s check out the Prescott part of the equation.

With the game total set in the neighborhood of 43.5 points and the Cowboys installed as a modest three-point favorite, oddsmakers are essentially setting Chicago’s total at 20 points. Notably, the Bears have the league’s No. 27 scoring offense and have managed only 17.7 points per game. Prescott has eclipsed 20 yards rushing four times this season, including last week when he rushed for 25 yards against the Bills.

Yes, it’s a bit of a long shot play, but it comes with a money back guarantee, so there’s absolutely no reason to pass it up.

Elliott to Score a Touchdown and Cowboys to Win +150 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get it here .

I like Elliott to score for the reasons mentioned above, but it’s also worth pointing out that his price to score tonight is set at -155. This prop allows bettors to eliminate the field goal point spread and grab the Cowboys to win outright paired with the likely proposition of him finding the end zone.

Cowboys vs. Bears Prediction

This is most certainly not my favorite game of the week. The Cowboys have done absolutely nothing this season that warrants any trust that they can go on the road and beat a half-decent team in a difficult environment. Any belief in the Cowboys must be rooted in a hypothetical that begins with words like “if” and “should.” For instance, if the Cowboys finally put it all together tonight, they should be able to cover with ease against a Bears team that has been susceptible to the run for nearly two months and very clearly lacks offensive potency. As you know, of course, what should happen in the NFL often does not happen.

I’m also not in love with the following realities:

  • The public is hammering Dallas.
  • Poor cover teams are good against good cover teams late in the season, particularly in primetime.
  • Trubisky has been a good cover quarterback as an underdog.

 

That being said, I’m going to ignore these inconvenient truths and roll with the Cowboys anyway because, I mean, they have to come through against a half-decent team eventually–right? Proceed with caution.

Cowboys (-3) over Bears

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Saints vs. Falcons Betting Prediction: Odds and Picks

Bob Wankel - November 28, 2019

The final course of Thanksgiving action comes when the Saints and Falcons get together in Atlanta tonight as New Orleans looks to exact revenge for a surprising blowout loss to their division rivals earlier this month. If they do just that, the Saints will clinch the NFC South crown for a third straight season. As for you, well, you’re probably either looking to put an exclamation point on a memorable day of Thanksgiving wagering, or you’re looking to exact a little revenge for some tough earlier breaks. Let’s take a look at all of the need-to-know info with our Saints vs. Falcons betting prediction.

How to Bet on Saints vs. Falcons

Pennsylvania

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA Only

As usual, the legal online sportsbooks are offering tons of great sign up specials and bonuses, but they are also serving up some generous holiday-themed promos this Thanksgiving.

We strongly suggest PA bettors check out FOX Bet PA for its $20 signup bonus and $100 deposit match that you can grab here .

DraftKings Sportsbook PA is another top option because of its aggressive $200 first-bet match offer and $100 risk-free parlay special that is available to users today. You can catch those deals right here .

Indiana

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana offers the same $200 first bet match and up to a $500 deposit bonus. Take advantage of those offers right here .

FanDuel Sportsbook is one of the state’s best betting apps and gives users a $500 risk-free first bet. Additionally, FanDuel Sportsbook is running a Thanksgiving Double Winnings promo. Place a pregame OVER bet on any of the day’s three games (or all three), and FanDuel will double your winnings up to $50 in bonus credit on each bet that hits.

New Jersey

PointsBet offers new users a free $100 when you deposit $50 and has several player prop boosts available for this game.

Saints vs. Falcons Odds

Here are the current Saints vs. Falcons betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of early Thursday morning:

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Saints        -6.5 (-114)     -286   O 48.5 (-110)
Falcons        +6.5 (-106)      +250   U 48.5 (-110)

FOX Bet

      Spread     Money        Total
Saints       -6.5 (-118)     -300   O 47.5 (-110)
Falcons       +6.5(+100)     +245   U 47.5 (-105)

FanDuel Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Saints       -6.5 (-110)      -300   O 48.5 (-110)
Falcons       +6.5 (+110)      +250   U 48.5 (-105)

Win Probability

FiveThirtyEight’s ELO point spread projection is pretty much in line with the market’s point spread in this game.

ELO projects the Saints as a six-point favorite and calculates a 70% win probability. With New Orleans currently favored by 6.5 points across several popular sportsbooks, the ELO projection suggests there is roughly a half point of betting value on the Saints.

Meanwhile, the implied win probability of the -286 moneyline price on the Saints at DraftKings is 74.1%, which means the moneyline price is far more expensive than what the ELO projection suggests to be appropriate (-233 would be in line with a 70% win probability).

As for the Falcons, the implied win probability of their +250 moneyline odds at DraftKings is 28.6%, meaning there is some slight moneyline value on taking the Falcons to win outright.

Saints vs. Falcons Injury Report

Each team comes into this matchup with some significant injury concerns.

Saints Injury Report Analysis

Second-team All-Pro left tackle Terron Armstead was injured in the Saints’ win over Carolina last week and is out. Guard Andrus Peat also remains out after breaking his forearm when these two teams met earlier this month. Backup guard Will Clapp is also questionable.

Needless to say, the Saints have some depth concerns along the offensive line, which is even more problematic given Atlanta sacked quarterback Drew Brees six times back on Nov. 10. That being said, the Falcons have recorded only 18 sacks this season. After recording 11 sacks in convincing wins over the Saints and Panthers earlier this month, the Falcons’ defensive momentum was halted last Sunday when they failed to register one in a 35-22 loss to the Bucs.

Defensively, cornerback Marshon Lattimore is questionable with a hamstring injury.

Falcons Injury Report Analysis

Running back Devonta Freeman will return after a two-game absence, but wide receiver Julio Jones (shoulder) didn’t practice this week and will be a game-time decision. That’s obviously the big one–Jones has 64 catches for 950 yards and four touchdowns this season.

Defensively for the Falcons, defensive end Takk McKinley (shoulder) was limited this week and is questionable.

Recommended Bets

As we said earlier, there are some excellent holiday offers out there. Let’s take a look at some of the best.

DraftKings Sportsbook is serving up several Thanksgiving Day promos, including:

  • A $5 free bet on any game
  • A risk-free $5 flash bet on result of drive or next team to score
  • An extra-leg parlay in which DraftKings will pay out a winning three-leg parlay as if you hit a fourth-leg (33% profit boost)
  • Bet $25 on the total of any game and get a bonus $5 for every turnover and $1 for every sack

DraftKings also has two player prop boosts available:

  • Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas each to score a touchdown (+190 boosted to +250)
  • Matt Ryan & Drew Brees to record over 5.5 combined passing touchdowns (+300 boosted to +350)

Analysis: Let’s look at the Kamara and Thomas prop. Both players are key cogs in the Saints’ dangerous offensive attack, but Kamara (947 yards from scrimmage) has only scored twice this season and both of those scores came in the Saints’ 33-27 win over Seattle back in September. It was the only game this season in which both players reached the end zone.

Thomas, who has hauled in 94 catches for 1,242 yards and six scores, could break Marvin Harrison’s single season catch record (143) and is one of the game’s most potent offensive weapons, so I’m always down to back one of his props. Despite Atlanta’s outstanding defensive effort in New Orleans earlier this month, I’m inclined to look at it as an outlier given the Falcons’ overall defensive woes this season. Plus, the Saints’ dynamic attack has scored 34 points in each of its past two games. I think both players find the end zone tonight.

FOX Bet is offering nine different game and player prop bet boosts, including

  • Alvin Kamara to score a TD in the first quarter (+380 boosted from +350)
  • Saints -2.5, Drew Brees 300+ passing yards, Thomas 85+ receiving yards, Saints 3+ TD (+450 boosted from +400)

Analysis: Kamara hasn’t found the end zone since Week 3, but it almost feels like getting him a score has to be a point of emphasis tonight. Kamara accounted for 20 touches (11 carries, 9 receptions) for 102 total yards from scrimmage a week ago. He’s simply too explosive and too integral to the Saints’ offense not to find the end zone at some point soon. Certainly, Sean Payton will want to throw the first punch after his team’s embarrassing effort the last time he matched wits with Dan Quinn, so this prop may be worth a shot.

Let’s also take a look at this Saints-based prop above. They are the superior team that is also in a revenge spot, so I like the idea of this play from a contextual standpoint. New Orleans at -2.5 gives bettors roughly four points of line value, while Brees is coming off a game in which he completed 30 of 39 passes for 311 yards. There’s no reason to think that he can’t eclipse 300 yards again tonight against an Atlanta defense that has allowed four 300 yard passers this season. As for Thomas, it seems almost a given that he will go over 85 receiving yards. He has done so in 10 of his 11 games this year, which includes five straight 100+ yard performances. This prop is certainly worth a small wager at +450 odds.

Saints vs. Falcons Betting Trends

Note: All historical trends date back to the start of the 2003 season, unless otherwise noted.

Why Backing the Saints is a Good Bet

Favorites are 73-46-3 ATS in Thursday games played in November or December, while road favorites are 46-26-2 ATS.

Road teams favored by 6.5 to 7.5 points are 33-24-2 ATS in division games played in November or later.

Road favorites that lost the previous head-to-head matchup by 10+ points are 13-7-1 ATS in division games in November or later and 38-28-3 ATS when losing by any margin.

Why Backing the Falcons is a Good Bet

The Saints are 14-11 ATS against the Falcons overall under Sean Payton and 7-5 ATS on the road but only 2-6 ATS when favored by 6+ points.

A Word on the Total

No official play here, but my lean is on the under.

The under is 65-54-3 on Thursdays in November or December.

The under is 52-41-3 in conference games played on Thursdays in November or December. It’s also 40-26-3 in division games played on Thursdays during these two months. The under is 8-5-1 in these late-season division games on Thursdays when both teams are coming off an over.

Finally, the under is 69-49-2 in NFC South games played in November or December and 28-19-1 when total is at least 48 points.

Where’s the Action Going?

As of early Thursday morning, 82% of all spread bets and 85% of the spread handle is on the Saints at reporting sportsbooks. Meanwhile, 72% of bets and 76% of the money is on the over.

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction

I don’t see how Atlanta’s pass defense, which enters 29th in DVOA, keeps the Saints in check tonight. Favorites tend to typically cover on a short week, and the Saints will be looking to issue some payback for that loss to the Falcons earlier this month. I’m not overthinking this one.

Prediction: Saints (-6.5) over Falcons 

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FanDuel Sportsbook Is Doubling Over Bets on Thanksgiving

Kyle Scott - November 28, 2019

FanDuel is America’s leading online sportsbook, and for Thanksgiving, a uniquely American holiday, they are rolling out a special promotion for NFL games. Dubbed “Thanksgiving Double Winnings,” FanDuel Sportsbook will pay out double your winnings on over-under bets on any of the three Thanksgiving Day NFL games, up to $50.

fanduel sportsbook

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Here’s how it works.

FanDuel Sportsbook – which is typically not as promotional as DraftKings Sportsbook, which is running a Thanksgiving risk-free parlay, or FOX Bet, which is offering $25 cash back on any bet for the Bears-Lions game – is going above and beyond today. They will allow you to place an over-under bet on any of the three NFL games and receive a bonus of up to $50. The bet must be placed pregame.

For each totals bet that hits, FanDuel Sportsbook will double your winnings up to $50. This means that if you place three successful over-under bets for all three games, you can get up to $150 in bonus site credit.

Keep in mind that with all sportsbook promotions bonus money is typically not eligible to be withdrawn immediately. You typically have seven days to bet the bonus money in your account. If you win another bet with the money, then you are eligible to withdraw it. But, it is a way to build your bankroll and give yourself some funds to continue betting with.

FanDuel also offers new sportsbook users a $500 risk-free bet , which cannot be combined with this offer. But the Thanksgiving offer is available to all customers across the board.

FanDuel Sportsbook is the leader in handle in New Jersey and Pennsylvania by a rather wide margin. As such, they don’t have to be as promotional as some of their peers. So we find that while they do offer a slew of ongoing odds boosts and specials, they are typically not as aggressive or enticing as what you might see from, say, FOX Bet, an app that we like a lot.

But for Thanksgiving, this is one of the better offers you will find from FanDuel Sportsbook. So whether you’re a new user or a current player, it’s worth placing a few totals bets. Meanwhile, you can combine them with the parlay offers from the other sportsbooks and really, um, gobble up the winnings.

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How To Get FOX Bet’s Thanksgiving Special

Kyle Scott - November 27, 2019

Thanksgiving is a day for football and feasting. And FOX Bet, the most promotional sports betting app in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, is running their “Feast on FOX Bet” promotion.

It’s Day 5 of their holiday promotion, which runs the entire week with specials and odds boosts on the FOX Bet app.

fox bet

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For Thanksgiving Day, FOX Bet is offering its Cousin Sal “Custom Sal” money-back special.

Each Thursday, Cousin Sal picks a bet that he likes, and if you take that bet and it doesn’t hit, you get your money back.

Well, for Thanksgiving Day, FOX is allowing you to choose the bet that you can place risk-free.

Here’s how it works:

Place a bet – any bet – on the Bears and Lions early game, and you will get your money back up to $25 if that bet doesn’t hit. This promo will only be triggered on your first bet for the Bears and Lions, meaning that if you bet on the spread, and then the total, and then a prop, and then a live bet… only that initial spread bet will be risk-free up to $25.

While other sportsbooks like DraftKings Sportsbook and Unibet PA are running their own version of parlay specials trying to get you to bet on all three games, FOX is focusing on the early window because they’ll be broadcasting that Lions’ game.

In addition, new users to FOX Bet can get $20 free right off the bat with no deposit, and then get their first deposit matched up to $100. This means that when you sign up for FOX Bet (Pennsylvania here , New Jersey here ), you can get $20 free and place a risk-free bet on Thanksgiving.

FOX Bet offers a slew of fun props and odds boosts that provide some differentiation from other sports betting apps. While maybe not as polished as those others, FOX Bet is a good all around app with some unique action.

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NFL Picks Week 12

Kyle Scott - November 24, 2019

The final Sunday of November is upon us and the NFL playoff push is beginning to heat up. As always, there’s plenty of promos, bet boosts, and sign up bonuses to take advantage of at PA online sportsbooks, so let’s run through some of today’s slate with our top NFL Week 12 picks.

All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

Seahawks at Eagles

Line: Eagles -1, Over/Under 45.5 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

You can check out our full Eagles vs. Seahawks betting preview, but here’s the short of it. The Seahawks have thrived as a small underdog with Russell Wilson at quarterback. They are 12-4-2 ATS as an underdog of three points or less in Wilson’s starts and 5-1 ATS as a dog of three points or less in his starts during November and December. Still, pacific timezone teams coming off a bye week are only 3-7 ATS and 2-8 SU in the eastern timezone during the month of November or later. They’re 1-4 ATS and 0-5 SU as an underdog.

Pick: Eagles (-1) over Seahawks

Steelers at Bengals

Line: Steelers -6.5, Over/Under 37.5 (1:00 P.M. CBS)

We also have a full Steelers vs. Bengals betting preview. The Bengals are the NFL’s only winless team, but the Steelers’ struggling offense will be without James Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster this week. Also keep in mind that the Steelers are only 8-16-1 ATS against teams under .500 during Mike Tomlin’s tenure during the months of November and December, including 4-9-1 ATS in these two months against such teams since the start of the 2014 season.

As for the total, the over is 107-80-2 in division games played in November or later when the total is set between 37.5-39 points and 8-4 in AFC North games.

Pick: Steelers and Bengals to go Over 37.5 points

Cowboys at Patriots

Line: Patriots -5, Over/Under 44 (4:25 P.M. FOX)

Fishy, fishy. The line has dropped from Patriots -6.5 earlier in the week all the way down -5. Wind and rain are expected in New England late Sunday afternoon, which means the run games will come into focus. Advantage: Cowboys. Yes, the Patriots are 15-0 in their last 15 home games when favored by at least five points, but Dallas looks more than capable of putting up a fight here.

Pick: Cowboys (+5) over Patriots

Panthers at Saints

Line: Saints (-9.5), Over/Under 46 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

The Panthers will look to bounce back from an unexpected 29-3 blowout loss last week at home against the Falcons. It won’t be easy against a Saints squad that overcame a sluggish start on the road at Tampa Bay last week to paste the Bucs by a 34-17 final. The Saints are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 division home games, while the Panthers are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games when underdogs of 7+ points.

As for the total, division unders late in the season are always a solid play, and with the total falling two points throughout the week, we’ll take a shot on it here.

Pick: Saints and Panthers to go Under 46 points

Giants at Bears

Line: Bears (-6), Over/Under 43 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

Who are the Bears to be laying six points to anybody, right? Quarterback Mitch Trubisky will play after leaving late in last loss to the Rams, but I’m not sure that’s an upgrade over Chase Daniel at this point. The Bears and Giants are each 1-5 ATS in their last six games, while the Giants are on a six-game losing streak. Here’s the thing–the money is on the Giants, and I simply don’t trust Daniel Jones, who is a turnover machine, to go on the road and play sound, efficient football against what is still an above average defense. I also like that the public is backing New York in this one.

Pick: Bears (-6) over Giants

Buccaneers vs. Falcons

Line: Falcons (-3.5), Over/Under 51.5 (1:00 P.M. FOX)

This total was sitting in the 54 range earlier in the week, but big bettors have pushed it down to 51.5 as of Sunday morning. Again, we like division under plays late in the season and Atlanta’s defense has been ascending in recent weeks. The under is 17-12 in NFC South games with a total set at 51 or more in November or later since the 2003 season, while it is 75-53-3 (roughly 58%) in all NFC South games played in November or later.

You never know what you’re going to get with either of these teams on any given week, so we’ll pass on the side and go with the under.

Pick: Falcons and Bucs to go Under 51.5 points

Broncos at Bills

Line: Bills (-3.5), Over/Under 37 (1:00 P.M. CBS)

The Broncos have suffered some tough losses on the road over the last month. Go back to late October when they dropped a 15-13 heartbreaker in Indianapolis and just last week when they blew a 20-0 lead at Minnesota. Still, within those losses against two solid opponents were glimpses of a stellar defense that should be able to make enough plays against what is a mediocre at best Buffalo offense. Denver is allowing only 3.9 yards carry this season, which will put the onus on Josh Allen to make plays down the field. Meanwhile, Denver should be able to run the football against what is just an average Bills run defense that is yielding 4.4 yards per attempt this season. Records aside, I’m not so sure these two teams are all that different, so let’s take the points.

Pick: Broncos (+3.5) over Bills

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