Posts for Sports Gambling Category

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana Is The Place to Bet Colts vs. Texans Today

Bob Wankel - October 20, 2019

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana is currently our recommended choice for Indiana online sports betting. It’s the best all-around sports betting app in the state and offers the most action on the Colts and Texans.

When the Texans and Colts get together on Sunday afternoon at Lucas Oil Stadium, it will be a notable matchup for a couple of reasons. Not only will the winner end the day alone in first-place in the AFC South, but this game also represents the Colts’ first home game since online betting launched in Indiana. This means that fans heading to the game can actually bet on it from the parking lot of their tailgate or in their seat with DraftKings.

Presumably, those in Indiana looking to make a wager on this one will be looking to back the Colts, but are they the right side? Let’s find out with our Colts vs. Texans betting preview.

Both the Colts and Texans come into this game riding the momentum of upset wins over the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Back in Week 5, Indianapolis rebounded following a shocking loss at home to the Raiders with an almost equally stunning victory in Kansas City as a double-digit underdog on Sunday Night Football. That’s how you go into the bye week.

As for the Texans, they fell to 2-2 back in Week 4 after a miserable 16-10 loss at home to the Panthers in which the offense managed to produce only 264 yards, but that game now seems like a distant memory with the Texans exploding for a combined 84 wins in back-to-back wins over the Falcons and Chiefs that have catapulted Houston atop the AFC South standings.

That sets up the first of two critical division matchups between the AFC South’s only two teams currently sporting a winning record. Will the Deshaun Watson and the Texans remain red-hot, or will it be the rested Colts that come out on top? Let’s take a look at the action DraftKings Sportsbook IN is offering on the game today.

How to Bet on Colts vs. Texans at DraftKings Sportsbook


If you’re in the state of Indiana and are heading to the game, hitting the bar or just hanging out at home, you can get in on the action with DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana, where you’ll get a $200 bet match and an up to $500 deposit bonus when you register here .


Colts vs. Texans Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Here are the current Colts-Texans betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of 8:30 a.m. Sunday morning:

DraftKings Sportsbook 

      Spread     Money        Total
Texans     +1.5 (-110)   +106   O 47 (-106)
Colts     -1.5 (-110)   -121   U 47 (-114)


Colts vs. Texans Betting Promos at DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings is offering up plenty of NFL Week 7 betting promos, including NFL Parlay Insurance. Play a five 5+ leg parlay, and if you hit on all but one bet, DraftKings will refund you up to $25 on your miss.

DraftKings is also running a special called Offensive Defense which will give those who lose a pregame moneyline bet up to a $25 refund if their team scores 24+ points but still goes on to lose. This promo would have saved Houston backers in Week 1 when the Texans lost in New Orleans by a 30-28 final, while it would have bailed out those on Indy in the Colts’ 30-24 overtime loss to the Chargers and in Week 4 when they fell by a 31-24 margin to the Raiders.


Prop Bets

As for this specific game, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering several alternate point spreads, along with game, player, and team prop bets. Some to consider:

Eric Ebron to score a touchdown (+240)

Ebron has struggled this season, securing just nine catches for 136 yards a two scores, but he has found the end zone in each of the Colts’ last four division contests. Last season, he had a total of nine catches for 105 yards in two games against Houston and found the end zone in each of those games.

DeAndre Hopkins to score a touchdown (+110) 

Hopkins, who has 40 catches for 402 yards and two scores this season, has a touchdown in each of his last four appearances in road division games. He’s averaging 5.6 receptions and 77.5 yards per game in 11 career contests against the Colts.

T.Y. Hilton to score and the Colts to win (+225)

Hilton has four touchdowns in four games played this season and has scored at least one touchdown in his last four day games. He has killed the Texans in 14 career games, averaging over 103 yards per game with nine total touchdowns.


How to Watch Colts vs. Texans

  • Date: Sunday, October 20
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
  • Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)
  • Network: CBS
  • Announcers: Greg Gumbel (play-by-play), Trent Green (color analyst), Melanie Collins (sideline)
  • Radio:WFN 107.5FM/1070 The Fan (Indy),  KILT 610 AM / 100.3 FM (Houston)
  • Where to Bet: DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana


Colts vs. Texans Weather

You can play matchups, historical trends, and follow your gut all you want, but placing a bet on an outdoor game without checking the weather report is just irresponsible, so let’s do that right now.

Yes, Lucas Oil Stadium is a dome, but it does have a retractable roof that will be open today, per the Colts’ official Twitter account.

Given this information, as you would expect, the weather conditions in Indianapolis this afternoon will be pleasant with temperatures in the mid 60s at kickoff under party cloudy skies. By 4:00 p.m., temperatures are expected to reach the low 70s, while conditions will remain dry throughout the game.


Chiefs vs. Broncos Betting Trends

Why Backing the Colts Makes Sense

There’s a ton of trend data to consider of ahead of this one and most of it backs the Colts. Strongly. Consider the following information:

  • The Colts have seven of their last eight home games and have covered the spread in four of their last five meetings with the Texans.
  • AFC South road underdogs two points or less in division games are only 2-7 ATS.
  • Road underdogs of three points or less in division games that didn’t have a bye going up against teams that did are only 3-8 ATS.
  • The Colts are 3-0-1 ATS and 4-0 straight up when favored by three points or less under Frank Reich, while the Texans are only 7-12 ATS under Bill O’ Brien when an underdog of three points or less.
  • O’Brien’s Texans are 2-6 ATS overall and 1-3 ATS as a road underdog of two points or less in division games.
  • Home teams favored off of a bye week are only 26-33-2 ATS overall, but when such teams are favored by three points or less, they are 9-4-1 ATS in division games.
  • The Colts are 3-0-1 ATS and 4-0 straight up when favored by three points or less under Frank Reich, while the Texans are only 7-12 ATS under Bill O’ Brien when an underdog of three points or less.

However, I did find this surprising trend about home teams struggling in division contests coming off the bye week pretty interesting–teams coming off a bye are only 38-53-2 ATS in division games and 6-14 ATS in primetime division games.


Some Trends on the Total

DraftKings Sportsbook has the Colts-Texans total set at 47.

The under has hit in 9 of the last 10 games between the Colts and Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is crazy. That being said, I still like the over a little bit in this one. Here’s why:

  • The over is 19-26-1 when the total is set between 46.5-48 points and the road team scored at least 30 points in consecutive contests.
  • When the home team averages between 22-24 points per game, and the road team averages between 27-29 points per game, the over is 11-6 when the total is set between 47-48.5 points.
  • The over is 11-5 when the home team has a bye in division games and the total is set between 46.5-48.5 points.


Where’s the Action Going at DraftKings?

As of early Sunday morning, 53% of spread bets and 52% of the spread handle is on Houston. Interestingly, while 63% of totals bets are on the over, only 37% of the totals money is on it. 


Colts vs. Texans Prediction

It’s time to make a Colts-Texans prediction. Here’s how you should bet them at DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana.

It’s extremely difficult to pick against Deshaun Watson. By estimation, he’s one of the best five quarterbacks in the NFL right now, and he enters this game red hot, having thrown for 706 yards and six touchdowns over the last two weeks. Still, Frank Reich’s teams have excelled as a short favorite in a limited sample, and I believe he’s one of the NFL’s best coaches. With home-field advantage and a week of rest at his disposal, I think he will have his team ready to play in this one. I’ll take the Colts.

Prediction: Colts (-1.5) over Texans

PA Online Sportsbooks Are Offering a Slew of Promos This Weekend

Bob Wankel - October 19, 2019

It’s a monster weekend for bettors at PA online sportsbooks.

A full slate of college football action kicks off early Saturday afternoon, headlined by three games featuring two Top 25 teams, including the nationally televised primetime tilt between No. 16 Michigan and No. 7 Penn Sate. That action, along with Game 6 of the ALCS on Saturday night, serves as an appetizer to Week 7 NFL action and a pivotal NFC East showdown between the Eagles and Cowboys. By the way, here’s our rundown on betting the total and betting the spread that game.

In preparation for what figures to be a big weekend for local bettors, PA’s top online sportsbooks are stepping up with tons of generous welcome offers, fun betting promos, and aggressive odds boosts. Because I am a man of the people and here for you, prospective sports bettor person, I have surveyed the local markets and rounded up all of the top highlights for you to take advantage of this weekend, so strap in and let’s ride.


fox bet

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA and NJ Only

FOX Bet PA offers new players who sign up here a $20 free with no deposit, and their first deposit matched up to $100, but what makes FOX Bet our favorite Pennsylvania betting option is its creative promos and odds boosts. Among such deals this weekend include Penn State, currently a 7.5-point spread and -333 moneyline favorite over Michigan, to win outright at even odds.

FOX Bet is also running a promo on the Eagles to cover at +7 (+100) odds, providing local bettors an opportunity to back the Birds with an additional 4.5 points of betting value without typical juiced up alternate point spread prices.

Both promos are capped at a $25 bet max.

These deals, as well as Colin Cowherd’s Blazin 5 Super Boost promo offer and Charissa Thompson’s Custom Bet Boost, are in addition to the several bet boosts and trending custom bets being offered by FOX Bet on the weekend’s top games.

(These offers are also available at FOX Bet across the bridge in New Jersey).


FanDuel Sportsbook PA

fanduel sportsbook

21+ and present in NJ or PA. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Over at FanDuel Sportsbook PA, they continue to run a $500 risk-free bet offer for new users in addition to Close Loss Insurance on Penn State vs. Michigan along with all NFL Week 7 games. Losing moneyline bets will be refunded if your team goes down by six points or less.

FanDuel is also offering an MLB Run Bonus on Game 6 of the ALCS between the Yankees and Astros. Just place a $25+ moneyline bet on the game and get a $5 in site credit for every run your team scores. Early reports suggest this one could be shaping up to be a bullpen game. Houston’s bullpen has a 4.18 in 28 IP this postseason, while New York has a 2.27 bullpen ERA in 35.2 IP.


SugarHouse Sportsbook PA

Over at SugarHouse Sportsbook, new users can claim up to a $250 deposit bonus when they sign up.

SugarHouse is not the most promotional sports betting site in Pennsylvania, but they are offering tons of bet boosts on college football parlays and specials on Louisville-Clemson, Washington-Oregon, SMU-Temple, and Penn State-Michigan. This is addition to their Sunday NFL betting specials that will be announced once the day’s college slate concludes.

They also have something for the baseball bettors, too, with a unique promo on baseball’s postseason with its MLB Stat Stacker Sweeps. For every cumulative $50 in real money bets you make on a single playoff baseball game, players earn a raffle entry towards randomly-drawn sweeps based on big moments happening live in-game during every game of the MLB playoffs.



Finally, BetRivers Sportsbook is also quality PA sports betting option offering a $250 deposit bonus. Similar to SugarHouse Sportsbook, BetRivers is running the MLB Stat Stacker sweepstakes and plenty of college football and NFL specials.

FOX Bet Is Offering Penn State at Even Odds Over Michigan

Kyle Scott - October 19, 2019

FOX Bet is again offering a significant odds boost on a PA football team, this time offering Penn State at +100 odds to win against Michigan.

FOX Bet, which launched in Pennsylvania and New Jersey last month, has run several aggressive odds boosts targeting the Eagles, Steelers, and Giants in marquee matchups in an effort to gain new customers. This time, all users get a chance to double their money with an up to $25 bet on Penn State to beat Michigan on Saturday.

Those who place an up to $25 bet on Penn State to win outright will be paid +100 odds, or double their money.

The promo is good for all users.

fox bet

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA and NJ Only

Given that Penn State is listed at -355 on the money line, which implies a 77% chance to win, the odds are pretty good for doubling your money on this one.

What’s more, when you combine this with FOX’s sign up offers, new users can really make out.

Players who sign up here  can get $20 free with no deposit, and their first deposit matched up to $100, and the boosted odds on Penn State at +100 for a total value of $145 with $100 deposit… if Penn State wins the game.

This is not the first time we’ve seen this type of offer from FOX Bet, but it’s one that appears to be working as it brings in new bettors from different fan bases and provide some actual value, albeit on a relatively small bet.

We like FOX Bet a lot, and FOX Bet PA is our choice for best PA online sportsbook to date. It offers a strong tie-in with FOX Sports and its personalities, with daily, useful boosts and risk-free bets that often provide legitimate value, and an excellent and engaging interface.

While it is probably not the app for pro bettors, seeing as though it lacks teaser bets and live betting is suspended more often than not, the amount of action, particularly when it comes to props, is a lot of fun. They also call out long-shot bets, which makes for almost a roulette-style range of action where you can place a number of small bets on long odds and cross your fingers that one will hit.

FOX, of course, is fully capable of taking spread, moneyline, and totals bets as well, along with parlays. Given the fact that it uses a different third-party provider from the likes of DraftKings Sportsbook or FanDuel Sportsbook, it means you can often spot differences in lines, giving you some value when you shop across different apps.

This promo for Penn State-Michigan is one that is sure to get the attention of those in Happy Valley, and if you’re going to bet on Penn State, you’re not going to find a better boost.

BetMGM Is Offering Crazy 100-1 Odds on The 49ers and Redskins

Kyle Scott - October 18, 2019

BetMGM is doing another one of their crazy offers for New Jersey sports bettors. Known for their somewhat insane 1000-to-1 odds boost for new players, BetMGM this weekend is offering new players 100-1 odds on the 49ers to beat the Redskins.

There’s a maximum $1 bet, which will pay out $100 in site credit if the 49ers, who are heavy favorites, win in Washington.


Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

How It Works

The offer is available only to new players who sign up using this link . Once you deposit and place a $1 bet on the 49ers to win outright versus the Redskins, you will be credited $100, if they in fact win.

To give you some perspective on their chances, the moneyline for this game on a 49ers bet is -455, which means typically you would have to wager $455 to win a 100. In this case, you have to wager $1 to win 100.

Now, I’m no mathematician and don’t know exactly how to deduce positive EV, but I’m pretty sure this is it, chief.

How is your chance? -445 odds implies an 82% chance win probability, so this is sort of a no-brainer. It’s only $1, so even if they lose, it’s not exactly going to break the bank account.


Marketing Tactic

Why does BetMGM do this? The New Jersey betting market is very crowded, right now dominated by FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook, and with increasing competition from the likes of FOX Bet and PointsBet.

Thus far in the regulated betting industry typical casino brands have struggled against the sports-focused online brands, such as DraftKings and FanDuel.

BetMGM recently updated their platform to modernize their app and playing experience. We actually like the improvements a lot, but they need to be aggressive with their marketing to bring in new players. So, while you shouldn’t expect to receive 100 to 1 odds boost too often, giving new players essentially a free $100 on a popular bet is a way to get some attention and get people playing the app.

We absolutely recommend you check out BetMGM’s offer here and put $1 on the 49ers. And while you’re at it, play around with their app. We really like their updated user experience, and I think you’ll find that they are the best of the traditional casino brands when it comes to online sportsbooks in New Jersey. And this gives you some extra value mid-season.

Nationals’ Odds To Win The World Series Skyrocketed From Novelty Bet To Coin Flip

Kirsten Hatton - October 17, 2019

The Nationals are in the World Series.

A team that lost Bryce Harper to the Phillies in the offseason is headed to the Fall Classic. Counted out early as a young, talented team lacking experience, the Nats were 24-33 at the end of May. Things turned around in June and they entered the All-Star Break at 47-42.

fanduel sportsbook

21+ and present in NJ or PA. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

But with trade deadline bullpen pickups, the team managed to have a successful second half of the season. After the All-Star Break, the Nationals went 46-27 and managed to squeeze into the  Wild Card game with the Brewers, trailed 3-1 in the eight, saw their odds to win it all spike to +5000, and now sit on the cusp of the franchise’s first World Series championship… at +140 odds.

We thought we would take a look back at the 2019 season to see how the odds of the Nats winning World Series changed throughout the year.

Here are the Broad Lines odds ,courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • June 25, prior to three-game winning streak: +5000 (1% probability)
  • All-Star Break: +2800 (2%)
  • September 29, end of regular season: +1700 (6%)
  • October 2, trailing 3-1 in the Wild Card Game: +5000 (1%)
  • October 3, before NLDS: +1500 (6%)
  • October 11, before NLCS: +450 (18%)
  • October 17, before World Series: +140 (41%)

Did you get your bets in?

Notre Dame vs. USC Betting Preview: Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Bob Wankel - October 12, 2019

USC and Notre Dame are undoubtedly among college football’s most storied programs, but when these two teams meet up tonight under the lights at Notre Dame Stadium, they will be playing for two very different reasons.

The Trojans will try to score a signature upset win that helps head coach Clay Helton beat back his vocal critics, while Notre Dame looks for a convincing win on the national stage that keeps their College Football Playoff hopes alive.

The Fighting Irish have been red-hot against the spread in recent weeks, cashing their fourth-straight cover in a 52-0 win over Bowling Green a week ago, which was particularly nice given that game marked the first Notre Dame contest in the wake of Indiana online sports betting going live last week.

Note: No. 2 quarterback Kedon Slovis has since been cleared to start. 

USC, which has survived a slew of injuries at the quarterback position on its way to a respectable 3-2 start amid considerable adversity, is coming off a bye week and will be hoping that the extra rest and prep time will help them grab their first win at Notre Dame in eight years. It will be a tall order against a heavily-favored No. 9 Fighting Irish squad that has blasted opponents at home this season by a combined 153-34 margin.

After being dominating in the head-to-head series for an eight-year period in the previous decade, Notre Dame has rebounded with wins in six of the nine meetings between the two teams since Brian Kelly took over.

Will Notre Dame keep the coveted Jeweled Shillelagh for a third-straight season and cover the double-digit spread in the process, or will USC get feisty and score an upset on the big stage?

Let’s get into it with our USC vs. Notre Dame betting preview that is loaded with odds, picks, trends and predictions.

Where to Bet on USC vs. Notre Dame


If you’re in the state of Indiana and are heading to the game, hitting the bar or just hanging out at home, you can get in on the action with DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana. They will match your first bet up to $200, and if you’re lucky enough to be at the game, you can pray to Touchdown Jesus that your bet cashes. Don’t worry–it’s legal now. He won’t mind.

(I used that line last week, but I like it, so it stays.)


Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler. Only 1x Wager Applies, Playable in PA Only

If you’re in the state of Pennsylvania, be sure to check out our comprehensive rundown of PA online sportsbooks to find all of the best welcome offers, big odds boosts, and betting promos.

FOX Bet PA leads the way with its creative and enticing daily bet boosts in addition to its usual $20 sign-up bonus and $100 deposit match that you can grab right here .

FOX Bet is running a parlay odds boost that includes the Fighting Irish with Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 Super Boost that is a three-leg parlay on Notre Dame (-10), Iowa (+3.5), and LSU (-13). The payout has been boosted from +600 to +800. Strong.

New Jersey

If you’re over in New Jersey, be sure to checkout our NJ online sports betting that’s loaded with comprehensive sportsbook reviews, welcome promos, and bonus offers.


How to Watch USC vs. Notre Dame

Date: Saturday, October 12

Time: 7:30 p.m. EST

Location: Notre Dame Stadium (Notre Dame, IN)

Network: NBC

Announcers: Mike Tirico, Doug Flutie, Kathryn Tappen, Terry McAulay


USC vs. Notre Dame Weather

It’s always a good idea to check the game conditions before locking in a play, and they could be a mild factor tonight.

Temperatures are expected to sit in the upper 40s throughout the game under clear skies, but there will be some active winds blowing at about 15 mph. Nothing crazy, but it could have an impact on the kicking game.

USC vs. Notre Dame Odds

Here are the current Notre Dame-USC betting odds:

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
USC     +11 (-110)   +310   O 58.5 (-110)
Notre Dame      -11 (-110)   -420   U 58.5 (-110)


Win Probability

Let’s look at this one from a different angle by using ESPN’s FPI model.

Such projection models aren’t always accurate predictors of an event’s outcome, but it’s worth a look to compare the implied probability of the moneyline odds with a second source in order to find out if there’s potentially some betting value on the board. If there exists a pronounced disparity between the two numbers, there could be an opportunity to exploit a certain betting angle.

ESPN’s FPI index gives Notre Dame a 83.8% win probability in this game.

So what?

In relation to the Fighting Irish’s FPI win probability, the -420 moneyline odds (80.8% win probability) at DraftKings represents some slight betting value.

As for USC, there’s no value on the Trojans at +310 moneyline odds (24.4% win probability) when stacked against FPI.


Notre Dame vs. USC Betting Preview

After falling to Georgia three weeks ago, Notre Dame needs to perform well on the national stage and run the table if they are to have any shot at reaching the College Football Playoff once again this season. Their latest crack at it comes in a primetime game against historic rival USC.

There’s no doubt that these two teams have played in some classics over the years:

I’m not exactly sure that we’ll get the same finish tonight when the No. 9 Fighting Irish square off against a Trojans squad that has withstood multiple quarterback injuries in weathering a turbulent start.

USC finally received some good news on the injury front earlier this week when promising freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis, who’s thrown for 732 yards and five touchdowns against four interceptions, was cleared from concussion protocol. He will get the start tonight against a stingy Notre Dame defense that is allowing only 14.8 points per game.

Still, if USC’s offensive line can buy Slovis enough time, he’ll have opportunities to distribute the ball to a talented group of wide receivers in Amon-Ra St. Brown, Michael Pittman Jr., and Tyler Vaughns. The trio has already combined for 90 receptions, 1,153 yards, and nine touchdowns.

Meanwhile, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book will look to continue his excellent play at home. In three combined games against New Mexico, Virginia, and Bowling Green, Book has tossed 10 touchdowns against 0 interceptions. Granted, New Mexico and Bowling Green, specifically, aren’t going to be mistaken for elite programs, but Book has no less performed at a high level at home.

Notre Dame should also have some success running the football against a USC defense allowing 175.2 rushing yards per game and 4.5 rushing yards per carry. Junior running Jafar Armstrong, who will return after being sidelined with an abdominal tear in his team’s season-opener against Louisville, was a breakout candidate coming into the season and could be in line to make some big plays tonight.


Notre Dame vs. USC Betting Trends

Why Backing USC is a Good Bet

PAC-12 Teams are Solid Road Underdogs After a Big Loss

PAC-12 road underdogs of 10-13 points are 12-7 ATS after losing by 14+ points in their previous game.

The Hangover

Notre Dame is only 19-29-3 ATS as a home favorite after a win and 8-21-1 ATS when favored by 10+ points, while all home teams favored by 10-14 points coming off a win of 50+ points are only 6-10 ATS. They are also only 2-5 ATS when favored by 7+ points after a win and cover under Kelly.

Public Support is a Problem for Notre Dame

When more than 60% of spread bets are on Notre Dame as a favorite, the Fighting Irish are only 29-44-3 ATS. When the percentage is between exactly 60-70%, they are only 18-25-1 ATS.

Why Backing Notre Dame is a Good Bet

Ranked vs. Unranked

Top 10 home favorites that scored at least 50 points in their previous game are 73-52-4 ATS against unranked opponents and 69-50-4 ATS when favored by double digits.

USC Has Been Dreadful Against the Spread

USC is only 6-14 ATS over its last 20 games and 1-4 ATS over its last five road games. Under Helton, USC is 3-9 ATS as an underdog and 1-7 ATS as a road underdog. Meanwhile, Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS this season, including four straight covers, and 3-0 ATS at Notre Dame Stadium.


Notre Dame vs. Bowling Green Prediction

Notre Dame is rolling right now and is a perfect 3-0 both straight up and against the spread at home this season. Clearly, they’re the more talented team and should secure a victory over USC tonight. That being said, USC has talent, too, and Notre Dame doesn’t typically follow wins with covers against bigger spreads. I’m going to go against the public favorite and grab USC with the points.

Prediction: USC (+11) over Notre Dame

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana Weekend Betting Preview: Promos and Odds

Austin Petolillo - October 12, 2019

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana is open for its second weekend of online betting action in the state. Here’s what you can expect this weekend.


DraftKings Sportsbook Promos in Indiana

DraftKings user two main evergreen offers.

New users can get their first bet matched up to $200 when they sign up here . All users get a 20% deposit match up to $500, where DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit, paying up to $500 in bonus money. However, there is a lot of fine print on this one. Only the first $50 is matched instantly, the rest drips out through a 25x play-through requirement.

DraftKings Sportsbook is also offering up a few specials this weekend in Indiana.

  • Parlay Insurance: Place a 5+ leg parlay on any sport and get your bet back if you miss one leg
  • Offensive Defense: If the team you bet on scores more than 24 points and still loses, you get your bet back
  • No Goals, No Problem: For the entire English Premier League season, we will refund your bet if the game ends in a 0-0 tie, up to $25. Must Opt In by clicking Opt In button.
  • Pregame protection on the Steelers-Chargers game: Bet on who will score the first touchdown and get your wager back if they score anytime.

Now with all of that being said, let’s check out some notable games and plays this weekend.


Notre Dame vs. USC Odds at DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana

Spread: Notre Dame (-11)

Money Line: Notre Dame (-400), USC (+310) 

Total: O/U 59.5

When I look at this game, I immediately look at the point total here. DraftKings has the total set at 59.5 points. That is A LOT of points. Yes, Notre Dame has a high-powered offense with QB Ian Book at the helm, but USC has a pretty solid defense, ranking 57th in scoring defense.

Looking at the other side of the ball, USC is without starting QB J.T. Daniels for the rest of the season, so they turn to backup Kedon Slovis, who himself is recovering from an injury. USC’s offense is nothing to write home about, ranking 68th in scoring offense as they go up against the Irish’s 13th ranked scoring defense. I just don’t think that these teams will break 60 points in this game. I think Notre Dame covers, but I would take the under here.


Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals (NLCS)

Odds to win series: Nationals (-125), Cardinals (+105) 

After two epic Game 5’s in the NLDS (Epic in different ways), the most unlikely NLCS matchup has occurred. The Nationals (93-69) took down the heavy-favorite Los Angeles Dodgers in extra innings after tying the game up in the eighth and taking the lead courtesy of a Howie Kendrick Grand Slam in the 10th. The Cardinals (91-71) meanwhile, didn’t have to stress their Game 5 out at all. Thanks to the Braves choking away Game 4 after being four outs away from an NLCS berth, there was no worry about them choking Game 5 away at all as the Cardinals went on to score an impressive 10 runs in the top of the 1st, winning that game by a final score of 13-1.

Though the Nationals have a better record by two games, the Cardinals have home-field advantage due to winning their division and the Nationals being a Wild Card team. It looks like DraftKings favors the records of the Nationals over the home-field advantage of the Cardinals as the Nats are favored to win this series outright.

It should be a tough series to pick here as not too many people expected these two teams to face off but personally, I think the Nationals win it in six (which are at +425 odds, tied for lowest odds next to the Cardinals winning in seven). Pitching wins come October and the Nationals have three horses in their rotation consisting of Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, and Patrick Corbin, which I think will be too much to match for the Cardinals offense that struggled more times than not in the NLDS.


Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (ALCS)

Odds to win series: Astros (-175), Yankees (+145)

This series will probably be the best series to come out of these 2019 playoffs as we have two 100 game winners squaring off to go to the World Series. I would argue that these are the two best teams in all of baseball, and even if the Dodgers and the Braves advanced to the World Series, I would still believe that whoever wins this series would go on to win the entire thing. Now it’s just much easier for the two.

With this series starting on Saturday, you have to think about the classic “well-rested team that swept vs the team that went the distance in their last series and are riding the momentum” argument. The Yankees made quick work of the Twins, sweeping them on Monday, while the Astros had to play a Game 5 against the Rays on Thursday.

DraftKings Sportsbook Indiana, however, likes the team riding the momentum to win this series outright. The Astros have been the best team in baseball all season long due to their rotation, bullpen, and deep lineup where they have a guy like Carlos Correa hitting in the seven hole. The Yankees have a deep lineup and an outstanding bullpen as well, but they don’t have three aces in their rotation like the Astros do with Justin Verlander, Gerrit Cole, and Zack Greinke. With that being said, I like the Astros in 6.


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Spread: Chargers (-6.5) 

Money line: Chargers (-278), Steelers (+235) 

Total: O/U 41.5

The Colts and Bears are off this weekend, meaning NFL betting action will be tamped down a bit at DraftKings Sportsbook. But there’s one matchup we want to callout.

I’m shocked that the Chargers aren’t favored more here. I get that they aren’t having the best season, but the Steelers might be down to their third-string QB, Devlin Hodges. Do you know who Devlin Hodges is? Yeah, I thought so. It has been reported that Mason Rudolph, while still in the concussion protocol, is participating in practice, but it is Hodges taking the first team reps.

Hodges wasn’t necessarily bad in his time at QB on Sunday, going 7/9 for 68 yards against the Ravens who weren’t game planning to face him. Give a team a full week to prepare and it’ll be a different story, though the tape on Hodges is limited.

Looking on the other side, I think this is a must-win game for the Chargers who have disappointed a quarter of the way through the season. A loss would put them at 2-4 and that’s not the easiest hole to dig out of so because of that, I think Chargers ML and spread is the smart option.


Penn State vs. Iowa Betting Predictions: Odds and Picks

Bob Wankel - October 11, 2019

It will be high-stakes Big Ten football under the lights on a chilly autumn night when Penn State travels to Iowa this weekend for a critical showdown between two of the nation’s Top 25 teams.

This isn’t the first time the Nittany Lions have hit the road to face the Hawkeyes with an undefeated record on the line.

Let’s rewind it back to 2008 when then No. 3 Penn State rolled into Iowa City in early November with an unblemished 9-0 record.

A week after securing a key road victory over No. 10 Ohio State, the Nittany Lions took a 23-14 lead into the fourth quarter before Iowa found the endzone shrink the deficit to two.

Then, they engineered a methodical 15-play drive that ended with this dagger:

That kick not only ended Penn State’s undefeated run but also its national title dreams that season.

While the current expectations may not be quite as high for this year’s team, a dominant 5-0 start in which James Franklin’s squad has obliterated the opposition by a combined 235-37 margin has Penn State into the AP and Coaches Poll Top 10 and thinking big.

Meanwhile, No. 17 Iowa will look to rebound after its offense committed more turnovers (four) than it scored points (three) in a sloppy loss at Michigan last Saturday.

Will the Nittany Lions stay perfect (and cover the spread) ahead of their “White Out” game against rival Michigan next week, or will Iowa once again spoil Penn State’s party? Let’s get into it with our Penn State vs. Iowa betting preview.

How to Bet on Penn State vs. Iowa


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At a very young age, my grandfather sat me down on his lap, looked me straight in the eye and said, “Kid, just remember–it’s not what you bet, it’s where you bet.”

Actually, that didn’t happen. But it’s great advice.

Let’s start at FOX Bet PA, which continues to offer creative and enticing daily bet boosts in addition to its usual $20 sign-up bonus and $100 deposit match that you can grab right here .

Among the bet boosts for Penn State-Iowa are four same-game parlay options:

  • Iowa +3.5 and under 41.5 points (+250)
  • Penn State -3.5 and under 41.5 (+275)
  • Penn State -3.5 and over 41.5 points (+250)
  • Iowa +3.5 and over 41.5 points (+270)

FOX Bet also has Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 Super Boost, a three-leg parlay on Notre Dame (-10), Iowa (+3.5), and LSU (-13) has been boosted from +600 to +800.


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How to Watch Penn State vs. Iowa

  • Date: Saturday, October 12
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
  • Location: Kinnick Stadium Stadium (Iowa City, IA)
  • Network: ABC
  • Announcers: Sean McDonough (play-by-play), Todd Blackledge (analyst), Holly Rowe (sideline)


Penn State vs. Iowa Weather

While it’s always a good idea to check the weather before locking in a bet, it isn’t expected to be a factor in Iowa City on Saturday night with temperatures hovering in the upper 40s under mostly clear skies.


Penn State vs. Iowa Odds

Here are the current Penn State-Iowa betting odds at some of the top legal online sportsbooks as of 12:00 p.m. Friday afternoon:


      Spread     Money        Total
Penn State     -3 (-118)   -175   O 42.5 (-110)
Iowa     +3 (+100)    +150   U  42.5 (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Penn State     -3.5 (-103)   -182   O 42.5 (-110)
Iowa      +3.5 (-120)   +148   U 42.5 (-110)

FanDuel Sportsbook

      Spread     Money        Total
Penn State     -3 (-115)   -165   O 42.5 (-105)
Iowa     +3 (-105)   +140   U 42.5 (-115)


Win Probability

Let’s see how the implied probability of FOX Bet’s moneyline odds stack up against ESPN’s FPI model.

Projection models sometimes skew data and aren’t always accurate predictors of an event’s outcome, but it’s worth a look at how the implied probability of sportsbook odds compare to a second source in order to see if there’s any betting value on the board.

ESPN’s FPI model gives Penn State a 67.2% win probability against Iowa, while the implied probability of the -175 moneyline price on Penn State at FOX Bet carries a 63.6% win probability.

So what?

In relation to Penn State’s FPI win probability, there’s some slight betting value on a Penn State outright win.

As for Iowa, there’s no value on the Hawkeyes at +150 moneyline odds when stacked against FPI.


Betting Preview: What You Need to Know

Penn State’s offense has lit up the scoreboard this season, but the defense has also flexed some serious muscle throughout its 5-0 start.

Penn State leads the nation with 25 sacks and has the country’s No. 2 scoring defense and No. 3 rushing defense. That doesn’t bode well for an Iowa offense that struggled to run the football and allowed eight sacks last week in a 10-3 loss at Michigan, though not every one of those sacks was on the line:

Despite its overall poor performance a week ago, the Iowa offensive line remains a talented group that is bookended by solid tackles Alaric Jackson and Tristan Wirfs. Those two will need to hold up against defensive lineman Yetur Gross-Matos and Shaka Toney, who have combined for 10.5 sacks, in order to give quarterback Nate Stanley a shot.

Stanley was uncharacteristically sloppy last week, throwing three interceptions after starting the season with eight touchdowns passes and no picks.

With the Nittany Lions effectively eliminating opposing run games on a weekly basis, it will likely be on Stanley to move the Iowa offense with a quartet of receivers that have each registered at least 12 catches and 190 yards through five games.

Penn State has the country’s No. 13 scoring offense at 39 points per game and has effectively moved the ball on the ground and through the air at times this season, frequently hitting explosive plays.

Still, they continue to struggle on third down.

Of particular concern was the struggles of the Nittany Lions’ offensive line against Pitt and the unit’s struggles after the opening quarter last week against Purdue.

The Hawkeyes’ defensive front, led by defensive end A.J. Epenesa (two sacks), is one of the nation’s elite units against the run. How Penn State’s offensive line handles the challenge of dealing with a strong Iowa front in a hostile environment will go a long way in determining which team emerges with a key conference win on Saturday night.


Penn State vs. Iowa Betting Trends

Why Backing Penn State is a Good Bet

Big Ten Road Favorites with Short Lines Have Cashed

When two ranked Big Ten teams go head-to-head, road favorites of four points or less are 10-4-2 ATS.

When two conference opponents ranked between No. 10 and No. 25 play, the road favorite is 24-16-2 ATS. Specifically, Big Ten teams are 4-1-1 ATS in this situation when favored by four points or less.

Just Win, Baby—But Not by Too Much

Big Ten road favorites in conference games that are coming off a win of 30 points or less are 89-62-1 ATS.

Primetime Players

Penn State is 13-4 ATS under James Franklin in games that begin after 7 p.m. (though only 4-4 ATS on the road).


Why Backing Iowa is a Good Bet

Feeling Homesick

Penn State is 0-4-1 ATS as a road favorite of six points or less. In fact, this is pretty crazy, but Penn State is only 1-9-2 ATS under Franklin in road games where they are either favored by six points or less or an underdog.

Penn State is 4-13 ATS on the road against Top 25 and 1-5 ATS under James Franklin.

Big Ten road teams favored between 3-4 points are only 3-10 ATS in night games.

Good Dogs

Iowa is 9-6-1 ATS as a home underdog in conference games.

Iowa is 7-3-1 ATS as an underdog in night games.


A Word on the Total

Penn State has been lighting up the scoreboard this season, but its offense stalled after a hot start against Purdue last week. Meanwhile, Iowa’s offense was a hot mess as week ago in Ann Arbor. The Hawkeyes couldn’t get anything going on the ground and quarterback was sacked eight times in between his three interceptions. That helps explain why the game total currently sits at only 42.5 points.

That said, I wouldn’t be too concerned with how each offense played a week ago. Consider the following trends:

  • The over is 90-75-1 in Big Ten games when both teams went under in its previous games and 10-6 when the total is set between 40-43 points.
  • The over is also 32-20 when two Big Ten teams went under by 10 or more points in its previous games.
  • Finally, the over is 19-13-1 when the total closes between 41-42 points in Big Ten conference games, and it’s 63-45-2 in Big Ten conference games at night.

Penn State vs. Iowa Prediction

It’s time to make a Penn State vs. Iowa prediction.

I’ve had a decent feel for Penn State sides so far this season, going 3-1-1 ATS, but that one loss was a huge swing and a miss when I backed Maryland as a primetime home dog. While that game gives me some hesitation in going against Penn State against Iowa, I expect a different outcome this time around.

Ultimately, while I believe Penn State probably gets the nod on a neutral field, Iowa’s home-field advantage looms large in this game.

James Franklin hasn’t been able to cover on the road at Penn State as a short favorite or as an underdog, and I’m having a hard time overlooking his ATS road struggles against Top 25 teams.

I consider this one a toss up, but given that, I’ll grab the points with the home team.

Prediction: Iowa (+3.5) over Penn State