Posts for Phillies Category

Phillies Nationals Betting Preview: Odds, Trends, Pick

BWanksCB - June 19, 2019

The banged up and slumping Phillies got a bit of a reprieve the last two nights from Mother Nature as poor weather conditions forced back-to-back postponements in Washington. Catcher J.T. Realmuto, who would’ve been out of the lineup each of the last two nights after taking a foul tip straight off, well, you know, is back behind the dish for Game 1 of today’s day-night double-header with the Nationals. Despite the Phillies’ recent struggles, they sit only 2 1/2 games behind the Braves in the NL East as play opens today, while the surging Nationals come in at 33-38 and look to get back into the division race. Let’s take a look at how the two teams stack up in the afternoon matchup–weather permitting.

Those of you in Pennsylvania, can find out more about how to get in on the action on our PA sports betting page.

Those of you in New Jersey, hit our NJ online sports betting page.

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Phillies Nationals Odds

Here are the Phillies-Nationals odds for Game 1 of today’s double-header:

DraftKings Sportsbook

Run Line Money Total
Phillies +1.5 (-130) +160 O 9.5 (-115)
Nationals -1.5 (+107) -190 U 9.5 (-106)

PointsBet

Run Line Money Total
Phillies +1.5 (-120) +155 O 9.5 (-115)
Nationals -1.5 (+105) -186 U 9.5 (-105)

There are some pretty steep odds in this one as the Nationals come in as a strong favorite. If you’re looking to back the Phillies on the moneyline, you can get the best payout at DraftKings Sportsbook, while you can save a little on the Nationals with PointsBet. The totals market is fairly similar at both sportsbooks, with the over being the slightly more pricey side.

Phillies-Nationals Lineups

Analysis: Cesar Hernandez had been struggling out of the leadoff spot recently, so the Phillies hope he can get it going in the unfamiliar No. 8 spot where he is hitting .286 this season in two games. Roman Quinn is back and will play for the Phillies for the first time since April 24. Jean Segura has been ice-cold lately, hitting only .185 with a .614 OPS in 62 plate appearances this month. He’s got a good matchup today against Nationals starter Patrick Corbin, who he is 7 for 11 against in his career. Bryce Harper has also had success against Corbin, going 5 for 13 with three doubles.

Zach Eflin has been the Phillies’ best starter this season. He’s 6-6 with a 2.81 ERA in 13 starts and is 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts at Nationals Park.

Analysis: Trea Turner has a .997 OPS in 64 plate appearances this month. Gerardo Parra is 3 for 4 in his career against Eflin with a homer, while Anthony Rendon is 4 for 10 with a double.

Corbin, who signed a six-year deal worth $140 million this past offseason with Washington, has underwhelmed thus far. He’s 5-5 with a 4.11 ERA, which is decent, but has struggled in June. In two starts this month, he’s allowed 10 earned runs in only 10 IP, including three homers and seven walks. Ugly.

General Betting Trends

The Phillies are only 3-6 this season when a moneyline underdog of +130 or greater. If the moneyline closes in the same neighborhood as the current +160, this game will mark only the fourth time this season that the Phillies will be an underdog of greater than +140. They are 1-2 this season in such games. They lost twice in Los Angeles earlier this month, but did beat Washington on the road, 8-2, back on April 2.

Despite Eflin’s success this season, the Phillies are only 6-7 in his 13 starts and only 1-4 in his starts as an underdog. Meanwhile, Washington is only 5-6 as favorites when Corbin starts.

The Nationals have not been a good bet as a moneyline favorite this season. They are only 21-22 in this role, netting a $100 per game bettor -$846 in those 43 games. They are also only 3-5 this season when favored by -190 or more and 5-5 when favored between -170 and -200. That’s…not good. They’ve also struggled against right-handed starters at home this season, going only 10-14.

While all of that is working in the Phillies’ favor, they are only 3-8 against left-handed starters on the road this season and a miserable 1-7 against left-handed starters on the road as an underdog.

Prediction

Certainly, Corbin hasn’t thrown well during the month of June, but this is a good matchup for him. The Phillies haven’t played well lately and they’ve been flat-out terrible against LH starters on the road this season. I’m not interested in dropping -190 on Washington, but I’ll grab them at a more reasonable price on the run line and lock them in to grab Game 1 of today’s double-header.

Why Was Lenny Dykstra Searching a Dumpster Behind a Jersey Mike’s Subs?

Kevin Kinkead - June 19, 2019

Let’s check in on former Phillies outfielder Lenny Dykstra.

Hmmm…

Well here’s a story on NJ.Com describing how Nails lost his dentures and had to go search the dumpster behind a Jersey Mike’s Subs in Linden, where he lives.

Writes Athony Attrino:

“The bread is so hard on those subs,” Dykstra told NJ Advance Media on Tuesday. “I took my teeth out and put them in a napkin, folded it up and forget them there.”

Dykstra left the restaurant which is about two miles from his home and later realized he’d forgotten his teeth in the napkin.

“When I went back, the workers said they threw all the napkins in the garbage,” Dykstra said. “I told them there was no f—- way I was leaving without my f—- teeth.”

The dentures are specially made with bone marrow and valued at $80,000, he said.

Hang on –

Lenny has dentures that are worth $80 grand? That’s wild.

I guess he chronicled most of this online, which I didn’t even notice until now. Those video clips after the jump:

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Max Scherzer Broke His Nose Today

BWanksCB - June 18, 2019

The headline pretty much says it all. Max Scherzer, who is currently scheduled to start for the Nationals in one game of Wednesday’s double-header against the Phillies, bunted a ball during pregame batting practice earlier today…and that ball hit him in the face. It looked bad:

I wouldn’t exactly call that textbook form. At first glance, it looked like he broke his nose. Turns out that he did.

I can’t imagine that he pitches tomorrow, but we’ll see, I guess.

The Phillies Played Themselves Into a Huge June Series

Coggin Toboggan - June 18, 2019

The Phillies are three games out of first place in the NL East after a HUMILIATING weekend series against the Braves where Jerad Eickhoff continued his rapid descent into the ninth level of hell (the level where you give up 15 earned runs and seven home runs in your last 10 innings pitched), Vince Velasquez confirmed that he has incriminating photos of someone in the Phillies organization to still merit a place in the locker room, and Brian McCann scorched and salted the Phillies’ Earth so nothing would ever grow again.

A large enough vat of coconut oil doesn’t exist to make Gabe Kapler and Phillies fans forget about the horrors they witnessed in Atlanta. Dwight Howard had more success in Atlanta than the Phillies did this weekend.

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Odúbel Herrera Waived His Arraignment Appearance via His Attorney

Russ Joy - June 17, 2019

Phillies centerfielder Odúbel Herrera was set to appear in an Atlantic City court today, but new broke that Herrera, via his attorney, had waived his arraignment appearance:

This appearance stems from an incident on May 27, when police were called to the Golden Nugget Casino following a report of physical harm to Herrera’s 20-year-old girlfriend, who contacted casino security regarding a physical altercation. Police took Herrera into custody from his hotel room and charged him with simple assault and knowingly causing bodily injury. Herrera’s girlfriend reportedly had handprint markings on her neck and scratches on her arm as a result of the alleged assault.

The Phillies put Herrera on administrative leave, pursuant to Major League Baseball’s Joint Domestic Violence, Sexual Assault and Child Abuse Policy on May 28. That same day, Phillies GM Matt Klentak updated the media on the team’s decision and Major League Baseball extended Herrera’s administrative leave on June 3. That extended leave is currently set to end on June 17, but with the court date needing to be rescheduled, it’s possible the leave will get extended again.

Mickey Moniak Made a Sweet Catch Yesterday

BWanksCB - June 17, 2019

Mickey Moniak hasn’t exactly lived up to the high expectations typically attached to a No. 1 overall draft pick, but he’s made some progress this season. The 21-year-old is hitting .256 with a career-best .417 slugging-percentage in 62 games for Double-A Reading. Not bad, although he could stand to improve on his .300 on-base percentage that is weighed down by a pretty brutal 5.8% walk-rate. The Phillies, an organization that values on-base skills, probably do not love that number.

Anyway, this isn’t the minor league prospect report, so let’s get to the point. Moniak made a big-time play late in Reading’s 2-1 win over Harrisburg yesterday, robbing the Senators’ Luis Sardinas of a homer.

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Projection Models Don’t Hate Phillies As Much As You Do

BWanksCB - June 17, 2019

As we continue to digest the Phillies’ ugliest loss of the season this morning, let’s take a brief pause from dishing out blame and declaring the season over.

It’s probably in everybody’s best interest to step away from emotionally-driven eye test overreactions based on a disappointing three-game series. That’s how you end up declaring the season dead for a 39-32 team that has withstood multiple injuries to this point. Do the Phillies need to get healthier? Yes. Do they need a starter? Yes. Do they need more consistency from the lineup? Also yes! Do they need to fire everybody? No.

See how this goes? I know, I know. You want blood this morning because the Phillies disgraced your fandom, the city, and the game of baseball yesterday. 

Matt Klentak sucks, analytics suck, Gabe Kapler is ________________.

Pound your fist on the table, call sports radio, send your angry group chat texts. Here’s the thing though–and I know this sounds crazy–you can admit this weekend did, in fact, suck and that the Phillies have problems without shoveling dirt on their grave. Start by checking the math.

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After a Miserable Series Finale in Atlanta, Now What for Phillies?

BWanksCB - June 16, 2019

I have to be honest, I could not have initially disagreed more with the Phillies’ decision to start Vince Velasquez today. He came into this afternoon’s rubber match against the Braves with an 0-2 record and 7.50 ERA in four career games at SunTrust Park. Braves hitters had posted a ridiculous 1.016 OPS and .415 batting average against him in those games. And Velasquez, who has suddenly become one of the team’s primary late-inning arms (and not on merit), was being jerked back into the starting rotation after making nine relief appearances, including what was a brief 10-pitch outing on Friday night.

After watching the Braves methodically dismantle the Phillies in a 15-1 drubbing, I have a confession to make. I was completely wrong.

I was wrong because in the end, it didn’t matter if the Phillies started Velasquez–who predictably struggled–or Cole Irvin–who predictably struggled–or Jerad Eickhoff–who predictably struggled. All three pitchers were completely overmatched and thoroughly beaten by what looks like one of the National League’s most complete lineups. You know, the type of relentless lineup many of us thought the Phillies would have. By the time Gabe Kapler removed Eickhoff, whose 39 ineffective pitches yielded six hits, a walk, five earned runs, and two more homers, and tabbed utility guy Sean Rodriguez for the eighth down by two touchdowns, it’s almost as if the manager was saying to his front office and the fans, “What the hell do you guys want from me here?” 

If he didn’t ask, he should have.

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