Posts for sam hinkie

We’re Past the Point of a Sam Hinkie Reunion

Kevin Kinkead - July 17, 2018

Monday’s report that the Sixers wanted Daryl Morey to fill their vacant general manager position probably raised the obvious question.

If true, why not just get Sam Hinkie on the phone?

This was the crux of the Twitter reaction:

“Well, if the Sixers are looking for an analytics-focused and forward-thinking executive, I can think of someone who might fit the bill!”

Of course, a Hinkie redux would be contingent on both parties putting aside any lingering ill-will, if it exists. It was about 25 months ago that Morey’s former second-in-command resigned as the Sixers’ GM and wrote a 13-page manifesto explaining his thoughts and decision making and touching on the bright future he saw for the franchise. I have no idea what kind of relationship Hinkie now has with Josh Harris and ownership, but Bryan Colangelo is gone, Jerry Colangelo is basically a lame duck peripheral character at this point, and Brett Brown, I assume, would not have any qualms with Sam assuming his former position.

Continue Reading

Continue Reading

Report: Sixers Wanted Daryl Morey to Replace Bryan Colangelo

Kevin Kinkead - July 16, 2018

Slow news day until this popped about 25 minutes ago:

Yeah, well, who wouldn’t want the NBA’s reigning Executive of the Year to run their team?

You’re probably familiar with Morey as the guy whom Sam Hinkie worked with before coming to Philadelphia. Both are known for being progressive, analytics-based player-personnel executives, to put it mildly.

Morey built a 65-win Rockets team that was a Chris Paul hamstring injury away from an NBA title this season, so I’m not sure why he’d jump ship to Philadelphia right now. Of course, if the Sixers wanted someone in Morey’s mold, they could simply re-approach Hinkie. That would go over very well with half of the fan base while being blasted into oblivion by the other half.

The Sixers have been without a general manager since parting with Bryan Colangelo on June 7th.

The Process is Dead, Long Live The Process

Coggin Toboggan - October 18, 2017

The 76ers season starts in earnest tonight, driving the last nail into the coffin of The Process, the singular greatest/worst/cheapest franchise strategy ever seen in the NBA.

It was three years of either unending entertainment and a collective “fuck you” to the NBA and its team owners, or three years of unending embarrassment for fans that had to watch win totals of 19, 18, and 10 from 2013 to 2016.

It was awesome.

I’m sorry, it was. There has never been a bigger divide among Sixers fans in this franchise’s history. NEVER. You either were all-in, deifying Sam Hinkie as the genius architect of The Process, or you cursed Hinkie as a jowly, overly analytical loser who purposefully made the franchise so bad that they could acquire a greater amount of precious, precious “assets” in the hopes that one of them would eventually pan out.

I fucking loved it. The idea that a pale nerd, who looks like he could hardly dribble a basketball, turned the NBA on its head by declaring that the Sixers would SEEK to be awful (and thus improve their chances to be great) and could evoke such tremendous emotion from basketball fans throughout the country is insane.

It was a shadowy practice only discussed in half-joking, hushed tones from fans, put into practice from possibly the least impressive looking man that has ever stepped foot on a basketball court in any fashion.

You loved Hinkie or you hated him. People either wanted to punch him or fuck him. There was no in-between.

Blogs were created purely to discuss his genius. Podcasts were launched. His swollen face and sly grin are plastered on t-shirts that grown men proudly wear in public. Sixers Twitter exploded, with his legion of followers ready to pounce on the non-believers who dared to question his vision, or who didn’t understand his devotion to second round draft picks, or his willingness to swindle salary-cap-strained franchises with an eye for a payoff YEARS down the road. Continue Reading

Continue Reading

Not to be Outdone, Sam Hinkie’s Making Trades Too

Jim Adair - July 31, 2015

sixers

Sam Hinkie, on baseball trade deadline day, wants you to know he has no off switch … even if the deals are minor. According to a press release, “the Philadelphia 76ers today announced they have acquired forward Gerald Wallace and a draft consideration from the Golden State Warriors in exchange for power forward Jason Thompson.” What that draft consideration could be is unknown at this moment, since the Warriors don’t have a second-rounder until 2019 (according to Derek Bodner).

Wallace arrived in Golden State via the David Lee deal, and Thompson came to the Sixers in the Stauskas deal. It’s expected Wallace will be cut. We’ll have more here when more is known.

9 Reasons Why Sam Hinkie’s Process Can Still Be Trusted

Kyle - June 17, 2015

Crosswalk

This post is part of The Crosswalk, Crossing Broad’s reader submitted section. While checked for basic quality and readability, it is not edited by Crossing Broad, and all opinions expressed are those of the author, for better or worse. If you’re interested in having your work appear on Crossing Broad, fill out the short sign up form here.

The Joel Embiid setback has caused some to start to “Trust Question the Process” the 76ers have adopted under GM Sam Hinkie. It even caused a father-son spat (surely not the first) on the Innes-Bruno Show (without the vacationing Innes, so sports was the main topic. Sorry, Radio Wars). It was Howard vs. Spike in the Battle of the Eskins as Howard tried to scream over Spike’s solid defense of the Hinkie vision. For a listen:

Continue Reading

Continue Reading

Your NBA Draft Lottery Primer: #OneSixEleven IS NOT GOING TO HAPPEN

Jim Adair - May 19, 2015

So many white balls. So many.

So many white balls. So many.

Tonight, for all of Sam Hinkie’s maneuvering and planning, the bouncing of some tiny, white balls will play a large part in the Sixers’ future. At around 8:30 p.m., this year’s draft order will be announced. With the third-worst record, the Sixers have a 15.6% shot at landing the top pick. But of bigger concern to many Sixers fans is getting the Heat’s pick at 11 and the Lakers’ pick at 6. The chances of landing either is slim, but this is what happened on my first three lottery simulations last night. I swear.

three lotteries

Those were just the first three. We ran ESPN’s simulation 40 TIMES, and this is what we got:

Voila_Capture 2015-05-19_12-12-23_PM

Favorable scenarios are in green, the rather frequently recurring 5-6 combo in yellow, and NUCLEAR OPTION in red. Overall, the Sixers’ average first pick was 3.25 and they got a second pick 17.5% of the time.

But that was on just one of the simulators.

I went to a different lottery simulator, Tankathon, and ran it a ten more times… because somehow this is my chosen profession. The three most interesting results are below:

tankathon 3

The elusive #onesixeleven didn’t happen – Kyle doesn’t think it exists – but 5, 6 and 11 turned up, along with just 5 and 11, and, as you saw, 5-6.

The Sixers made a nice little graphic to break the odds down for you

Voila_Capture 2015-05-19_12-16-39_PM

… but here’s what you need to know by the numbers:

  • 15.6% – The Sixers’ odds of getting the top overall pick
  • 46.9% – The chances the Sixers’ pick is in the top three
  • 17.3% – The chances the Lakers pick conveys
  • 9.1% – The chances the Heat pick conveys
  • 19% – The odds the Sixers end up with multiple first round picks– slightly higher than in our 40+ simulations
  • 0.28% – The chance the Sixers get #OneSixEleven

And how does all of this ping pong ball stuff actually work? It’s all very confusing:

One representative from every team is ushered into a room where the lottery is conducted in private – the results are shared on live television later in the evening. Fourteen ping pong balls numbered 1-14 are placed into a machine for 20 seconds. Then, the first ball is drawn. Ten seconds later, a second is drawn. Another 10 seconds, and a third ball is removed from the machine. And finally, after 10 more seconds, a fourth ball is drawn.

The order in which the four numbers are drawn is not important – meaning a drawing of 1, 2, 3, and 4 is the same as a drawing of 4, 3, 2, and 1 for the purpose of this exercise. A league official then refers to a massive board showing 1,000 combinations of four digits with a team name assigned to each (this is where the number of combinations each team has factors into the odds). Whichever team’s combination is drawn first is awarded the top pick.

The four balls are then returned to the machine and the process is repeated to determine the winners of the second and third picks. In the event that a combination is drawn for picks #2 or #3 that belongs to a team that has already been awarded a pick via the lottery, the drawing is repeated until a unique winner is determined.

After the top-three selections have been determined, the remaining 11 lottery picks (as well as the 16 non-lottery picks) are sequenced based upon regular season record, from worst to best.

Of the 1,000 possible combinations, the Sixers have 156. But really they just need one of those picked. And then for one (or more) of the teams from 11-14 to get one so they can get the Heat’s pick and for a team to jump into the top three from behind the Lakers so they can get their pick, too. Simple.

Basketball Reference Introduces “Roster Continuity” Stat, Sixers Unsurprisingly in Last

Jim Adair - May 7, 2015

Photo Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Photo Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Today, stat-paradise Basketball Reference introduced some new metrics: “Roster Status” and “Roster Continuity.” The roster status page attempts to show a given player’s year in summation based on how much they contributed (based on games played as starter, reserve, DNPs, and suspensions). But that’s not what we’re looking at here. Here’s how Bball Ref defines roster continuity:

Roster continuity is calculated as the % of a team’s regular season minutes that were filled by players from the previous season’s roster.

Well, right off the bat I know that doesn’t look great for the Sixers. This year’s squad posted a roster continuity of 29%, the lowest in the NBA this season by at least nine percentage points. The only team in Sixers history that had a worse roster continuity was, of course, the 9-73 Sixers of 1972-73 (26% in a year when the next lowest team had 46%). Last year’s team – 2013-2014 – fared better (barely) with 37% — before Hinkie could fully do his damage — and was second to Milwaukee’s 24%.

The metric doesn’t directly show anything about the ability of the team per se (Cleveland, Dallas, and Houston all had sub 50% roster continuity but made the playoffs) but it certainly shows you which front offices are the most active. Wonder what the Eagles’ will look like next year.

The Sixers Probably Aren’t Going to Get Any of Those Other Draft Picks After All

Jim Adair - April 13, 2015

"Sigh."

“Sigh.”

I already feel the burn from the hot takes to come: It was ideal, but never likely. The Sixers could have walked away with four top-20 picks in this year’s draft. Now it looks like they’ll just get the one (their own).

With Oklahoma City’s loss last night, the Thunder are officially locked into the top-18 picks, and since their pick is top-18 protected this year, the Sixers won’t get it. The pick will come this way next year if the Thunder are outside the top-15 (likely) with the same protections in 2017. If none of those criteria are met, it becomes a Sixers second rounder in both 2018 and 2019, which is not nearly as sexy.

The Sixers aren’t completely out of play for the Heat’s pick, but it’s unlikely they’ll acquire that one without some real lottery luck. The pick is currently top-10 protected and if the season ended today, the Heat would be in that 10th spot. They can still win out (and have the Jazz or Pacers lose out and go to a coin flip to see who is #11 and who is #10). It’s top-10 protected again next year, and then wholly unprotected in 2017. There is still a chance the Sixers do land this pick this year, but that would require two teams with picks lower than the Heat’s to jump them in the lottery, which is unlikely.

And that Lakers pick. Oh, the Lakers pick. How badly we want thee. The Lakers are pretty much locked in to the 4th worst record in the NBA (unless the Sixers win out and the Lakers lose out), giving them a 17.2% chance of getting completely boned in the lottery and handing us their pick at #6. If that unlikely scenario doesn’t happen, the pick, which is protected top-3 in 2016 and 2017, and unprotected in 2018, stays with the Lakers this year.

So what now? The next thought is that these conditional picks just became great trade chips. That’s true, especially for that Lakers pick. While we’ll probably end up getting that Thunder pick at #20-24 and the Heat pick somewhere in the mid-teens next year, the Lakers could be a playoff team in 2016. Sure, with Kobe this season they were hot garbage, but Julius Randle will presumably be healthy and they’ll likely have a top-5 pick this year to add to the mix. Their conditional pick has TRADE BAIT stamped all over it. But Sam Hinkie’s probably running super secret simulations on this as we speak.