Your Daily Trade Rumor: Phillies Could Acquire Oswalt and Keep Werth

Ja_happ's Todd Zolecki reports that the Phillies could acquire Oswalt and still keep Jayson Werth.

The Astros were scouting JA Happ yesterday, indicating that he would be involved in a trade bringing Oswalt to Philly.  On the surface, this seems like a short term win- keep Werth and add Oswalt for the stretch run.  I think we would all be happy with this outcome.  But it begs the question, is Oswalt really $15 million better than Happ?  Sure, he has a much better track record, but look at their stats over the last two seasons:

Happ:    181.1 IP, 13 W, 4 L, 6.35 K/9, 1.27 WHIP, 2.83 ERA

Oswalt: 310.1 IP, 14 W, 18 L, 7.48 K/9, 1.19 WHIP, 3.83 ERA

While Oswalt strikes out more batters and his record if affected by the team he plays on, Happ's ERA is a full point lower.  Oswalt is also owed $16 million each of the next two seasons (assuming he stands firm on his new team picking up his option in 2012).  Happ, on the other hand, will make about half a million dollars in 2010 and 2011.  He is arbitration eligible in 2012.

The money spent on Oswalt could be used to re-sign Werth or acquire another top-notch free agent.

Plus, not only was it reported that Oswalt didn't want to play in a large media market, but The Boston Globe also reports that a team like the Yankees turns him off because they're too "big time."  Not sure if that's the right attitude for Philly.


11 Responses

  1. If the Phillies are willing to trust Happ in big game situations – which they weren’t willing to do during last post season – then they should keep him. If they’re going to slide him deep into the rotation, and even deeper in the bullpen like last year, they should go ahead and trade him and get Oswalt since they would surely trust giving him the ball in big situations.

  2. it feels like the phils have something against happ, he’s been nothing but reliable in every scenario they’ve put him in. i’m not trying to make the “who’s better” argument. but considering the $, and what it could be used for, and oswalt’s seeming disdain for large cities, it is worth considering.

  3. I’ve always liked Happ, but it’s true that they don’t seem to trust him. He looked pretty good for his first game back in the 130 degree / 97% humidity weather. Might I also point out: they trust Lidge, but don’t trust Happ. What universe do I live in, anyway?

  4. I agree with the other post. It seems like everyone is bent on trading Happ fans and Phillies front office. I dont understand this…this guy can be the next star..and we can have him for another year for cheap…???????????????

  5. Maybe they dont want this elbow thing to maybe, become something that happens a lot..

  6. Oswalt just feels like a bad decision, the more I read and the gut feelings say “this is going to explode in the Phillies face” I see Happ becoming a legit SP, and for $500k+ the next 2 seasons, the money we can save allows us to retain Werth if we want, or pursue a SP that wants to play for us and doesnt have lingering back issues (i.e. LEE!).
    Either way, Amaro if you trade Happ and others for Oswalt you are a moron….plain and simple. Go for Nolasco or somebody like that. We gotta iron out the outfield first, then bullpen (Lidge needs a closer for himself in games!).
    I see no reason that Hallady, Hamels, Happ, Blanton, Kendrick (or test out some minor league SPs) cannot work. ….but I will say, Blanton/Kendrick needs to continue getting QS’s as he did this weekend otherwise they will kill the Phils.

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