The quest for a winning week continues. We were there, right there, with a handful of minutes to go in last week’s Chelsea/Liverpool match at Stamford Bridge. We had Chelsea to win and we had good odds (13/8). Then this happened in the 89th minute:
— Liverpool FC (@LFC) October 2, 2018
Certainly we can’t suffer that kind of heinous luck again this week, can we? Man…let’s hope not.
CRYSTAL PALACE v. WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS
Wolverhampton has been good to me this season, and they’ve been good, period, throughout the early stages of this season. Wolves have gone unbeaten in five in a row in the league, including a comfortable 2-0 dispatching of Southampton this week.
In contrast, Crystal Palace have been mediocre-to-bad so far, with a negative goal difference and just two wins in seven tries in league play. The most damning indictment of the Palace is this: They haven’t scored at home this season in three tries. Getting shut out by Liverpool is no disgrace, but losing at home to Southampton and drawing with Newcastle (both of whom are serious contenders to be relegated), well, that is pretty disgraceful. Keep it simple. Take Wolverhampton to win at 8/5.
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR v. CARDIFF CITY
Things continue to be really dicey for Spurs at Wembley, their home until further notice. Tottenham’s record there isn’t especially good this season, although it’s hard to blame them for losing to Barcelona in Champions League play — everybody seems to do that. And now reports are (ahem) surfacing that the playing surface is in serious jeopardy because the National Football League is coming to town.
Spurs could really use a slump buster, and the scheduling gods have delivered. Cardiff City is a terrible team. They have no wins and two draws in seven league matches. Their goal difference is -12. Against teams currently residing in the top 5 of the league table, Cardiff City have lost three times with an aggregate score of 12-3. Tottenham currently reside at fourth in the table. The projection here is that Cardiff City a. will not win, and b. will concede goals. Take Tottenham to win AND over 2.5 goals at 8/11.
PHOTO CREDIT: Brad Penner, USA TODAY
LIVERPOOL v. MANCHESTER CITY
This is quite clearly the match of the season thus far in the Premier League. City is atop the table, but only by virtue of having a better goal difference than Liverpool. Both clubs have won six of seven league matches thus far and remain unbeaten, a draw apiece the only stains on their records. So this match should be pretty even, right?
Don’t you believe it. City has lost three matches against Liverpool in 2018, once in the Premier League in January and twice in Champions League matches in April. The Premier League match between these sides in January was a fairly convincing beating; Liverpool was ahead 4-1 into the 84th minute, only to see City score twice late to make the final score of 4-3 look much more competitive than it really was. City’s other visit to Anfield last season was a 3-0 blitzing in the Champions League quarterfinal, with City conceding three times in a little more than half an hour.
At some point, City will progress past this “house of horrors” thing they have at Anfield. Not this week, though. City will score and lose, so take Liverpool to win AND over 2.5 goals at 12/5.
Best of luck to us all this week.
LAST WEEK’S RESULTS
Chelsea to win against Liverpool at 13/8: LOSS
Arsenal to win against Watford AND over 2.5 goals at evens: LOSS
West Ham United +1 against Manchester United at 21/20: WIN
TOTAL LAST WEEK: -$95
TOTAL TO DATE: -$426