Daily Archives for June 7, 2019

Seranthony Dominguez Could Need Tommy John Surgery

BWanksCB - June 7, 2019

We have an update on Phillies relief pitcher Seranthony Dominguez, and it’s not great. Gabe Kapler told reporters awhile ago that Dominguez, who’s 3-0 with a 4.01 ERA and 10.6 K/9 this season, suffered an injury to his UCL.

Dominguez had to leave Wednesday afternoon’s win over the Padres after this eighth-inning pitch, which you can see after the jump:

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Anthony Gargano Says the Sixers Had Dinner with Tobias Harris Last Night

Kevin Kinkead - June 7, 2019

What’s up with free agent Tobias Harris?

The Cuz says he met with Sixers brass on Thursday night.

Here’s the audio, from today’s midday show on 97.5 the Fanatic with Jason Myrtetus: Continue Reading

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Jimmy Butler Is Hanging Out With a Sixers Staffer

Kevin Kinkead - June 7, 2019

It’s that time of the year.

Time to follow the trail of social media clues and see where it leads us. Does it lead us to any concrete information about Sixers free agency? Or does the trail lead us to the world’s biggest nothing burger?

Jimmy Butler has been out and about since the season ended. He spent some time with Mark Wahlberg and coached his daughter. In recent Instagram videos he’s been spotted with Sixers Player Development Specialist Remy Ndiaye.

From Butler’s IG story:

Yes, that’s Butler referring to Remy as “Rem Job,” which doesn’t surprise me.

Ndiaye appears in other IG stories, after the jump:

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DeMarcus Lawrence Has a Carson Wentz Take, Lane Johnson has a Response

Kevin Kinkead - June 7, 2019

Cowboys defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence had this to say about Carson Wentz’s new big money deal:

Lawrence has zero sacks in nine career games against the Eagles. He does have five QB hits, four tackles for loss, and a 6-3 record, so I guess I wouldn’t outright poo-poo his tweet like everybody else is.

The comment did, however, annoy Lane Johnson, after the jump:

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PointsBet is Offering An Intriguing 109 to 1 Booster Promo for Game 4

Joe DiProsperos - June 7, 2019

It’s been an exciting NBA Finals thus far. Toronto came out strong in Game 1, winning by a score of 118-109. Golden State then responded with a 109-104 victory in Game 2. And Wednesday night, Toronto took a 2-1 series lead following their 123-109 win at Oracle Arena in Oakland. PointsBet seems to have noticed something.

Do you see it?

Golden State has scored exactly 109 points in the first three games of this year’s Finals.

 

PointsBet 109-1 odds booster

PointsBet has clearly taken note of this with their newest promo for Game 4: the Warriors 109 Booster. It’s simple: place a maximum bet of $5 if you think the Warriors will score exactly 109 points in Game 4. PointsBet has fittingly set the odds at 109/1 (+10,900).

News users can sign up and get $1,000 in risk-free bets here.

 

Not the first time

This isn’t the first time PointsBet has offered a radical promo. Smart about getting publicity for themselves, PointsBet offers Karma Committee payouts, instant payouts, and no juice promos.

PointsBet is available in New Jersey. Bettors in PA still can’t bet on iOS, but they do have one option available to them in SugarHouse Sportsbook.

Ime Udoka Should be a Solid Addition to Brett Brown’s Staff

Kevin Kinkead - June 7, 2019

I won’t pretend to know a TON about Ime Udoka, the longtime Spurs assistant who will be replacing Monty Williams on Brett Brown’s staff, but on the surface, I’ll provide a few bulletpoints:

  1. Udoka played parts of seven seasons with five NBA teams.
  2. He worked alongside Gregg Popovich for seven years.
  3. He crossed paths with Brett Brown back in 2012, when both were working for San Antonio.
  4. He interviewed for the Cavaliers job, which went to John Beilein. (looks like he also was linked to the Pistons and Hornets gigs)
  5. Brett Brown’s philosophies obviously involve some concepts taken from the Popovich Spurs, so Udoka will have familiarity there.

Rich Hofmann at The Athletic says Udoka is going to handle defensive duties for the Sixers, whereas Williams focused on the offensive side of the ball as lead assistant. Udoka will be the third “defensive coordinator” for the club in three years, as Billy Lange and Lloyd Pierce took head coaching jobs with St. Joe’s and the Atlanta Hawks, respectively. Jim O’Brien handled defensive duties on a fill-in basis during the recent playoff run.

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NBA Finals Game 4 Betting Preview: Lines, Odds, Prediction

BWanksCB - June 7, 2019

The Warriors might have the experience, championship pedigree, and a historic home-court advantage on their side, but absolutely none of it mattered in Game 3. With Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson both out of the lineup, the Raptors took advantage by coming out hot and never looking back. Durant is once again out for Game 4, but Thompson is expected to return for Golden State in what suddenly feels like a must-win game. Will they get up off the mat and punch back, or will Toronto deliver yet another crucial blow to the Warriors’ dreams of a three-peat? Let’s get after it in our Game 4 betting preview.

Those of you in Pennsylvania, can find out more about how to get in on the action on our PA sports betting page.

Those of you in New Jersey, hit our NJ online sports betting page.

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Betting preview

As I noted above, Golden State is a tough out at Oracle Arena. They are 169-37 dating back to the start of the 2015-2016 season, winning 82% of their games played at home. They are an even more remarkable 36-7 during the postseason, and yet, none of it mattered in Game 3 as Golden State was outscored in all four quarters on the way to a shocking 123-109 loss. Just how thorough was the beating? According to ESPN’s win probability tracker, the Raptors were favored to win the game from the 7:53 mark in the first quarter onward.

This was when it was over for good:

Just total domination and it came despite a 47-point effort from Steph Curry.

Speaking of Curry, he comes in having scored at least 33 points in seven of his last eight games, and he’ll need to stay hot in order to even this series, particularly if Toronto replicates its 52.4% Game 3 shooting percentage. It wasn’t just about the shooting though, as the Raptors outscored the Warriors both in transition and in the paint. They also hit 20 of 21 free throws and edged the Warriors in blocks, steals, and assists. Like I said, total domination.

 

NBA Finals Game 4 odds

Here are the Raptors-Warriors odds for Game 4:

DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread Money Total
Raptors +4.5 +163  215.5
Warriors -4.5  -186  215.5

PointsBet

Spread Money Total
Raptors +4.5  +171 215
Warriors -4.5  -200 215

As of late Friday morning, we’re looking at a line similar to what we saw ahead of Game 3, which is interesting because it’s still a rarity. If the line sticks or shrinks, Game 4 would mark only the fifth time this season the Warriors weren’t favored by more than at least five points at home. It would also be only the sixth time they would be favored by less than six points. Simply put, we just don’t often see short lines with the Warriors at Oracle Arena. For what it’s worth, Golden State is 2-2 ATS this season when favored by less than five points at home.

Now let’s talk a little bit about line movement. The Warriors were as much as a 5.5-point favorite shortly after losing in Game 3, but with Durant once again out and some uncertainty surrounding Thompson’s effectiveness, we’ve seen the line come back down. DraftKings’ latest report has 47% of the total handle and 46% of spread bets on Toronto even at this reduced number, so there remains quite a bit of confidence from bettors backing the Raptors.

 

Series price

This is the first time since the NBA Finals market opened that Toronto is favored to win the series. At DraftKings, you can grab the Raptors at -130 and the Warriors at +105, while you can get Toronto at -130 and Golden State at +105 at PointsBet.

Here’s the bottom line–if you think Golden State is going to win this series, Durant is still out, and they’re down a game, so now is the time to pounce. Even with the series moving back to Toronto at 2-2, Golden State will certainly become the favorite again with a win tonight.

On the other hand, if you like Toronto, there’s two schools of thought here. A win tonight will drive their price back up, so now may be the time to buy. After all, FiveThiryEight currently gives Toronto a staggering 71% chance to win the NBA Finals, which means -130 is more than a fair price. That’s the contrarian value created by going against betting public that still desperately wants to believe in Golden State. BUT if they lose and this thing goes 2-2, the value on the Raptors will only further increase while still being in decent shape. My take? However you feel about this series, now is a good time to lock in a series winner bet.

Of course, you could have taken our advice prior to Game 1 and grabbed the Raptors at +230, like Kyle did.

 

Value

If you’re so inclined, FiveThirtyEight basically has Game 4 as a toss-up, with the Raptors having a 46% chance to win tonight. The statistical projections reveal value for betting on the Raptors at +171 with PointsBet because the statistical probability of a win significantly outweighs the implied probability of the moneyline. So if you like the Raptors, great, because they most definitely represent value.

The same principle applies with the point spread. FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO forecast, which takes into account player projections, sets the line at Golden State -1. Meanwhile, their ELO forecast sets the line at Golden State -3. Either way, there’s value.

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Angelo Cataldi Tries His “I Speak for the Fans” Routine Again, Gets Slapped Down by Gabe Kapler

Kevin Kinkead - June 7, 2019

The weekly Gabe Kapler/Angelo Cataldi interview was already must-listen radio, but with the Andrew McCutchen injury and Jean Segura “hustle” talk stinking up the Delaware Valley this week, the June 7th interaction between Phillies manager and talk radio charlatan was even more entertaining than usual.

Cataldi didn’t waste any time getting into his usual bullshit, greeting Kapler before saying this:

Cataldi: “It’s been a crazy week in Philadelphia, Gabe. Lots of harsh criticism, I can’t lie to you. It’s been a rough week for the manager.”

Kapler: “Has it? I’m excited to talk to you about it, Angelo. Let’s roll.”

That makes me laugh right off the jump, the audacity of Cataldi to speak for somebody else, to presume to know how they’re feeling.

Angelo started with some generic questions about the road trip, Jay Bruce, and Jake Arrieta, then entered the Segura discussion with this, after the jump:

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