Daily Archives for June 10, 2019

Jerad Eickhoff Gives Up Three Straight Homers to Start Tonight’s Game

Bob Wankel - June 10, 2019

Jared Eickhoff didn’t allow a single homer in his first five appearances this season, a stretch spanning 30 innings pitched. That’s really good. Lately, however, you could say that the long ball has plagued him. He entered tonight having allowed 11 homers over his last 24.1 IP, which, obviously, isn’t great. But that trouble is nothing compared to what we witnessed during the first inning of tonight’s game in which Eickhoff surrendered back-to-back-to-back home runs to the first three hitters he faced:

That’s 13 pitches, three homers, and quite a hole to dig out of for a team with a tattered bullpen and slumping offense.

At the time of this post, Phillies pitchers lead the National League with 103 homers surrendered this season. The Giants are the next closest NL team with 94 homers allowed. For the sake of comparison, the Phillies’ revamped lineup has produced only 77 homers this season after Jean Segura’s first inning solo shot.

That’s good for 12th in the NL, ahead of only the Giants, Marlins, and Pirates.

Yikes.

Jay Bruce is Your National League Player of the Week

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

So….

How about Jay Bruce, huh? He’s your NL Player of the Week:

I know it’s written on the graphic, but those numbers bear repeating:

  • six games
  • .381 average
  • four home runs
  • 11 RBI
  • six runs scored
  • 1.048 slugging percentage

Bruce currently has a 1.429 OP, which makes me laugh.

Coggin Toboggan informs me that Bruce is the first Phillie since Carlos Ruiz in 2014 to win NL Player of the Week. He is also the first Phillie to win a weekly award during his first seven days with the club since Paul Byrd in 1998.

Now you know.

And knowing is half the battle.

G.I. Joe.

Taking a Moment to Appreciate Ilsinho’s Outrageous Individual Weekend Performance

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

It’s June 10th and the Philadelphia Union are in 1st place at the top of Major League Soccer’s Eastern Conference.

After pulling just two of nine points from a recent three-game home stand, Jim Curtin’s team rebounded by ripping off a pair of 3-2 wins in games where they honestly did not even play that well. That’s the sign of a good team, isn’t it? You find ways to win when you’re not totally clicking, and a lot of that can be credited to 33-year-old Brazilian winger Ilsinho, now in his fourth season with the team.

Ilsinho already held the title of “most skilled Union player of all time,” even before he broke out this year as a super sub and one-man wrecking crew. Saturday night the Union were losing 2-0 at halftime, he entered the game in the 53rd minute, and then went on to bag two goals and an assist in just 37 minutes on the field. It was one of the best individual Union performances I’ve ever seen, definitely right up there with the Roland Alberg and Sebastien Le Toux hat tricks and Freddy Adu’s first half against Red Bull more than six years ago.

Ilsinho is now up to 5 assists and 4 goals in just 551 minutes of play, having started just four games while coming off the bench in the other ten.

As such, we focus on his assists per-90 minutes and goals per-90 minutes, which look something like this:

  • A/p90 – 0.82
  • G/p90 – 0.65

That A/p90 number is #1 in Major League Soccer among players that have logged at least 500 minutes. Most other assist providers aren’t even close. For context, NYC’s Maxi Moralez is second with a 0.78 and the league-leader in total assists, Carlos Vela, has a 0.63 number. That math looks something like this, after the jump:

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NBA Finals Game 5 Betting Preview: Lines, Odds, Prediction

Bob Wankel - June 10, 2019

Did anyone see this coming? Not one, but TWO Toronto wins at Oracle Arena have put the Raptors on the verge of the team’s first NBA Championship. Golden State’s experience, championship pedigree, and a historic home-court advantage didn’t matter. At all. In fact, I guess you could say Oracle Arena turned into the Raptors House:

In what felt like a must-win Game 4, the Warriors came out hot, but Toronto survived the early onslaught and answered back with a dominant 37-21 third quarter to seize control of the game. Amazingly, Toronto outscored the Warriors in seven of the eight quarters played at Oracle Arena last week. Will Kevin Durant return (apparently yes)? Will the Warriors respond and show some championship resolve, or will Toronto deliver the final blow to the Warriors’ dreams of a three-peat? Let’s get after it in our Game 5 betting preview.

Those of you in Pennsylvania, can find out more about how to get in on the action on our PA sports betting page.

Those of you in New Jersey, hit our NJ online sports betting page.

NBA Finals Game 5 odds

Here are the Raptors-Warriors odds for Game 5:

DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread Money Total
Raptors  -2   -121 214.5
Warriors  +2  +107 214.5

PointsBet

Spread Money Total
Raptors  -1.5  -125  214
Warriors +1.5  +105  214

As of Monday morning, the Raptors are between a 1.5 and 2-point favorite at most sportsbooks. That line is considerably shorter than the Toronto -3.5 we saw yesterday afternoon. Why the two-point swing? Kevin Durant practiced with the Warriors on Sunday and he will reportedly return tonight, which, of course, explains the movement. The moneyline also dropped at DraftKings from -155 yesterday afternoon to -121 this morning, while the total jumped from 212.5 to 214.5. At DraftKings, bettors are CRUSHING the Warriors right now– on the moneyline:

Currently, if you want to grab Toronto and lay the points, PointsBet is the place to be where you can get them at -1.5.  Interestingly, if you want to take them on the moneyline, you should head to DraftKings where they are actually a larger spread favorite at -2, but a little cheaper on the moneyline at -121.

 

Series price

If you were looking to grab the Raptors in this series, you probably should have done so ahead of Game 4 when they were a relatively modest -130 to win the Larry O’Brien Trophy. If you’re dead set on backing them now, you can grab the Raptors at -500 with DraftKings and the Warriors at +375, while you can get Toronto at -556 and Golden State at +400 at PointsBet. As is the case with the Game 5 lines, Durant’s potential return has also caused a significant shakeup in the futures market. Toronto was -710 and Golden State was +500 to win the series at PointsBet on Sunday afternoon.

I can’t in good conscience advise anyone to take the Raptors at -556, but if you believe Golden State has a miracle run coming, then by all means, go get them now. Maybe they can turn the tables after blowing a 3-1 series lead a few seasons ago. Maybe.

 

Value

FiveThirtyEight projects a Raptors win, giving them a 63% chance of ending this series tonight based on its CARMELO rating and 70% chance based on ELO. Those projections revealed some value for betting on the Raptors at -155 because that moneyline represents an implied probability of only 60.8%. The updated ELO and CARMELO projections have not yet been adjusted to account for a possible Durant return, but regardless, I again expect to see a gap between the statistical-based probability and the implied moneyline probability caused by a betting public that can’t imagine the Warriors’ dynasty ending in five games. While we’re not talking about crazy value on Toronto like there was in Game 4, it does once again exist.

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Chuck Fletcher Says Kevin Hayes has been “Open-Minded” in Preliminary Talks

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

Let’s get it back to the Flyers.

Today GM Chuck Fletcher and assistant GM Brent Flahr discussed a variety of topics with the media, including the status of talks with free agent Kevin Hayes, whose rights were acquired by the Flyers last week in exchange for a 5th round pick.

Here’s what Fletcher had to say about Hayes, when asked where things currently stand:

“Nothing to announce at this point. We’ve had some good, I guess you’d call them preliminary, conversations with Kevin and his representation and this week I expect to follow up with Kevin and his camp and we’ll see where it goes. I don’t know how to characterize it other than we’ve had good conversations and we’re hopeful we can find a way to make something work.”

Follow-up question:

Does Fletcher have a “vibe” on Hayes’ current mindset? After the jump:

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Tobias Harris Named to USA Basketball World Cup Training Camp

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

FIBA World Cup this summer.

12 players will represent the U.S. at the tournament, which takes place August 31st to September 15th in China.

Sixers’ free agent Tobias Harris is among the 20 players named to the training camp roster, which looks like this:

  • Harrison Barnes (Sacramento Kings) 
  • Bradley Beal (Washington Wizards)
  • Anthony Davis (New Orleans Pelicans) 
  • Andre Drummond (Detroit Pistons) 
  • Eric Gordon (Houston Rockets)
  • James Harden (Houston Rockets) 
  • Tobias Harris (Philadelphia 76ers)
  • Damian Lillard (Portland Trail Blazers)
  • Kevin Love  (Cleveland Cavaliers)
  • Kyle Lowry (Toronto Raptors)
  • CJ McCollum (Portland Trail Blazers) 
  • Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks)
  • Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers)
  • Kemba Walker (Charlotte Hornets)
  • Kyle Kuzma (Los Angeles Lakers)
  • Brook Lopez (Milwaukee Bucks)
  • Paul Millsap (Denver Nuggets)
  • Donovan Mitchell (Utah Jazz)
  • Jayson Tatum (Boston Celtics)
  • P.J. Tucker (Houston Rockets)

Camp will take place in Vegas from August 5th to 9th, then the squad will be trimmed from there and officially/finally announced on the 17th.

Few more notes after the jump:

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DeSean Jackson Spent His Saturday Night Feeding the Homeless

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

Look at D Jaxx handing out food to the homeless in Kensington:

This was in addition to a free football camp he held in the morning.

Good on DeSean, for real. Seems like he really enjoys being back in town.

Report: Malcolm Jenkins WILL Be at Mandatory Minicamp

Kevin Kinkead - June 10, 2019

Sometimes you publish a story and then get something like this five minutes later:

I just wrote all about Jenkins’ contract situation and compared it to other NFL safeties. It’s still relevant if you wanna give it a read.

FYI, position coaches are speaking right now, then Carson Wentz is at the podium a bit later. Doug Pederson talks tomorrow, Wednesday, and Thursday.