With the 2019 Home Run Derby finally upon us, DraftKings Sportsbook has released their odds along with betting splits up to this point:

Player
Odds
% Handle
% Bets
Josh Bell
+300
8%
10%
Pete Alonso
+400
40%
31%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr
+400
22%
21%
Matt Chapman
+800
1%
2%
Joc Pederson
+800
4%
6%
Alex Bregman
+900
3%
6%
Carlos Santana
+1000
2%
3%
Ronald Acuna Jr
+1100
6%
8%

As you can tell, a good majority of both the bets and the handle have gone towards Mets rookie Pete Alonso.

Rookies have generally not fared well in the Home Run Derby, with 5 of the last 7 rookies to participate in it losing in the first round. But Alonso, who is receiving 31% of the bets and 40% of the money at DraftKings Sportsbook, is currently second in the league in home runs and certainly has the exit velocity to compete.

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Josh Bell is the favorite for a reason. He is tops among all Derby competitors in average exit velocity (93.3 MPH), balls hit over 95 MPH, and longest home run distance (473). He also happens to be the only player in Pirates history to hit two home runs out of PNC Park into the neighboring Allegheny River on the fly.


Despite not garnering as much betting interest as other competitors, Alex Bregman and Joc Pederson could have some serious value. Both have Home Run Derby experience, with Pederson having finished second in 2015 and Bregman being a 2018 participant. Their odds have also dropped somewhat of late, so if your looking for possibly the best potential betting value, they might be your best option.

In addition, Ronald Acuna Jr has a lot of potential value as well. He boasts the longest average home run distance of all Derby competitors (422 ft) as well as being in the top half of the league in average fly ball distance. He is also second among competitors in barrels-per-swing.

New users can get their first bet matched up to $500 at DraftKings Sportsbook right here.

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If you want to read more in-depth coverage of the Derby, we recently composed a betting guide that you can find here.