It was nice to get back to winning ways last weekend, with two of the three selections coming through and one of them (Leicester City at +175) proving quite profitable. Another excellent slate of Premier League matches is set for this weekend. Let’s get right to the value plays for Week 7. All odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook PA, where new users can take advantage of their $500 risk-free bet.

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WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS (-115) v. WATFORD (+360) — DRAW (+240)

Qualification for the Europa League has not turned out to be such a blessing for Wolverhampton Wanderers. It was unusual for a seventh-place finisher in the league table like Wolves to be granted a European berth in the first place. It only happened this season because Manchester City won both the FA Cup and the Carabao Cup; City’s unclaimed spot in Europa League therefore fell to Wolves.

It was fashionable, and sensible, to assume that a relatively small club like Wolves would struggle to compete both in the league and in Europe. Unlike mega-clubs such as City, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur, Wolves don’t have upwards of 18-20 first-rate talents to rotate through their side every match day. So some regression was to be expected. What is happening with Wolverhampton, though, is beyond even the most pessimistic projections.

Wolves currently sit 19th in the league table, having drawn four and won none in six tries. As it stands, Wolves would go from European qualification to relegation to the Championship in one single season. So why should you bet on them in this match?

Because they’re playing the worst team in the league thus far this season, that’s why. At least Wolves have the European situation to blame. Watford has been bad all season with no such excuse. The Hornets have already fired a manager, and last week they lost 8-0 to Manchester City. Even taking that result away, though, Watford’s goal difference through five matches played was -6. Watford is tied for the fewest goals scored through six league matches (4, along with Crystal Palace and Newcastle.)

Wolves will struggle for much of this season as they lack the depth to compete seriously in both the league and on the continent. But they aren’t going to go winless all season, either. The schedule has given Wolves a much-needed chance to get in the win column. They’ll gladly take it. Wolves is a very good value at -115.

EVERTON (+950) v. MANCHESTER CITY (-370) — DRAW (+500)

It wasn’t that long ago that Goodison Park was a real trouble spot for Manchester City. From 2010-2017, the Toffees were 5-1-2 at home against City. That stretch included their most recent win over City in any competition. a 4-0 lashing in January of 2017.

Since then, City has corrected course against Everton, with a draw followed by three straight wins in the league over Liverpool’s lesser neighbors. City’s recent comfortable handling of Everton, combined with City’s recent blistering form following the shock defeat at Norwich City and Everton’s poor recent league form (three losses in four tries) all combine to make City prohibitive favorites here, even away from the Etihad.

So we need to get a little creative. Consulting the odds offered, the “Both Teams to Score” bet is -128. That’s curious, isn’t it? Everton has been shut out twice already this season and was held scoreless at home against Sheffield United just last week. The counter to that, though, is that City isn’t exactly impenetrable, having conceded in half their league matches this season (twice on the road.) Additionally, prior to being shut out by City at Goodison in February, Everton had scored at least once in six straight league matches with the Sky Blues.

City will almost certainly win this match, and with the likelihood that Everton will get at least one goal to console the home supporters, City to win AND both teams to score at +150 is a sensible play.

MANCHESTER UNITED (+145) v. ARSENAL (+190) — DRAW (+240)

You will see and hear a lot of strange things if you follow sports long enough, but the news from Manchester United this week is among the weirdest stories world football has had to offer in quite some time:

Yep, that’s Manchester United — 20 times the winner of the top flight of English football, including 13 Premier League titles — running the white flag up the pole for at least this season and next. Perhaps the key to that phrasing is “at the earliest,” which is code for “who knows when or if we’ll ever be good enough to win the league again?”

On the other side of the ledger, Arsenal has been very good this season. The Gunners’ only loss came away to so-far-perfect Liverpool. Old Trafford has been a tough place for Arsenal to get a result for a very long time, with their last win away to United in the league coming back in 2006. But the vast majority of those results came when Sir Alex Ferguson was winning league titles for fun. This is a different time. Arsenal is demonstrably a better team, and United will be playing with all of their attacking stars either out or limited by injury.

Finding value in wagers means profiting when you can on the misfortune of others. It also entails taking advantage of the odds provided when “public teams” (Dallas Cowboys, New York Yankees, University of Notre Dame, etc.) are favored just because people bet on them out of blind loyalty and name recognition. This is one of those times. The book is offering you the chance to nearly double your money on a superior team playing a reeling inferior team with a manager who is quite possibly going to be fired before Christmas. Take Arsenal at +190.

Good luck this weekend.