Flyers vs. Canadiens Betting Preview (August 12, 2020)

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On Wednesday night, the Flyers and Canadiens meet in the first game of their Best-of-7 series in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs. Let’s get into our Flyers-Canadiens betting preview, including odds, boosts, and picks.

Flyers vs. Canadiens Betting Preview

Things have certainly changed in the past two weeks, as the Montreal Canadiens -installed as underdogs in a qualifying round series against the Pittsburgh Penguins- will meet the Philadelphia Flyers, who pulled off three convincing Round Robin upsets against the Boston Bruins, Washington Capitals, and Tampa Bay Lightning en route to earning the top seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs.

This marks the first time the Flyers have been favored in a game since the NHL resumed play.

Despite their #8 playoff seed, the Canadiens ended the regular season in twelfth place in the conference and would not have qualified for the postseason had it not been for expansion. That said, they dispatched of the favored Pittsburgh Penguins, winning the Best-of-5 series in just four games.

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Flyers vs. Canadiens Odds

Here’s the line for the Flyers and Canadiens at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:

  • Spread: Flyers -1.5 +175, Canadiens +1.5 -210
  • Moneyline: Flyers -157, Canadiens +133
  • Over/Under: O 5 -143, U 5 +120

 

Bets We Like With a Flyers Win

Money Puck gives the Flyers an 58.6% chance of winning this game. It’s worth noting that Money Puck correctly predicted the Flyers’ victories over the Bruins and Capitals, and gave them a 49.4% chance of winning -a virtual coin flip- against a Tampa Bay team that was favored by a larger margin. The Flyers’ implied win probability, based on the moneyline, is 59.7%, which gives real confidence the Flyers will prevail in this one.

 

Flyers Win and Under 5 Total Goals (+260, DraftKings)

The Flyers are a superior team across the board and winning this game should be a pretty sure bet. If you want more value than the -157 moneyline, parlay it with under 5 total goals. In all three previous meetings this season, the teams have combined for at least five goals, but have only gone over on one occasion. Per our own Anthony SanFilippo, the under has hit in 17 of 24 games in Toronto. Keep in mind that the Flyers/Canadiens game is slated to be the third game to take place on the Scotiabank Arena ice, which could make for a slushy, sloppy mess of a game. Although the Flyers alone averaged 3.7 goals per game through the Round Robin and Montreal averaged 2.5 goals per game, it’s hard to imagine Game 1 being a high-scoring affair. Plus, the Flyers’ past six games have gone under the total goals threshold.

You can get this one at DraftKings Sportsbook by clicking here .

 

Sean Couturier to Score a Goal and Flyers to Win (+425, FOX Bet)

This is less of a confidence bet and more of a law of averages bet. Through three Round Robin games, Sean Couturier and the Flyers’ top line was held scoreless. Couturier is the team’s top line center and is a guy who head coach Alain Vigneault trusts in all situations. With a high percentage of the team’s Power Play time all but guaranteed, as well as shorthanded opportunities on the PK, Couturier is bound to snap out of a goalless streak. Going back to pre-Pause games, Couturier has gone goalless in five straight games, his longest stretch since an eight-game drought from mid-January through early-February.

With the team’s Power Play in need of a shakeup, don’t be surprised to see Couturier in the crease looking to poach a dirty goal.

New users at FOX Bet can get a $20 free bet with no deposit and a $100 deposit match when they sign up in PA here and NJ here . Also, be sure to check out the Sixers 76-1 odds deal.

Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

First Period Total: Over 1.5 Goals (+100, FOX Bet)

The “First Period Over 1.5 Goals” bet has hit in each of Philadelphia’s past eight night games at Scotiabank Arena. While we don’t expect this to be a high-scoring affair, this is a trend that’s been consistent for the Flyers.

New users at FOX Bet can get a $20 free bet with no deposit and a $100 deposit match when they sign up in PA here and NJ here .

 

Flyers vs. Canadiens Prediction

Pick: This game should be a low-scoring affair the O/U 5 total goals makes me a bit hesitant, so if you can grab the under based on 5.5 total goals, parlay it with the Flyers to win. You can get in on the action with DraftKings and get $1,000 in free bets here .

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