And here are the current best available odds for the Sixers (may not display on Google AMP pages):
Bets We Like With a Sixers Win
FiveThirtyEight gives the Sixers an 84% chance of winning with a -10 point line. This represents a 1% increase in their model’s odds and an identical spread to what was projected ahead of Tuesday night’s matchup. Philadelphia’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is 82%, a 12% increase from ahead of Tuesday’s game.
Tuesday night’s game between the Sixers and Heat was going to go one of two ways: a low-scoring slog due to limited benches or a ridiculously high-scoring game that would feature defense reminiscent of the NBA All-Star Game. The latter prevailed.
The Sixers will be back to a relatively healthy squad, with Seth Curry and Furkan Korkmaz expected to be the only players from the Sixers’ regular rotation to be out. Given the volatility of the total points line in games featuring shorthanded teams, our recommendation is to look to parlay a likely Sixers win with Miami to cover +10.5.
In their five losses this season, only one has come by a margin in excess of ten points: a 144-97 dismantling at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks. Dallas pulled out a 10-point win on New Year’s Day, while their other three losses came by a total of 11 points combined.
Miami hasn’t lost consecutive games through their first nine games this season. Although we don’t expect them to be able to overcome the talent and player availability disparity, they’ve excelled this season at bouncing back, winning all four of their games following a loss.
A season ago, Joel Embiid was flat-out dominant in four games against the Heat, averaging 27.3 points and 13.3 rebounds per game. In his first game against the Heat this season, he strapped the Sixers to his back and carried them to victory, dropping 45 points and grabbing 16 rebounds on Tuesday night. His 45 points took him from 15th to 8th in the NBA in scoring.
With Embiid making a case for early MVP consideration, expect him to come out with a fire to prove Tuesday was no fluke. Although the Sixers will be getting Tobias Harris and Shake Milton back -which could lead to a drop in field goal attempts for Embiid- there’s a decent chance he’ll find his way to the charity strip 10+ times in this one.