On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the New Jersey Devils in what will be the third meeting between the teams this season.
Let’s get into our Flyers-Devils betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this March 23, 2021 matchup.
Flyers vs. Devils Betting Pick (March 23, 2021)
The Philadelphia Flyers enter play in this one at 15-11-4, two points back of the Boston Bruins for the fourth seed in the East Division. Philadelphia has a game in hand on the second place Washington Capitals, two on the third place Pittsburgh Penguins, and three on the first place New York Islanders.
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The issue as it pertains to Boston is that the Bruins have two games in hand on the Flyers, having played just 28 games this season. Philadelphia is in a funk of late, having gone 3-6-1 in their last ten games. After seeing the total goals scored in their games go over 5.5 goals in ten of eleven games, things slowed down a bit in their third game against the Islanders, as the team’s offense served as a great defense throughout the first two periods. However, costly defensive zone turnovers doomed the Orange & Black, who fell 2-1 sealing their second loss against the Islanders in their three game mini-series.
At 11-14-4 through 29 games this season, the Devils are about where most pundits expected them to be prior to the season. New Jersey is a young team with plenty of promising young players and prospects, but they never really had a shot to crack the top four or ever top five in the highly-competitive East Division. Although they dropped the two meetings between these teams earlier this season, it’s worth noting that the Devils have played better recently, going 3-1-0 in their last four games, including wins over the Sabres and two of three against the Pittsburgh Penguins.
Flyers vs. Devils Odds
Here’s the line for the Flyers and Penguins at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers -1.5 (+150), Devils +1.5 (-182)
- Moneyline: Flyers -150, Devils +138
- Over/Under: O 6 -107, U 6 -113
Bets We Like With a Flyers Win
Money Puck gives the Flyers a 59.6% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is 59%.
Flyers Win and Under 6.5 Goals (+175, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Philadelphia is undoubtedly in must-win mode or their season runs the risk of spiraling out of control. This 3-6-1 stretch they find themselves in is a house they’ve built for themselves on the back of mostly poor goaltending and even worse play in their defensive zone. Still, if the players and head coach Alain Vigneault were right about what they said in their postgame remarks about Monday night’s loss representing a positive shift in play, the Flyers should be able to pull out a win at home.
The Flyers have seen the total goals go over 5.5 in ten of their last twelve games, but Monday night’s loss to the Islanders represented one of those two exceptions. What had been a consistent trend in taking the over appears to have hit a bump in the road, and given the Devils’ propensity for getting involved in low-scoring contests, it might be the time to buck the trend and take under 6.5 goals with the Flyers moneyline in a same-game parlay.
The Devils have seen the total goals go under six goals in each of their last six games, including games against the Islanders, Sabres, and Penguins.
Any bettor who feels the under 6.5 goals portion of the bet doesn’t provide enough upside can parlay under 5.5 goals and the Flyers to win at +250 odds with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Claude Giroux to Record Over 0.5 Point (-125, BetMGM)
If the Flyers are to pull the nose up on their season, one of their most important players will need to continue producing numbers that fill up a stat sheet. Flyers captain Claude Giroux has recorded at least one point in his last eight games, including four goals and three assists over that span. The longtime 1C for Philadelphia has found himself on the third line with Oskar Lindblom and Jakub Voracek flanking him on his left and right side, respectively. It’s paid off for Lindblom, who’s scored three goals in his last three games. Giroux has had success in two previous matchups with New Jersey this season, putting up three assists in a win on January 26 and a goal in a win two days later.
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Under 6.5 Goals (-140, BetMGM)
If you agree with the aforementioned logic of taking the under in this game, bring the total up to 6.5 goals and take the under to be safe. Although the Flyers won the first matchup between the teams this season by a score of 5-3, their second matchup went under 5.5 goals with a 3-1 final. The Flyers know their season is on the brink of potential catastrophe, and while they were aggressive in last night’s matchup with the Islanders, they failed to convert on a number of scoring chances with odd-man rushes. Assuming they can convert at a higher clip tonight, but acknowledging the Devils’ trend of low-scoring games should make taking the under on 6.5 goals a safe bet with a decent payout.
Flyers vs. Devils Prediction
Pick: The Flyers are in do or die mode as the gap between themselves and the Top-4 in the East Division continues to grow. Expect the typical inconsistent performance to see a number of goals scored at inopportune times, but take the Flyers to Win and Under 6.5 Goals.
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