On Tuesday night, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the Boston Bruins for the second half of a home-and-home. This matchup represents the seventh meeting between the teams this season.
Let’s get into our Flyers-Bruins betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this April 6, 2021 matchup.
Flyers vs. Bruins Betting Pick (April 6, 2021)
Monday night’s game between the Flyers and Bruins was the first of six meetings this season to go in Philadelphia’s favor. It couldn’t have come at a better time for the Orange & Black, who pulled to within three points of the Bruins via an overtime win. While allowing Boston to skate away with a point wasn’t ideal —especially given the fact that the Bruins hold a game in hand over Philadelphia— the victory gave the Flyers’ fading playoff hopes a jolt.
For bad of a month as March was for the Flyers, and it was horrific, their 4-4-2 record over their last ten games isn’t far off the 5-3-2 pace Boston has played to over the same stretch. Brian Elliott was solid in goal, making 27 saves on 29 shots, recording a .931 SV% in 63:08 of game action. That performance represents the second consecutive game in which Philadelphia has gotten reliable goaltending. If that’s a sign of what’s to come, the Flyers’ chances of securing a playoff berth might not be totally unrealistic.
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The Bruins blew a 2-1 lead when Sean Couturier found the net with 13:04 left in the third period. Things went from bad to worse when Flyers defenseman Travis Sanheim blocked a shot, went coast-to-coast, and found the back of the net with 1:52 remaining in overtime. The catalyst for the confident strides taken by Sanheim occurred when Patrice Bergeron tripped over his own feet, hit the ice, swung his stick to attempt to disrupt play, and watched as Sanheim beat Daniel Vladar.
Will Philadelphia earn their second win in as many nights against the Bruins or will Boston pick up their sixth victory against the Flyers this season?
Flyers vs. Bruins Odds
Here’s the line for the Flyers and Bruins at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers +1.5 (-240), Bruins -1.5 (+195)
- Moneyline: Flyers +114, Bruins -132
- Over/Under: O 5.5 -110, U 5.5 -110
Bets We Like With a Bruins Win
Money Puck gives the Bruins a 57% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Boston’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is slightly lower at 53%.
Bruins Win and Under 5.5 Goals (+235, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The oddsmakers and projection model are in agreement regarding the outcome of tonight’s game, though not as emphatically as ahead of Monday night’s matchup.
Although Boston took the loss on Monday night, there’s reason to believe they’ll reverse their fortune on Tuesday night. In two prior meetings in Philadelphia this season, the Bruins skated away with a 4-3 victory in overtime and a 2-1 regulation win two days later. In fact, the Bruins have won each of the last two second legs of a back-to-back against the Flyers this season. Tuesday night represents the third potential occurrence.
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When it comes to taking the under, it’s worth noting that the total goals scored has gone under 5.5 in four of Boston’s last six games. The two outliers over that time came in games at home. Overall, Boston has seen the total goals scored go under 5.5 in each of their last five road games.
Philadelphia’s goaltending has been solid in consecutive games, providing a boost to the confidence of 22-year-old Carter Hart and 35-yea-old Brian Elliott. If that strong play in net continues, taking under 5.5 goals with a Bruins moneyline bet could provide a nice payout.
Bets We Like With a Flyers Win
Flyers Win and Under 5.5 Goals (+290, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Philadelphia Flyers were all but buried by their fans, as well as local and national pundits a week ago. After enduring a 6-1 drubbing at the hands of the lowly Buffalo Sabres, Alain Vigneault’s squad appeared out of answers. They rallied from a 2-1 deficit on Monday night to force overtime and eventually skate away with a 3-2 win thanks to an exceptional one-man-effort from defenseman Travis Sanheim.
The win represented Philadelphia’s lone positive result in six games against the Bruins, who are directly ahead of the Flyers in the standing with two games in hand on the team from the City of Brotherly Love. If Monday night’s result allows Philadelphia to carry some momentum into the back portion of their stacked schedule, it could be looked at as the turning point of their season.
As for taking the under, it might seem risky given the goaltending issues the Flyers suffered from in March, but even through that time, they tended to get better goaltending in the second leg of a two-games-in-three-nights against the same opponent when playing at home. The last two such occurrences following this trend saw the Flyers turn a 6-1 loss at the Islanders into a 2-1 overtime loss in Philadelphia two days later. After an embarrassing 8-3 shellacking at Madison Square Garden, the Flyers flipped the script in a 2-1 win at Wells Fargo Center.
While we’d encourage anyone betting on this one to go with the oddsmakers and projection model in taking the Bruins, a same-game parlay with the Flyers moneyline and under 5.5 goals could pay out in a pretty big way were it to hit.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Flyers to Score the First Goal (-105, BetMGM)
If you’re looking for a solid goal-dependent prop bet worth putting some money on, taking the Flyers to score the first goal of the game could be worth your time. Boston has gone 3-2-1 despite a rather alarming trend that’s manifested itself through their past six games. In each of those contests, Boston has allowed the first goal of the game, creating a hole to dig themselves out of repeatedly. To their credit, they’ve managed to capture seven of a possible twelve points over that stretch, but if Philadelphia manages to score first at home, that streak will extend to seven games.
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David Pastrnak to Record 2+ Points (+145, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Despite being part of a losing effort on Monday night, David Pastrnak kept up his scoring ways, recording an assist. That assist represented his 15th of the season to go along with 16 goals for 31 points in 28 games this season. There’s reason to believe he could register a multiple-point game in tonight’s contest.
Tuesday night will represent the fifth time he’s played against the Flyers this season, a team he’s had plenty of success against. In fact, he’s registered at least one point against Philadelphia in each of those meetings, including scoring a hat trick in two of those games. The first of those two hat tricks happened to come against the Orange & Black at the Wells Fargo Center. Given his propensity for getting on the scoresheet. against Philadelphia, +145 odds for him to record at least two points represents a solid potential return.
Flyers vs. Bruins Prediction
Pick: Philadelphia could be on the cusp of turning their season around. A victory would be huge. Given that they’ve kept the total goals number down in the home second half of a two-games-in-three-nights period, the under 5.5 goals should be somewhat safe, but Boston will likely exact their revenge. Take the Bruins to Win and Under 5.5 Goals.