On Saturday afternoon, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the Washington Capitals. This represents the sixth meeting overall between the teams this season as well as the fourth and final meeting at the Wells Fargo Center..
Let’s get into our Flyers-Capitals betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this April 17, 2021 matchup.
Flyers vs. Capitals Betting Pick (April 17, 2021)
The Philadelphia Flyers and Washington Capitals will take to the ice at the Wells Fargo Center for the fourth and final time this season in what marks the teams’ sixth meeting on the season.
The Philadelphia Flyers enter play at 20-17-6 on the season, which puts them in a disappointing sixth-place position in the East Division. After storming out to an 11-4-3 record to start the season, the wheels absolutely came off in the month of March, one which saw the Flyers tumble all the way down from a contender for a top two spot in the division to a position which sees them all but eliminated from postseason contention. Though, as has become the case with this team over the last few years, the Flyers are full of surprises. After falling behind 1-0 to the Penguins in Pittsburgh, Philadelphia tied the game in the third and won the game against their cross-state rivals in the shootout.
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The Washington Capitals are the East Division leaders with 60 points by virtue of a stellar 28-12-4 record this season. In fact, only the Colorado Avalanche (30), Vegas Golden Knights (30), and Tampa Bay Lightning (29) have more victories in this abbreviated season than the team from the nation’s capital. Unfortunately for the Caps, their three-game winning streak was halted on Thursday night as the bottom-feeding Buffalo Sabres snagged a shocking 5-2 win in DC.
Will the Flyers pull off another upset or will the Capitals reassert themselves as the Beast of the East?
Flyers vs. Capitals Odds
Here’s the line for the Flyers and Capitals at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers +1.5 (-205), Capitals -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Flyers +123, Capitals -141
- Over/Under: O 6.5 -105, U 6.5 +117
Bets We Like With a Capitals Win
Money Puck gives the Capitals a 55.5% chance of winning this game, just a 0.2% dip from the last time these teams met. Meanwhile, Washington’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is slightly higher at 57%.
Capitals Win and Over 5.5 Goals (+160, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The oddsmakers and projection model agree that the East-leading Washington Capitals should skate away with their fifth victory against Philadelphia in six meetings, including a four-game road sweep. Although the Capitals took one on the chin in a regulation loss to the Buffalo Sabres while the Flyers took home a 2-1 road shootout win over the Penguins, Washington has absolutely dominated this division rivalry since dropping the first meeting on February 7.
When it comes to the total goals portion of this same-game parlay, we’d encourage interested bettors to hedge down half a full goal from 6.5 goals to 5.5 and taking the over. These teams have met five times this season with each game seeing at least seven goals being scored in four of those games this season:
- 2/7/21 PHI @ WSH: 7-4 (PHI win)
- 3/7/21 WSH @ PHI: 3-1 (WSH win)
- 3/11/21 WSH @ PHI: 5-3 (WSH win)
- 3/13/21 WSH @ PHI: 5-4 (WSH win)
- 4/13/21 PHI @ WSH: 6-1 (WSH win)
The Flyers have seen the total goals scored cross the 5.5 goals threshold in two of their last three games, and in two of their last three home games. The Capitals, meanwhile, have seen the over 5.5 goals market hit in each of their last five games.
If you’re looking for a way to increase your return on a Capitals moneyline bet, add the over 5.5 total goals market.
Bets We Like With a Flyers Win
Flyers to Win and Both Teams to Score 2+ Goals in Regular Time (+320, BetMGM)
To be clear, we agree with the oddmakers and projection model that the Capitals should emerge from this afternoon’s contest victorious. However, if you’re planning on a Flyers moneyline bet with the belief that the Orange & Black will build off an upset win of the Pittsburgh Penguins, this one could be worth a look.
The Flyers and Capitals have found the back of the net quite a bit in their five meetings this season. There’s no getting around the fact that Philadelphia only scored one goal in the most recent meeting between the teams, but that marked the only time they’ve been held below two goals in their last eight games.
Meanwhile, the Capitals have scored lit the lamp at least twice in twelve of their last thirteen games. Given the fact that the teams have combined for 7.8 goals per meeting, as well as the fact that Philadelphia has scored at least two goals per game in each of their last six home games, this could be a worthwhile value add to a Flyers moneyline bet.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Alexander Ovechkin to Score a Goal (-110, BetMGM)
Alexander Ovechkin is having himself quite the season. He’s amassed 39 points in 40 games this season, including 22 goals and 17 assists. In this abbreviated season with realigned divisions, Ovechkin has been an absolute beast against the Philadelphia Flyers, finding the back of the net six times and dishing out three assists in five games against the Orange & Black this season.
After a stellar four-point performance (2G, 2A) against the Flyers in their first matchup, Ovechkin lit the lamp one time in each of the teams’ next four meetings. Given the importance of a win for a team clinging to the top spot in the East Division, expect Ovechkin to come out firing and keep hiss scoring ways going against Philadelphia.
Flyers vs. Capitals Prediction
Pick: The Flyers are coming off a surprising win over the Pittsburgh Penguins, while the Capitals will attempt to bounce back from a disastrous regulation loss to the Sabres. We expect the Capitals to win their fifth-consecutive game against Philadelphia. Take the Capitals to Win and Over 5.5 Goals.
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