Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Prediction, Picks (April 19, 2021)

giants phillies odds prediction pick
Photo credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies will host the Giants at Citizens Bank Park this evening where Chase Anderson will square off against Kevin Gausman. Following a series victory over the weekend, the Phillies will look to build momentum against a Giants team that is struggling to plate runs.

Let’s take a look at the Giants vs. Phillies odds as well as make a game prediction and pick for this April 19, 2021 matchup.

Giants vs. Phillies Odds

Here is a look at the current Giants vs. Phillies odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal
Phillies+1.5 (-148)+148O 8 (-107)
Braves-1.5 (+123)-175U 7 (-114)

The Phillies’ lineup has yet to click, scoring just 3.80 runs per game, but Bryce Harper is heating up. On Sunday, Harper raised his season OPS from .825 to .994 after a 3-for-3 day that fell a triple short of the cycle.

For all of Philadelphia’s offensive struggles in the early going, they don’t come near those of a Giants lineup that is dead-last in baseball, one scoring just 3.27 runs per game.

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Of course, tonight’s game also marks the return of former Phillies manager Gabe Kapler, which is bound to produce a memorable moment or two. Kapler, of course, was fired by the Phillies after two disappointing seasons. He had a difficult time connecting with fans for a variety of reasons, reasons ranging from questionable bullpen usage to his unwavering sunshine-and-roses outlook (it also didn’t help Kapler that he didn’t have much talent to work with, but that’s a story for a different day).

Giants vs. Phillies Prediction

Two generally struggling offenses meet on Monday night at Citizens Bank Park as the Phillies host the San Francisco Giants. The Giants enter the game with the league’s second-worst scoring offense at just 3.27 runs per game, as well as the second-worst team batting average at only .205.

They have scored four runs or less runs in 11 of their last 13 games, managing three or less in nine of those games, despite going 8-5 in that stretch.

The Phillies have a top half (although unimpressive) .236 team batting average, but still rank ninth-worst in runs per game (3.8). They have scored four runs or less in 11 of their 15 games this season, including siz games allowing two runs or less.

The pitching matchup in this one may not scream pitchers’ duel, but we do get two serviceable righties with some solid history behind each of them. Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Giants and he has never had a winning season in his MLB career. But, how many this century have when they’ve spent the majority of their career in an Orioles uniform?

Gausman Can Control Phils’ Lineup

Gausman is 0-3 lifetime in four starts against the Phillies with a 6.45 ERA, but when you look into that a bit deeper, it diminishes in relevance, as current Phils are just 40-for-145 with only four home runs against him.

BatterHITS/ABAVGOPS
Andrew McCutchen3-for-6.5001.292
Rhys Hoskins3-for-9.3331.000
Bryce Harper4-for-8.5001.181
J.T. Realmuto2-for-6.5001.000
Didi Gregorius0-for-3.000.000
Brad Miller N/AN/AN/A
Mickey MoniakN/AN/AN/A
Alec BohmN/AN/AN/A

That’s a poor record for a Philadelphia team already hitting the third least home runs per game in the league. The righty should be able to give his team some much needed innings, too, as key parts of their bullpen are out from vaccine complications.

Gausman has thrown 6+ innings in each of his three starts this season.

The Phillies will counter with Chase Anderson, who is vying to keep a hold on the fifth spot in the starting rotation (although Matt Moore’s performance has helped). Don’t forget that Anderson is a guy who sported a sub 4.00 ERA in his career through the ‘19 season.

In fact, in his last three full seasons, he went 29-16 with an even more impressive 3.64 ERA. Current Giants have hit just .204 off of Anderson in their careers (22-for-108) with just a single home run.
He has held San Francisco to three runs or less in his last three starts, allowing just five total runs in 16 2/3innings pitched in that span.

BatterHITS/ABAVGOPS
Charlie Blackmon6-for-18.333.817
Trevor Story4-for-15.2671.113

Anderson and Bullpen Have Good Matchup

Anderson has not proven he is likely to pitch deep into games in the early going this season, but that shouldn’t affect us much today after Aaron Nola so kindly threw a complete game shutout yesterday afternoon. Now, the best parts of the Phillies’ bullpen, which has been a generally pleasant surprise thus far, will be well-rested and set up to handle a few innings.

With Philly deeming yesterday’s early game important enough to send Bryce Harper out there with a back that is less than 100 percent and J.T. Realmuto behind the plate on short rest, we could see some alterations to tonight’s lineup, which could help minimize the Phillies’ offensive production.

Some trends to know:

The Giants enter off a 1-0 win yesterday in Miami and they have played eight straight under after a win.

The Giants have also played five straight under the number after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. In fact, they have played four straight series-opening games of under and six of their last seven on the road under.

San Fran has hit 20 unders in their last 28 games against the NL East and has played 10 of their last 12 under with totals between 7 and 8.5.

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Giants vs. Phillies Pick

With the Phillies having played four of their last five games under the total against above .500 teams, expect tonight to make it nine of the last 12 head-to-head between these two teams to stay under the posted number.

Giants-Phillies Pick: UNDER

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