Sixers vs. Thunder Betting Pick (April 10, 2021)

Sixers Thunder betting pick
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On Saturday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will be on the road taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Sixers enter play at 35-17, one game behind the Brooklyn Nets for the best record in the Eastern Conference. At 20-32, the Oklahoma City Thunder find themselves in 13th place in the Western Conference, including a horrific 9-18 record at home.

Let’s get into our Sixers-Thunder betting preview, including odds, boosts, and picks.

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Sixers vs. Thunder Betting Pick (April 10, 2021)

The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off an incredibly disappointing 101-94 road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, one which saw franchise center Joel Embiid shoot just 5-16 from the field and 0-3 from beyond the arc, totaling just 14 points. Forward Tobias Harris put together a respectable effort, dropping 23 points to go with seven rebounds and three assists. The loss represented their first with Joel Embiid in the lineup since his return from a bone bruise that cost him three weeks of the season.

Click here to get 100-1 odds on the Sixers to make 1+ three-pointer at DraftKings Sportsbook.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are in the midst of a five-game losing streak, including blowout loss after blowout loss. Their most recent defeat came at the hands of the Cleveland Cavaliers, who trounced the Thunder 129-102. In fact, they’ve lost their last five games by an average of 29.4 points, a truly staggering figure.

Which team will walk away with the victory in the first of two matchups between the teams this season?

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Sixers vs. Thunder Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Thunder at DraftKings Sportsbook:

    • Spread: Sixers -11, Thunder +11
    • Moneyline: Sixers -670, Thunder +475
    • Total: 218

And here are the current best available odds for the Sixers (may not display on Google AMP pages):

 

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

FiveThirtyEight gives the Sixers a 75% chance of winning with a -7 point line. The oddsmakers are even more bullish on Philadelphia’s chances, with the Sixers’ implied win probability based on the moneyline at 83%.

Sixers Win and Under 223.5 Points (-127, DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Philadelphia 76ers will look to bounce back from a disappointing road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans by taking on a hapless Thunder squad that’s been ravaged by injuries to an already shallow roster. In fact, OKC will be without at least six players, including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Josh Hall, Darius Miller, Mike Muscala, Isaiah Roby, and Luguentz Dort. The Sixers, meanwhile, are expected to have a full squad, minus point guard George Hill, who is recovering from thumb surgery and hopes to be back before the playoffs begin.

The Sixers are 6-4 in their last ten games, compared to just 2-8 over that same stretch for the Thunder. Given the fact that OKC has won more games away from home than at Chesapeake Energy Arena, they don’t even get to boast a home court advantage. Meanwhile, the Sixers’ 15 road wins are the most in the Eastern Conference and they’ve won seven of their last eight games in which they’ve been installed as a road favorite. All of this is to say the oddsmakers and projection models likely have the outcome of this one pegged correctly.

As for the total points going under 223.5 points, there’s a bit of risk, but it could pay off in a big way. Keep in mind that the Sixers have seen the under hit in four of their last five games, with the total points scored dropping in each of their last three contests. Although the Thunder have seen the over hit in their last three games and four of five overall, it’s worth noting that the total has gone under 223.5 twice in their last four games. It stands to reason the Sixers will hold a depleted Thunder squad in check, while scoring their typical 100+ points.

If you’re looking for a safe way to get better value than a Sixers moneyline bet alone, this one could be worth a look.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Ben Simmons Under 15.5 Points (-120, BetMGM)

It’s been a roller coaster season for Sixers point guard Ben Simmons, whose early play this season earned him an All-Star nod along with Sixers franchise center Joel Embiid. However, when Embiid went out with a bone bruise in his knee, it was Tobias Harris and not Ben Simmons who stepped up his scoring game. Simmons has not crossed the 15.5 point mark in each of his last eight games. The triple-double threat has even struggled to record a double-double, doing so in only two of those eight games. The Sixers will need Simmons to get back to his All-Star form if they’re to have any realistic hope of competing deep into the NBA postseason.

 

Tobias Harris Over 27.5 Combined Points and Rebounds (-130, BetMGM)

Sixers forward Tobias Harris had a legitimate case to be upset with not being named an All-Star this season. He’s stepped up in a big way, becoming Philadelphia’s second-leading scorer on the season with 20.6 points per game while pulling down the fourth-most rebounds for his team at 7.3 per game. If he were to play to his season averages, this bet would hit. However, it’s also worth noting that Harris has played very well against Western Conference opponents as of late.

In an April 3 clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves, Harris dropped 32 points and pulled down 5 boards. The next day, he went for 21 & 8 against the Memphis Grizzlies. Although his team lost on Friday night, Harris gave his best effort scoring 23 points while collecting 7 rebounds.

This season, Harris is averaging more points (21.5) and rebounds (8.0) against Western Conference opponents than against the East, with 19.9 and 6.9 points and rebounds per game, respectively.

 

Sixers vs. Thunder Prediction

Pick: The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost each of their last five games by an average of 29.4 points per game. Take the Sixers to Win and Under 223.5 Points.

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