On Monday night, the Philadelphia Flyers will play host to the New Jersey Devils in their season finale. This represents the eighth and final meeting between the teams this season.
Let’s get into our Devils vs. Flyers betting pick with player prop predictions, odds and analysis for this May 10, 2021 matchup.
Devils vs. Flyers Betting Pick (May 10, 2021)
Monday night’s matchup between the Philadelphia Flyers and the New Jersey Devils marks the fourth and final meeting between these teams at the Wells Fargo Center, as well as the final meeting between the teams this season.
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After stunning the Washington Capitals 4-2 on Friday night, Philadelphia lost their seventh opportunity since March 29 to win two consecutive games, falling to the same Capitals squad 2-1 in overtime on Saturday. Philadelphia held a late lead in that contest, ultimately collapsing and losing the game in the extra session. By preventing Washington from earning a regulation win, the Caps’ hopes of winning the East Division were dashed. Philadelphia enters play at 24-23-8, the Flyers hold the 14th-best odds of earning a Top-2 pick in the NHL Draft at 3.2%, while their chances of getting the #1 overall pick are just 1.5%. Philadelphia is effectively locked into that spot, however a regulation loss would seal their draft lottery positioning.
New Jersey is just 19-29-7 on the season, but their 5-4-1 record over their last ten games is the third-best stretch of any teams in the East Division. It’s worth noting that three of those five wins game against Philadelphia, with the most recent coming by a 4-1 decision at the Wells Fargo Center.
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Devils vs. Flyers Odds
Here’s the line for the Devils and Flyers at DraftKings Sportsbook PA:
- Spread: Flyers -1.5 (+155), Devils +1.5 (-190)
- Moneyline: Flyers -155, Devils +133
- Over/Under: O 6 -124, U 6 +102
Bets We Like With a Flyers Win
Money Puck gives the Flyers a 60% chance of winning this game. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s implied win probability based on the moneyline is nearly identical at 59%.
Flyers to Win and Devils to Cover +2.5 Goals (+165, DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Philadelphia Flyers have gone 4-5-1 in their last 10 games and have alternated wins and losses over the course of their last five games. They’ve also had mixed results this season against New Jersey this season. After winning their first two games in regulation by 5-3 and 3-1 scores, New Jersey won a 4-3 contest in Philadelphia near the end of a disastrous month of March for the Flyers. Nearly a month later, Philadelphia prevailed in a shootout before dropping three consecutive regulation results to the Devils, including the last of which in the City of Brotherly Love.
The oddsmakers and projection model clearly believe this game leans in Philadelphia’s favor, but not by a landslide. The issue at hand is that Philadelphia is a season removed from a seven game series loss in the conference semifinals. The team is largely the same as that squad on paper, however they’ve underachieved immensely. The raw talent in in the Orange & Black’s favor. While the Devils have won three consecutive games between the teams, there’s a real chance that Philadelphia GM Chuck Fletcher could make sweeping changes this offseason. We expect captain Claude Giroux to step up in the final game in front of whatever number of home fans show for the season finale.
There’s so much variance in the goals scored trends surrounding each team, as well as in meeting between the squads that we’d recommend going with the spread. With the exception of a 7-2 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins on May 3, Philadelphia hasn’t won a game by three or more goals since February 28. As such, if you’re looking for a boost to a Flyers moneyline wager, get in on the Devils +2.5 with the Flyers moneyline win.
To be clear, if you’re looking for higher upside, you can get the Flyers to win with the Devils to cover +1.5 goals at +310, but we’d hedge a bit to allow for an empty net goal if New Jersey is chasing the game late.
Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Claude Giroux to Record Under 2.5 Shots (-155, BetMGM)
If there’s one player whose motor has remained consistently in high gear down the stretch for the Flyers, it’s their captain Claude Giroux. Giroux has done everything asked of him by head coach Alain Vigneault and has earned his team points on multiple occasions in the past couple of weeks almost singlehandedly. While Giroux has played in all situations and appeared on the scoresheet in two recent games against the Penguins, he’s failed to record more than one shot in five of his last six games overall, including each of his last three games. We expect him to rip a few shots toward goal in the Orange & Black’s season finale, but shots that are ultimately blocked or miss the net won’t count toward his total. He’s also gone under 2.5 shots on goal in four of his seven matchups against the Devils this season, including each of his last two games, where he’s totaled one shot on goal.
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Pavel Zacha to Score a Goal (+260, FOX Bet)
Devils forward Pavel Zacha has had one heck of a stretch over his last 14 games, having found the back of the net nine times, after doing so seven times in his previous 35 games. He’s found the back of the net three times in his last two games, and has lit the lamp in four of his seven meetings with the Flyers this season. Zacha has also shown plenty of decisiveness in putting pucks on net, putting 11 shots on goal in his last four games and 20 in his last eight games. A number of sportsbooks have the over/under on that market set at 1.5, but the upside isn’t there in terms of a multiplier on your wager. We’d recommend taking a swing at a higher potential profit at +260 odds for Zacha to score a goal.
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Devils vs. Flyers Prediction
Pick: With nothing to play for but their own pride, expect a more spirited effort out of both teams than what you’d normally expect from a bunch of guys with their tee times scheduled. Ultimately, an energized Claude Giroux should be enough to get Philadelphia a win in their season finale. Take the Flyers to Win and the Devils to Cover +2.5 Goals.
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