Phillies vs. Nationals Odds, Prediction, Picks (May 13, 2021)

Phillies Nationals odds picks prediction
PHOTO CREDIT: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies clinched their first-three game series win in over 600 days after last night’s 5-2 victory over the Nationals. Now, they will look to complete their first three-game road sweep in more than three years when they send Zach Eflin (2-1, 3.38 ERA) to the mound today opposite the struggling Patrick Corbin (1-3, 7.36 ERA).

Let’s take a look at the Phillies vs. Nationals odds for the final game of a three-game set and make a game prediction along with some betting picks.

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Phillies vs. Nationals Odds (May 13, 2021)

Here is a look at the current Phillies vs. Nationals odds for this May 13, 2021 matchup, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal
Yankees-1.5 (+125)-132O 9 (-110)
Phillies+1.5 (-148)+114U 9 (-110)

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Phillies vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

The Phillies flipped the script a bit last night when Odubel Herrera homered off of closer Brad Hand to tie the game at 2-2 in the ninth inning before Philly piled on three more in the 10th to secure the series win ahead of today’s afternoon finale.
We think we may be in for a high-scoring affair today after back-to-back games that stayed under the total to begin the series.
The Phillies held the Nationals to just two runs in each game of this series. The last two times the Phillies allowed two runs or less in consecutive games, they came back to allow eight and ten runs, respectively, in their next game. Washington has scored just two runs in three straight now. The other two times this season they scored six total runs or less across three games, they bounced back to plate 11 and seven runs, respectively, in their next outing.

Eflin has been solid for the Phillies this season, giving them the innings they need to alleviate an often taxed bullpen. The right-hander has lasted six or more innings in all seven starts, but five of his last six outings have sailed over the total.

Those starts are producing an average of 10.8 total runs, and the Phillies, who have plated five or more runs in five straight games, have scored six or more runs in four of Eflin’s last five outings.

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A History of Offense

Eflin’s history against Washington has been one chock full of runs.

All nine of his career starts against the Nats have produced eight or more total runs, with the two last season producing 11 and 15. He has allowed three or more runs in each of his last four outings against the Nationals, as well. Current Nats have hit .294 (35-for-119) off Eflin in their careers, with Juan Soto (9-for-18 with six RBIs and five walks) and Trea Turner (6-for-18 with two home runs) jumping off the page.

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Corbin Still Looking to Heat Up

Corbin has warmed up a bit of late after a horrific first two starts this season, but he still drags a 7.36 ERA behind him. He has allowed 10 home runs already this season in just 29 1/3 innings pitched, including three in his last outing. Current Philly position players have gone 43-for-157 (.274) lifetime off the left-hander with Jean Segura, Bryce Harper, and Rhys Hoskins combining to go 21-for-67 (.313). Continued success from the heart of their order today should see this one sail over the posted total for the fifth time in the Phillies’ last six tries against left-handed pitching.

Betting Trends to Know

The Phillies have played 11 of their last 16 games over the total against sub .500 teams, including 9 of the last 13 against such clubs on the road.

With six of the last eight Phillies games going over the total after a win and 11 of their last 16 against division opponents doing the same, we should be set up for a shootout today, as well.

 

Phillies vs. Nationals Pick

Philly heads to Florida after this to play the Blue Jays, while Washington heads West to play Arizona tomorrow. Both bullpens have been thinned out a bit over the last two days so we should get the best from the offenses in this spot.

Our Pick: Phi/Was Over 8 (DraftKings Sportsbook -110)

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