76ers vs. Hawks Game 7 Pick (June 20, 2021): Here They Come

hawks sixers game 7 pick prediction
PHOTO CREDIT: DALE ZANINE-USA TODAY SPORTS

The Hawks will look to the beat the Sixers for a third time in four tries at the Wells Fargo Center in Game 7, but oddsmakers have installed the Eastern Conference’s top seed as a heavy favorite after Philadelphia got off the mat Friday night to force a decisive series finale this evening.

Let’s get ready for the Hawks vs. Sixers Game 7 matchup, take a look at the odds, and make a pick and prediction.

Sixers vs. Hawks Game 7 Pick (June 20, 2021)

The Sixers’ title hopes were in a world of trouble after blowing an 18-point lead to lose Game 4 and then a 26-point lead to drop Game 5.

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It’s hard to imagine a more difficult spot for a No. 1 seed to be in than losing two straight games they controlled and then having to go on the road in an elimination spot, needing a win just to ensure a Game 7.

The fact that the Sixers overcame the immense pressure that came with that Game 6, and did so without Joel Embiid playing his best game, speaks volumes about a Sixers group that has rightfully had its mental toughness questioned in recent days.

Now, however, the Sixers are back at home and would seem poised to finally put an end to the upstart Hawks’ magical run. After all, the Sixers are the superior team. With redemption now fully in reach, they can’t possibly let it get away.

Right?

Click here in PA to get 100-1 odds on the Sixers to score at least 76 points against the Hawks. Get it in NJ by clicking here .

Sixers vs. Hawks Game 7 Odds

Here are the odds for Game 7 between the 76ers and Hawks at DraftKings Sportsbook:

TeamRun LineMoneylineTotal
Hawks+7 (-108)+240O 215.5 (-112)
Sixers-7 (-113)-295U 215.5 (-109)

And here are the current best available odds for the Sixers (may not display on Google AMP pages):

Sixers vs. Hawks Game 7 Prediction

Yes, Philadelphia and Atlanta are tied 3-3 in this series. Yes, the Hawks have won twice on this court in the series, and Philly has blown two enormous leads in two of their losses. However, spin that context on its head and one can also look at this series through a slightly different lens.

 

Exclude the first half of Game 1 and the two dreadful second half efforts in Games 4 and 5, the Sixers have been dominant in this series. They had a chance to steal Game 1 back and then had every opportunity to win the other five games in this series, often by a significant margin.

Philly’s defense has proven suffocating overall, holding Atlanta to just 44.5% from the field and 34.5% from 3-point territory in the series, despite the Hawks shooting 51.2% and 42.6%, respectively, in those areas in Game 1.

Since the opening loss in this series,  Philly has limited Atlanta to a dismal 43.1% from the field and 32.0% from deep.

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To put this in perspective, the Hawks shot 46.8% from the field and 37.3% from 3-point range during the season, ranking 17th and 12th, respectively, in those two areas. Even with the Game 1 outlier left in the sample space, Philly’s D has made the Hawks a worse shooting team in this series.

While Atlanta has won its three games in this series by three, three, and four points, the Sixers have taken theirs by five, 16, and 16. Philly also beat the Hawks by 22 and 44 on this court during the regular season. Six of Philadelphia’s seven wins in the playoffs have come by seven or more points (85.7%), as did 38 of their 49 regular season wins (77.6%), including 20 of the 29 at home (69.0%).

Betting Trends

Notably, the Sixers are 33-22-2 against the spread as single-digit favorites this season and are 11-6-1 ATS at home against above .500 opponents.

Atlanta is just 6-11 ATS this season as underdogs of five points or greater. They have a sub .500 straight up road record at 20-22 and are just 6-8 SU and ATS away after a loss this year.

Three of the Hawks’ four playoff losses have come by more than tonight’s spread (75.0%). During the regular season, 22 of their 31 losses came by seven or more points (71.0%), including 15 of their 20 road losses (75.0%).

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Game 7 Betting Pick

It’s worth noting that home teams are 34-15 in Game 7s dating back to the 2004-2005 season. They’re also 19-2 when favored by at least six points.

Look for the Sixers and Embiid to sense the finish line is near and finally be able to give that complete effort, one that leaves no doubt which team was superior all along.

Philly punches its ticket to host the Bucks in the Eastern Conference Finals with an emphatic double-digit victory at home tonight.

Our Pick: Philadelphia -7 over Atlanta

And if you’re in the market for some prop picks and selections, here’s a quick look at some additional plays we like.

Best Bets
Chris Paul to Score Over 17.5 Points (-103, FOX Bet)
Paul George to Make 3+ Three-Point Field Goals (-165, BetMGM)
Mikal Bridges to Record Over 16.5 Combined Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-130, FanDuel Sportsbook)

 

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