Dodgers vs. Phillies Pick: Bet Home Team to Start Another Streak
The Dodgers came to Philadelphia last night and snapped the Phillies’ eight-game winning streak with the help of Mother Nature. After Aaron Nola’s night was cut short due to a 104-minute rain delay, the Dodgers took advantage of the Phillies’ bullpen, while Philadelphia’s offense failed to convert with Max Scherzer out of the game in a 5-0 loss.
Let’s jump into tonight’s matchup with our Dodgers vs. Phillies pick as well as take a look at the betting odds.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Pick (August 11, 2021)
Despite just one loss, the Phillies must realize what is at stake entering their game this evening. A win tonight ensures they leave one of their toughest remaining series of the season in no worse than a tie for first place. Lose, however, and they will be staring down a day game finale tomorrow against a 13-3 starter in Julio Urias looking to avoid a sweep.
The Phils will likely send Ranger Suarez to counter, who remains on a pitch count and will require tons of support from a bullpen reminded of its own fragility last night against this same Los Angeles group.
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds
Let’s take a quick look at the current Dodgers vs. Phillies betting odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:
| Team | Odds | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | +1.5 (-165) | +120 | O 8.5 (-110) |
| Phillies | -1.5 (+145) | -140 | U 8.5 (-110) |
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Kyle Gibson again takes the ball in a big spot for the Phillies, something he did in his first two outings with his new team. Gibson was asked to salvage a game against the lowly Pirates after Philly had dropped the first two games to the NL Central bottom-feeders.
That win kick-started the Phillies’ eight-game win streak which catapulted into the first place. In his second and most recent start for the team, Gibson was tasked with outdueling Marcus Stroman of the Mets, which he did.
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Gibson has a stellar 2.79 ERA on the season to go with his 1.18 WHIP. Since joining the Phillies, he has found yet another gear, posting a 2.13 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through his two starts. Los Angeles has a star-studded lineup, but Gibson has held the team’s current roster to a serviceable .271 (19-for-70) career average.
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In a Dodgers rotation that, if healthy, boasts Walker Buehler, Clayton Kershaw, Trevor Bauer, Max Scherzer, Dustin May, Julio Urias, and Danny Duffy, the Phillies are fortunate enough tonight to get to face LHP David Price. Price will be making just his ninth start of the season. Only two of his first eight starts saw the left-hander last five innings or longer and the Dodgers have lost six straight times he was handed the ball to begin a game.
Like many pitchers, Price has had more trouble on the road than at home. His road ERA of 4.24 is significantly worse than his 2.93 ERA at Dodger Stadium. Current Phillies have gone 28-for-102 (.275) off Price in their careers, with Didi Gregorius having particular success at 14-for-37 (.378) with a home run. Price’s teams have never beaten the Phillies by more than a run in his starts against them, failing to score more than four runs every time, with an average of just 2.5 runs per game.
Here’s a look at some relevant betting trends to know before making a Dodgers vs. Phillies pick:
| Trends to Know |
|---|
| They Phillies have averaged 6.3 runs per game following a loss and a day off. They are 5-1 in such games. |
| Arizona has played just 34 of its last 107 games under the total following a day off. |
| In Arizona's previous eight games in this scenario, they have played to an average of 11.3 runs per game while allowing opponents to score 6.5 runs per game. |
Betting Prediction
There’s not much bad to say about a team as loaded in every capacity as the Dodgers are. However, the one dent in their seemingly impenetrable armor is their injuries. They will be without Justin Turner and Mookie Betts again tonight against a tough right-hander and that’s about as much help as you can hope to get against this juggernaut opponent. If Philly is going to win one in this series, it’s almost certain to be tonight, so take the generous price with the home dogs here.
Pick: Phillies ML (+120)
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