The Philadelphia Eagles were part of one of the strangest lines oddsmakers have produced all season last week when they traveled to Las Vegas. The Eagles opened as just three-point underdogs, a questionable line on its own for a 2-4 road team taking on a 4-2 home team. The Eagles were even moved to slight favorites at many legal online sportsbooks by kickoff, before promptly getting outplayed in every facet of the game. As it embarrassing as that loss was, things could get really ugly if they don’t find a way to regroup against a winless Lions team this Sunday.

Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Lions prediction for this NFL Week 8 matchup, including a look at the odds and our ATS pick.

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Eagles vs. Lions Odds

Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Lions odds via Barstool Sportsbook:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Eagles +9.5 (-110) +290 O 46 (-110)
Buccaneers -9.5 (-110) -380 U 46 (-110)

An Eagles team that has given up 28 or more points in four of its last five games is now laying more than a field goal on the road. That is impossible to comprehend at this point, and there is no way we are taking the bait.

This game opened with Philadelphia priced as low as one point favorites by some oddsmakers, but the odds have since seen the Eagles jump back to a three-point favorite. This line move is occurring despite nearly 70 percent of wagers on this game coming in on Detroit. Normally, this would make us wary, but after watching the Eagles the last few weeks, we have to call this one exactly as we see it.

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Eagles vs. Lions Pick

From a strategic standpoint, based on what we have seen thus far in 2021, we are left to assume Detroit will come in more prepared to compete from the opening kick. The Eagles coaching staff consistently looks in way over its head, particularly at the start of games.

The offense unapologetically relies almost completely upon the pass with a quarterback under center who is not, at this point in his career, a player who should be throwing the ball 35 times per game.

Defensively, the Eagles cannot stop the run, allowing the league’s third most yards per game on the ground. The unit has also given up the ninth most points per game thus far, despite playing just three teams that currently have winning records.

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Conversely, if there is one positive thing you can say about the winless Detroit Lions, it’s that they come to play every week. First-year head coach Dan Campbell seems to have won his way into his players’ hearts. They play hard until the final whistle. The Lions, however, have been the victims of horrific luck. They have just two losses by more than 10 points this season, and those losses came at the hands of the 6-1 Packers and 5-2 Bengals.

Moreover, they have lost twice by a 19-17 score, each time beaten on the game’s last play by exceedingly long field goals. With road games at Pittsburgh and Cleveland next, the Lions will likely view this as their best shot to get Campbell his first win before Thanksgiving. Detroit will surely not want to risk hosting a bad Bears team on Thanksgiving Day at 0-10, a situation that would place immense pressure on the coach and players alike.

ATS Trends

Detroit quarterback Jared Goff entered 2021 just 1-4 ATS in his career with his team as a home underdog, but he has already managed a 2-1 ATS record in that role this season. That lines up nicely with an Eagles bunch that is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games and 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as favorites, including four straight ATS losses as road favorites.

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Philadelphia dropped all three of its games ATS as road favorites last season and has now lost seven straight ATS as non-divisional road favorites of three or more points. The Birds are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after a loss. This week, they run into a Lions group that has covered 11 of its last 12 home games against an opponent off a double-digit loss.

Detroit has covered five of the last six meetings between these two franchises. The Lions were underdogs in four of those five ATS wins, winning three of the games outright as dogs.

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Finally, it’s worth mentioning that five of Detroit’s seven opponents this season currently have a .500 or better record. In fact, Philadelphia (2-5) has a worse record than any team the Lions have faced. This will be the first fellow-rookie head coach that Campbell has faced.

Eagles vs. Lions Prediction

This has to be an all-in effort for a team that has looked the part in most of their games in 2021. Don’t be fooled by the record, the better team here is the one playing at home — and the one being spotted more than a field goal at home.

Eagles vs. Lions ATS Pick: Detroit +3.5

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