The Philadelphia Eagles have not done a ton to inspire confidence in bettors this season. They have regularly appeared outclassed by superior teams, but they land in a perfect spot for an upset this week with their trip to Las Vegas against an overrated Raiders team. If you are someone that has watched the Eagles play this season, it might be hard to imagine backing them here with a short number. Still, a desperate Eagles team has a nice situational matchup in this spot.

Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Raiders prediction for this NFL Week 7 matchup, including a look at the odds and our ATS pick.

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Eagles vs. Raiders Odds

Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Raiders odds via Barstool Sportsbook:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Eagles +9.5 (-110) +290 O 46 (-110)
Buccaneers -9.5 (-110) -380 U 46 (-110)

Oddsmakers opened this line with the Raiders spotting the Eagles 3.5 points, a number that has dipped to -3 (and as low as -2.5) at most legal online sportsbooks, despite a relatively even distribution between the two clubs in terms of wagers. The posted total for the game has hovered around the opening of 48.5 points with 60 percent of the bets coming in on the under.


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Eagles vs. Raiders Pick

This game could prove to be one for which the Raiders are simply unprepared. Last week, they were able to bond together in the face of the public adversity generated by former head coach Jon Gruden and subsequently earned a division win in Denver. However, the underdog role in which they entered that AFC West showdown was perfect for them in that spot, allowing them to play with zero pressure.

The Raiders rode a 21-point third quarter lead to an eventual victory, but even that win, one that came against a bad Denver team, showed some of the flaws that could haunt them here. The Broncos were able to adjust enough to outscore Vegas 14-3 down the stretch, losing by just 10 in a game that felt like it should have been decided by a lot more.

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With Gruden’s departure and an interim head coach holding down the fort, opponents are more likely to have an edge regarding in-game adjustments. And for his many early flaws, Philadelphia head coach Nick Sirianni has shown brief flashes of promise in that area. The Eagles clawed back in the second half of both the Carolina and Tampa Bay games, two games in which Philly looked utterly lost early on.

Keep in mind, Raiders interim coach Rich Bisaccia has never been a head coach during his 38 years in the business. It’s one thing to play the us-against-the-world card to get your team up for Denver, a team you know intimately, in a no-lose situation. It’s an entirely different animal to execute a whole week of practice and game-planning to prepare for an opponent you see once every four years, one that has also had an extra three days to get ready. Indeed, the Eagles’ last game will have been 10 days earlier, so they have had ample time to get as healthy and game-ready as possible here.

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The Eagles could also have an added edge given Sirianni faced the Raiders each of the last three seasons as offensive coordinator of the Colts.

Philadelphia could have a decided matchup edge here, as well, thanks to its pass defense. The Raiders seem completely incapable of running the ball so far this season, but are the third best passing offense in the NFL to date. The Eagles, however, counter with the fifth best defense in terms of passing yards allowed, despite having faced the first, second, and fifth best passing teams in the league so far this season.

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ATS Trends

Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr is just 24-28 ATS at home, 19-29 ATS off a SU win, and 12-20 ATS when laying points in his career. That’s hardly what you want to see in backing a quarterback to cover in this spot.

Philadelphia’s offense could find some success in this one, too, given the Raiders’ struggles against Lamar Jackson in the season opener.

Jalen Hurts will be the closest quarterback to Jackson that Vegas has faced, as he is the NFL’s No. 2 rushing quarterback this season. Jackson scorched the Raiders for 321 total yards in Week 1, despite having had just a couple days with his revamped backfield at that point.

The favored Raiders have covered just 20 of their last 63 games when giving points and are just 1-5 ATS in their last six as home favorites. Vegas has failed to cover any of its last four against sub .500 foes, while also enduring a longstanding run of just 19 ATS wins in its last 59 home games versus sub .500 opposition.

Eagles vs. Raiders Prediction

We expect the Raiders, who have lost 12 of their last 17 October games ATS, to slip to 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win. The Eagles can rally behind two head-to-head trends that show the road team covering four of the last five and the underdog winning four straight ATS between these two franchises.

Eagles vs. Raiders Pick: Philadelphia +3

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