On Saturday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will play host to the Atlanta Hawks at the Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers are coming off a workmanlike and at times very shaky win over the Detroit Pistons on Thursday night. The Hawks lost to the Washington Wizards in D.C. two nights ago.

Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Hawks betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this October 30, 2021 matchup.

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Sixers vs. Hawks Betting Pick (October 30, 2021)

It didn’t take the NBA schedule makers long to drag out the worst Sixers moment in many a year – worse than the Markelle Fultz debacle, worse than the Kawhi shot – and drop it in our laps. 

Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals in 2021, where the Sixers lost to what could only be described as a good but certainly not great Atlanta Hawks team, was the rock thrown in the pond that causes ripples long after the rock hits the mud at the bottom. The biggest ripple of all, of course, being that but for Game 7 and The Dunk That Wasn’t, Ben Simmons might still be on course to play out the remaining four years on his contract.

This is as good a time as any for me to offer you my belief that Hawks guard Trae Young is the Overstock.com version of Stephen Curry. Young does a lot of the things that Curry does, he just doesn’t do them as well or with the same degree of jaw-dropping beauty. And the numbers bear this out. In that Hawks/Sixers series in June, Young shot 39% from the field (32% from three-point range). Young only managed to score 29 points per game in that series because he made 59 of his 69 free throws (86%) – and handfuls of those free throws were awarded for that sudden stop/draw contact play that has since been eliminated as a foul call. The Sixers didn’t lose the series because Trae Young is anything special – they lost the series because they let five other Hawks average double figures in those seven games.


But it’s not exciting or interesting to dwell on John Collins or Danilo Gallinari or Kevin Huerter. It’s exciting and interesting to focus on Young, because he loves the spotlight and because you know that when he has the ball in his hands just about anything can happen, including but not limited to him pulling up from 33 feet. Early season returns are establishing that Young is having to figure out how to get to the line without his old trick; he is averaging half as many attempts this season (4.4 per game) as last (8.7). Those freebies created a lot of his value as he’s a career 86% free throw shooter. 

Is Young an All-Star? In this league, yeah, sure. It’s just the comparisons to Curry that cause Young to look like something less. Curry is a career 47.6% shooter from the field and has hit 43.3% of his threes. Young will probably never hit those numbers in a season much less over a dozen seasons. So, yeah, Overstock.com Stephen Curry. There are worse things to be.

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Sixers vs. Hawks Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Hawks at FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • Spread: Sixers -3.5 (-110), Hawks +3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Sixers -154, Hawks +130
  • Total: 217

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

Sixers to Win and Under 217 Total Points (+202, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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The Sixers have very little chance of beating the Hawks in a shootout. The Sixers have three reliable scorers: Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris and Seth Curry. Beyond those three, it’s a lot of hoping for Tyrese Maxey to have a good game, for one of the bench guys (Furkan Korkmaz? Shake Milton?) to get hot and chip in 15 points or so. In contrast, the Hawks have not just a high points-per-game guy in Young — they have depth and they have balance. If the Sixers are to win this game, they need to keep the score down and the pace moderate-to-slow. We’re not saying that can do it — we’re saying that if they want to win, they need to.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

Trae Young Over 25.5 Points (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Just because Young isn’t the guy you want trying to make a high percentage of shots over a long term doesn’t mean he isn’t the guy you want tonight, because he is. Young is going to be spring-loaded on an outburst, especially knowing that he is likely to be booed from the minute he walks into the Wells Fargo Center until the horn sounds to end the game and, if the Hawks win, for a while after that, too. Young will feed off this. They almost can’t set this prop high enough to convince anyone to be the under.

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John Collins Over 8.5 Rebounds (-110, Caesars Sportsbook)

Wake Forest basketball just isn’t what it used to be, and that’s probably why it’s taken such a long time for John Collins to be recognized as the interior force he is. Listed at 6’9”, 235 pounds, Collins does not strike anyone as physically imposing or dominant, but the statistics and the eye test say otherwise. Collins is always around the rim and he can really get up quickly. Collins has averaged 8.5 rebounds through 4+ NBA seasons and is pulling down over ten per game this season. He averaged a double-double in the 2019-2020 campaign, and he could well do it again this season.

Seth Curry Over 13.5 Points (-120, Caesars Sportsbook)

When you’re good at something and you get paired up with or against someone else who is also good at it, your tendency is to raise your level to match theirs. Seth Curry will come into this game, as usual, hearing about what great range Young has, how he fills it up, what a natural scorer he is. Seth Curry will then proceed to show what he’s all about. He averaged 21 points per game in the playoff series with the Hawks in June and made 31 triples in seven games. This is another player prop where it would be difficult to set the number high enough where the under makes sense.

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Sixers to Win First Quarter (-148, Barstool Sportsbook)

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Welp. We picked this very prop in Thursday’s game against the terrible Detroit Pistons and it was a loser. Still, the Sixers have won four of the first five first quarters they have played this season. It comes down to this, though: If there is a first quarter this whole season where the Sixers are likely to come flying out of the blocks, playing with energy and desire, it has to be this first quarter, at home, against the team that ended their season and spun their whole franchise into disarray four short months ago.

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Sixers vs. Hawks Prediction

The Sixers remain an untrustworthy bunch. The Hawks aren’t exactly the Jordan Bulls, either, but they’re quite a bit more reliable that the Sixers without Ben Simmons. Additionally, remember all of the mismatches and personnel problems the Hawks presented uniquely to the Sixers over seven games in June? They’re all still there, and now it’s worse because Ben Simmons’ defense is missing. Over 48 minutes, as both teams are presently constructed, the Hawks are just better.

Pick: Hawks win. (+130, Caesars Sportsbook)

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