Chargers vs. Eagles Odds, Picks, Prediction (NFL Week 9)
The Philadelphia Eagles have had a tough go of it at home this season, starting winless in three tries at Lincoln Financial Field. While the Los Angeles Chargers enter at 4-3, at least the Birds will finally be playing a home game against an opponent that did not appear in one of the last two Super Bowls.
Let’s jump into our Chargers vs. Eagles prediction for this NFL Week 9 matchup, including a look at the odds, betting trends, and our ATS pick.
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For the Chargers, the team’s 4-1 start under rookie head coach Brandon Staley seems a distant memory as Los Angeles risks falling to .500 in a crowded AFC with a loss here. Still, ikf you can put the Chargers’ two-game losing streak and the Eagles’ 44-6 romp of the Lions last week aside, we believe you can start to see the obvious gap between these two teams a bit more clearly.
Chargers vs. Eagles Odds
Here’s a look at the current Chargers vs. Eagles odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | +9.5 (-110) | +290 | O 46 (-110) |
| Buccaneers | -9.5 (-110) | -380 | U 46 (-110) |
First, let’s take a look at the line and total for this game, which opened with Los Angeles as three-point road favorites with a total set around 50 points.
Through Thursday, the Chargers received 75 percent of the handle and 85 percent of spread bets, but the Week 8 results have obviously influenced public bettors late in the week with the line dipping to as low as -1 at certain sportsbooks.
While over bettors have been responsible for 62 percent of bets, 79 percent of the money has come in on the under to date with the total holding steady in that 50-point ballpark.
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Chargers vs. Eagles Pick
We have a matchup of two first-year head coaches in this one. Notably, all three of Philadelphia’s wins have come against first or second-year head coaches this season, but we have to give the nod to Brandon Staley this week.
His team has a better record than any of the teams the Eagles have bested thus far, and his team’s three losses came against coaches who have all won at least one Super Bowl.
The Eagles’ opponents thus far this season have a collective .517 win percentage, mainly on the strength of 6-1 Dallas, 5-2 Las Vegas, and 6-2 Tampa Bay, the only three teams Philly has faced with winning records. By comparison, Staley has been indoctrinated into the head coaching ranks with a trial by fire, as each of his last six opponents currently own a .500 or better record. The Chargers’ foes thus far have a combined .566 win percentage, and Cleveland’s Kevin Stefanski is the only opposing coach they have faced with less than 74 games under his NFL head coaching belt.
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Preparing each week against this caliber of opponent and coaches should give Staley and his team an edge here.
They do only have one bad loss this season, the 34-6 road blowout loss at Baltimore, one that came on the heels of the exhausting shootout win at home over Cleveland the week prior.
By comparison, Nick Sirianni’s Eagles have often looked lost for long stretches before last week’s win against a winless Detroit team.
Betting Trends
From a trends perspective, Los Angeles enters play having covered 8 of its last 11 games overall and four of its last five on the road.
In fact, the Chargers have only lost two of their last 11 road games ATS when facing teams with losing home records. Moreover, they hold an impressive 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 road games against NFC East teams, dispelling any concerns about the coast-to-coast travel here.
The Chargers are also 5-2 in their last seven games as favorites and have covered three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these two franchises.
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A win like last week’s by Philadelphia might conjure up thoughts of this Eagles team getting hot, but its recent history says otherwise. The Birds have yet to win back-to-back games this season, losing their first two attempts following wins by six points. The Eagles are just 2-5 ATS after their last seven wins, with an identically poor record after their last seven wins by 15 points or more. They also happen to be a lowly 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after covering the spread in their previous contest.
Philadelphia is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last 10 tries after conceding 14 points or fewer prior, including 0-1 ATS this season when the team scored a season low 11 points at home to a West Coast team to follow up its 32-6 Week 1 victory.
The setup here seems eerily familiar, no?
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Chargers vs. Eagles Prediction
As teams play their first November games of this season, it’s worth mentioning that Philly has covered just three of its last 10 in this month. Many think the Eagles will use the ground success they had last week against Detroit with a bevy of backs, and Jalen Hurts’ running ability to beat up the Chargers’ league-worst rush defense. However, Sirianni has relied upon the pass too much this season to blindly believe that to be true.
It’s easy to run the ball 46 times when you are up 17 points at halftime and up 38 points at the end of the third quarter.
That is unlikely to be the case against the Chargers, who have not experienced deficits like that in any game this season.
Philadelphia has covered just two of its last 15 home games against teams that allow more than 4.4 yards per rush and that putrid spell should continue here.
Our Pick: Los Angeles -1
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