After looking outclassed on both the sidelines and field of play for most of the season’s first two months, the Philadelphia Eagles have managed to rattle off three wins in their last four games and get themselves back into the NFC’s playoff mix. Now, a welcoming stretch of scheduling has them poised to charge up the standings. That is, if they can handle their business against some of football’s worst teams, starting this week with the New York Giants.
Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Giants prediction for this NFL Week 12 matchup, including a look at the odds, betting trends, and our ATS pick.
Eagles vs. Giants Odds
Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Giants odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:
|Eagles||+9.5 (-110)||+290||O 46 (-110)|
|Buccaneers||-9.5 (-110)||-380||U 46 (-110)|
This NFC East battle opened with the Eagles posted as three-point road favorites, but an exorbitant percentage of bets and money coming in on Philadelphia has pushed that number up beyond the key interval to -3.5 at many sportsbooks.
The Eagles have taken on as much as 85 percent of the handle and over 75 percent of the bets at DraftKings Sportsbook to date, in fact. The total for this one started around 46.5 and has dipped a touch to 46 or even 45, despite a pretty even distribution on both sides in terms of the number of bets and total handle.
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Eagles vs. Giants Pick
The Giants enter this week off an ugly Monday Night Football loss to the Buccaneers. Amassing just 215 total yards, it was an embarrassing display of offense that cost former offensive coordinator Jason Garrett his job.
THIS IS A JOKE AND A DISASTER AND SHOULD BE UNACCEPTABLE
Falls solely on coaching and details
— Dan Orlovsky (@danorlovsky7) November 23, 2021
The Giants couldn’t top 150 yards through the air, had a receiver lose a fumble, and watched Daniel Jones throw two more hideous interceptions, while looking lost throughout.
However, New York did average 5.1 yards per rush against a dominant run defense, but, unfortunately the Giants, those efforts went for just 66 total yards.
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The dismissal of Garrett is a bit head-scratching, given the Giants will play this one on an already short week that is further abbreviated by the holiday. But with the Giants at 3-7, this is the Giants’ last gasp to get back into a soft NFC playoff race. And with Joe Judge needing to shake his team awake this week (while also shifting the attention away from himself for a short while), the switch to Freddie Kitchens isn’t terribly surprising.
We saw Las Vegas win its first two under interim head coach, Rich Bisaccia, after Jon Gruden’s departure and we have to wonder if New York may receive a similar jolt with Kitchens calling the plays.
ATS Trends to Know
This is still a division game between two hated rivals, especially after the Eagles’ tank job in Week 17 last season.
Typically, a rivalry is often enough to make the results of these games unpredictable or at least closer than expected. For example, the Giants, who are 4-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head with Philadelphia, have covered at least one head-to-head meeting with the Eagles in five straight seasons, including six ATS wins as underdogs in those 10 games alone.
In fact, New York should be comfortable in its role as underdogs, as they have been spotted points by the Eagles in nine straight meetings. Further, three of the last eight meetings between these two teams have been decided by three points or less.
As mentioned, New York had one less day to prepare for this one, having played on Monday night.
However, the Giants have covered four straight Sunday games after playing on Monday Night Football.
New York has also been a respectable home team for most of the season. The Giants have covered this line in three of their last four at home. In fact, the only team to make them look bad in that stretch was the Rams, who also happen to be the only opponent during that stretch with a winning record.
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Also worth noting, Judge, a Bill Belichick guy, has preyed upon rookie and interim head coaches the way New England’s head coach feasts upon rookie quarterbacks. The Giants have covered 3.5+ in all three games this season against rookie or interim head coaches, winning two of those games outright as similarly lined dogs to what they are here against Philadelphia.
From a trends perspective, the Eagles are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the NFC East. They are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 following an ATS victory, as well as 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 31 or more points previously.
Conversely, New York has covered four of its last five after an ATS defeat and five of its last six against divisional opponents.
The Giants have also covered four straight after failing to top 14 points in their previous game and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against the NFC East after scoring 14 or fewer their last time out.
Speaking of divisional trends, New York has also gone a blistering 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games off a SU and ATS loss against division foes off a double-digit straight up non-NFC East win.
Eagles vs. Giants Prediction
New York has gone 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 games against losing teams. Look for the house to collect here as the Giants make it six straight underdog covers while face sub .500 opposition and a run of 10 straight covers following an ATS win against an opponent entering play off a double-digit win.
Our Pick: Giants +3.5
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