Flyers vs. Stars Betting Odds, Pick and Prediction (November 13, 2021)

Flyers vs. Stars Betting
Photo credit: Craig Dudek

On Saturday night, the Philadelphia Flyers (7-3-2) wrap up a quick two-day, two-game road trip at American Airlines Center in their lone trip to the Lone Star state this season to take on the Dallas Stars (4-6-2).

Let’s get into our Flyers vs. Stars betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 13, 2021 matchup.

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Flyers-Stars Preview

The Flyers are coming off an emotional, 2-1, come-from-behind win over the first place Carolina Hurricanes Friday. Carter Hart was the star in goal with 39 saves, but he’ll have the night off in Dallas. Instead, it’ll be Martin Jones who gets the nod against the Stars. Jones has been as good, if not a little better, than Hart in his three starts (3-0-0; 1.67, .950).

The Flyers offense has been struggling with just 11 goals in their last seven games, yet they have four wins and nine points in those games thanks to their goaltending and solid team defense. The Flyers allow just 2.33 goals per game, which is third-best in the NHL.

Meanwhile Dallas had to have a closed door meeting after losing Wednesday to Nashville. The Stars have lost 6-of-7 (1-4-2), have allowed 12 more goals than they’ve scored and are already seven points out of a playoff spot, so it’s getting late early for Dallas.

They are averaging just 2.17 goals scored per game, which is 29th in the NHL and are allowing 3.17 goals per game, which ranks 25th.  The one thing they do well is score on the power play, so the Flyers will need to be more disciplined against them than they’ve been this season, although the Flyers penalty kill has not been bad at 83.7 percent, which ranks 12th in the league.

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Flyers vs. Stars Odds

Here are the lines for Flyers vs. Hurricanes at FanDuel Sportsbook:

Spread: Flyers (+1.5, -205), Stars (-1.5, +164)
Moneyline: Flyers (+136), Stars (-164)
Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-106), Under 5.5 (-114)

Bets We Like with a Stars Win

Alexander Radulov over 0.5 points (+270, BetMGM)

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We find it odd that the Stars are the favorite in this game with as much as they have been struggling and with Philadelphia being so good defensively. That said, if the Stars have a path to victory it could be paved by their power play.

The Flyers take a lot of penalties and the Stars score on the power play 29 percent of the time. Radulov is their best power play guy, so if Dallas can pot one home with the man advantage, it’s likely the puck will be on Radulov’s stick at some point, so getting the value of this bet is pretty good, even if the Stars ultimately don’t win the game.

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Bets We Like with a Flyers Win

Flyers to win in regulation (+215, Barstool Sportsbook)

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The underdog has won outright in each of the Stars last seven games and on top of that, the road team has won the first period in four of the Stars last five games. Those are two trends that favor the Flyers, who are 4-0-1 when leading after the first period and 6-0-1 when scoring first.

The Flyers have struggled to score lately, but they’ve also been playing some good defensive teams in the process. The Flyers are in a stretch of 18 games with 17 of them against teams with winning records. Dallas is the lone outlier. This is an opportunity for the Flyers to jump on a struggling team early and make the lead hold up.

The Flyers have only lost one lead all season, and it was in the opening game. We think the odds are off in this game and the Flyers win outright, but you can boost your odds by picking them to win in regulation.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

UNDER 5.5 goals (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)

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We’d be stunned if either struggling offense suddenly exploded in this one. We think it’s a low scoring game with maybe an empty netter, but we don’t think it gets to six total goals either. The Flyers have embraced winning ugly, and that’s probably what’s going to happen here tonight as well. If you want to parlay the Flyers to win and the under, you can get a nice +320 payout on DraftKings. We recommend that bet too.

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Flyers vs. Stars Prediction

It looks like Ryan Ellis will be back for the Flyers, which will bolster their already stout defense. As long as the Flyers don’t get too undisciplined, we think Jones will have another good outing and the Flyers will pick up another win on the road.

Prediction: Flyers 3, Stars 1

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