Sixers vs. Pistons Betting Odds, Picks, Prediction (November 4, 2021)
On Thursday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will be in Detroit to play the Pistons. The Sixers have won four in a row, all at home, including last night’s victory over the Chicago Bulls. The Pistons lost to the Milwaukee Bucks by 28 at home on Tuesday night and are 1-6 in the early going.
Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Pistons betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this November 4, 2021 matchup.
Sixers vs. Pistons Betting Pick (November 4, 2021)
NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has it half right. He’s right when he says that Las Vegas and Seattle deserve and can support NBA teams. He’s wrong when he suggests that expansion is the way to make that happen.
As long as the Detroit Pistons are out here sucking out loud, there is no need for expansion. Relocation is the answer.
Now I know what you’re saying. “Fort Wayne Pistons! Isiah, Mahorn and Laimbeer! And Adrian Dantley! You can’t move the Pistons!” The hell you can’t.
The Pistons are out to a lusty 1-6 start this season. That’s a small sample size, but here are some larger sample sizes for your consideration. They have made the playoffs twice in the last 12 seasons. This is a league where the top eight teams in each conference of 15 teams gets into the playoffs. The Pistons can’t quite crack that code. Another metric, attendance, doesn’t help the Pistons’ cause either. In 2020, the last “normal” NBA season pre-pandemic, the Pistons were 28th in the league in home attendance.
But wait, there’s more. The Pistons’ winning percentages in the last two seasons are .303 and .278. Their leading scorer last season was Process survivor Jerami Grant (22.3 per game). After him, it was Josh Jackson and Saddiq Bey, both of whom couldn’t muster even 14 points per game. Not only are the Pistons bad, they are the one thing no NBA team can afford to be: They’re uninteresting. Is Cade Cunningham good enough to make them watchable? You tell me – he has scored eight points in two NBA games.
Cities begging for NBA franchises can’t afford to be choosy. Seattle or Las Vegas wouldn’t exactly be delighted to welcome the erstwhile Pistons to town, but it beats not having a team at all. As for Detroit, well, they’ve got bigger problems than the Pistons being lousy and/or leaving. It’s the 26th city in the U.S. by population and the second-poorest major city in the country – it was the poorest until the most recent analysis in 2020, when Cleveland passed it.
The Pistons were a proud franchise and, for a time, the class of the league. Time is undefeated, though. The NBA doesn’t owe it to Detroit to leave a terrible team in a city that can’t support it.
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Sixers vs. Pistons Odds
Here’s the line for the Sixers and Pistons at FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Spread: Sixers -5 (-110), Pistons +5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Sixers -215, Pistons +180
- Total: 207.5
Bets We Like With a Sixers Win
Sixers to Win and Under 207.5 Total Points (+166, FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Under ordinary circumstances, the line on this game would be closer to 10, but the Sixers’ circumstances right now are quite unusual. Tobias Harris continues to be sidelined with COVID-19, Joel Embiid’s knee is bothering him and so is the new basketball, and Ben Simmons is still, well, who knows where he is, we just know he’s not playing basketball for the Sixers. The Sixers handled all of this well enough to win four straight games at home, but road games (even against bad teams) present different problems, especially on the second night of a back-to-back. The Sixers should win this game, but expecting them to have another offensive outburst tonight is too big of an ask.
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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome
Saddiq Bey Over 13.5 Points (-125, DraftKings Sportsbook)
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This is heavy juice to pay on an individual prop, but it also indicates that Bey is pretty likely to get there. Bey is the Pistons’ second-leading scorer at 14.1 points per game and hit the Sixers for 19 just last week. This line is on the low side because Bey has had two consecutive low-scoring games. He had nine points against the Brooklyn Nets on Halloween and a season-low four points in the blowout loss to the Bucks two nights back. Hey, those are great teams with elite defenders. It happens. Bey has already proven he knows where to go to score against the Sixers. And 14 points isn’t exactly an enormous number for a starting small forward.
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Jerami Grant Under 18.5 (-120, Caesars Sportsbook)
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Grant is one of those players who you watch and think “yeah, he has amazing physical tools and brings some energy, you can win some games with him as a sixth man.” And then you check his player profile and find out that he’s making $20 million this season and next, and that he’s the offensive focal point on the Pistons, and it becomes clear why the Pistons are as bad as they are. Grant was a high field goal percentage guy when he played a more supporting role in Oklahoma City and Denver. He is entirely miscast as a volume scorer in Detroit, and his 43% field goal percentage from last season has dipped to 39% in the early part of this new season. It’s tough to score more than 18 points with poor shooting and a paltry 4.5 free throw attempts per game.
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Pistons to Win First Quarter (+123, Barstool Sportsbook)
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The Pistons aren’t all that talented, but they are rested and taking on a Sixers team that is, as noted above, playing the second half of a back-to-back. Embiid’s availability is not in question as of this writing, but his effectiveness definitely is. This is a value play and one that there’s no need to go too heavy on. Basically, you’re betting that the Sixers will take some time to get going in this game and that the Pistons will have a little bit more energy early than they will late.
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Sixers vs. Pistons Prediction
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You may recall that when these two teams played last week, the Sixers had the game all but in hand until a fourth quarter run by the Pistons compelled Doc Rivers to bring his starting five back out late in the game to close it out. That means two things: 1. The Pistons aren’t afraid of the Sixers. 2. The Sixers have a proclivity — one that they have shown in the past — to both play down to the competition and to struggle with finishing the job. There is a case to be made that the Pistons might win this game outright, but pigs get fed and hogs get slaughtered. Take the points.
Pick: Pistons +5 (-110, FOX Bet)
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