The Philadelphia Eagles did what was supposed to be the hard work by climbing back into the NFC playoff picture with wins over Denver and New Orleans. Then, well, you know what happened last week in New Jersey. Now, they’ll return to the scene of last week’s letdown and try to secure a victory in a must-win spot at MetLife Stadium when they play the 3-8 New York Jets.
Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Jets prediction for this NFL Week 13 matchup, including a look at the odds, betting trends, and our ATS pick.
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Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Jets odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:
Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Eagles | +9.5 (-110) | +290 | O 46 (-110) |
Buccaneers | -9.5 (-110) | -380 | U 46 (-110) |
The Eagles opened as roughly 6.5-point favorites on the road for this one and the line has bounced between that number and -7 ever since. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is receiving roughly 60 percent of point spread bets and as much as 80 percent of the handle. The total opened around 45 and has seen around 60 percent of the wagers and handle both come in for the under, with the total remaining relatively unchanged.
No matter how much you want to read into the Eagles’ loss last week or the Jets’ road win over Houston, this line should still probably be higher than it is. It’s just difficult to slap a 5-7 team with more than a touchdown number during a season in which underdogs have been so profitable.
That said, as bad as the Eagles played against the Giants a week ago, it was a divisional road game, which we all know takes conventional wisdom off the table. Meanwhile, Houston is one of the league’s worst teams, so how much was that Jets win really worth?
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Oddsmakers have seemed to have a weird love affair with the Eagles for much of this season, but it’s worth noting that this is the first time they have been favorites of more than four points. That also helps explain the current point spread not being higher here.
Meanwhile, New York is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. The Jets have been underdogs of 6-11 points three times this season, failing to cover any of those games. They allowed 41.7 points per game in those outings, losing by an average of 27.3 points. In fact, since the Jets’ opening game, they have not lost any game by less than seven points.
Philadelphia head coach Nick Sirianni has done his best work this season against similarly raw opposing head coaches. The team has five wins; two of which came against rookie head coaches. The Eagles also allowed just six points to both teams coached by first-year guys, winning those games by 26 and 38 points.
New York will be playing this one without Michael Carter, the team’s leading rusher and a guy who accounts for nearly 20 percent of the team’s total scrimmage yards this season. The Jets’ next most productive back has yet to reach 200 yards on the ground. And with a mistake-prone rookie quarterback in Zack Wilson who has struggled in many facets this season, New York could have a difficult time moving the ball in this one. Interestingly, the Jets average 454 yards of offense per game without Zach Wilson under center, but just 267 yards per game with him.
On the other side, the Eagles’ elite rushing attack should be able to wear down a Jets defense that allows a generous 4.5 yards per carry. Also of note, the Jets have allowed the NFL’s sixth most rushing yards and have been overrun by quality rushing attacks all season long.
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Look for the Eagles to continue their dominant ATS run against AFC East opponents, against which they have covered eight of their last 10 games, while getting themselves back into playoff contention once again.
Our Pick: Philadelphia -7
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