With a win over Washington on Sunday and a little loving help from some friends, the Eagles could lock up a postseason berth by night’s end. Certainly, Washington seems primed to do its part, if recent performances serve as any indication. Since the early 10-0 lead the Football Team took on Philly 12 days ago, Washington has been outscored by an 83-21 margin.

Let’s jump into our Eagles vs. Washington prediction for this NFL Week 17 matchup, including a look at the odds, betting trends, and our ATS pick.

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Eagles vs. Washington Odds

Here’s a look at the current Eagles vs. Washington odds via DraftKings Sportsbook:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Eagles +9.5 (-110) +290 O 46 (-110)
Buccaneers -9.5 (-110) -380 U 46 (-110)

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It’s always a bit unnerving to see high percentages of the handle and total bets on your side when making a pick. However, in this case, such strong numbers supporting Philly are backed by line moves in their direction, seeing them up from around -3 at open to -4.5 at the time of this post. That allays some of those reactionary fears, at least.

Meanwhile, the total here has spiked from around 43 points to a current number of 45 points at most sportsbooks. In terms of the action, bettors have slightly favored the over in terms of total money and number of wagers.

Eagles vs. Washington Prediction

Sure, Washington was wracked by COVID-19 absences over its last two games, having the first meeting with Philadelphia postponed to a rare Tuesday date. That loss was followed by a blowout loss in Dallas just five days later. It was undoubtedly a cruel fate for a team that entered that game with the Eagles in the thick of the playoff chase.

But things have changed. With their postseason hopes now essentially dead, motivation becomes a huge factor in assessing this game.

In terms of talent, anyone who has watched Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke play even once has to respect the guy’s heart and grit. He belongs in the league. That said, he is an average player on a decimated team playing without most of the roster’s true playmakers . Chase Young, Logan Thomas, and Antonio Gibson are all sidelined and there’s still a chance they could be joined by guys like Landon Collins, Curtis Samuel, and Montez Sweat.

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If you were unfortunate enough to have tuned into the Washington-Dallas game last week, you are probably still wishing you could get that couple hours of your life back. It was as one-sided a contest as you will stumble across.

Washington looked overmatched at every position, as well as tired, listless, and despondent. And Dallas did nothing to ease the pain. The Cowboys were out for blood and rubbing Washington’s noses in it to the point that it spilled over onto the bench. If you watched, the most memorable aspect of the game was unquestionably teammates Daron Payne and Jonathan Allen getting into in between the Cowboys’ scoring barrage.

While Washington head coach Ron Rivera suggested otherwise earlier this week, it sure feels like Washington has folded the tent. After getting completely demoralized by an unrelenting division rival, which served as a reminder of just how far behind them WFT really is, whatever remaining intrinsic motivation that was left for a fading group likely evaporated.

It’s hard to imagine a team that is 2-5 ATS at home this season doing anything but collapsing like a house of cards the minute the Eagles apply any legitimate pressure in this game.

Philadelphia is a team that can do that, too, boasting the league’s fifth best yardage offense, balanced out by rushing and passing attacks both ranked in the NFL’s top 10. The Eagles poured 238 rushing yards on what was, at the time, a top five Washington run-stopping unit when they met less than two weeks ago. If Washington loads the box, the Eagles should find success against a defense that allows the league’s third most passing yards per game.

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ATS Trends to Know

There are several key trends worth noting for these two teams that make the case for the Eagles even more enticing.

While this is true:

All of this is also true:

  • Since 2011, Philadelphia has been a respectable 18-15 SU and 17-15-1 ATS in same-season rematches.
  • In fact, after winning the first meeting of a season, the Birds are 11-7 SU in the second meeting.
  • Conversely, Washington is just 11-20 SU and 13-17-1 ATS in rematches over that same span and sport a dreadful 4-15 SU and 7-12 ATS mark after losing the first meeting.
  • Washington has been a streaky team. It is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven games after scoring 14 or less last time out and has covered just one of its last five after conceding more than 30 points.
  • The Football Team is 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a SU loss and covered just two of their last nine contests after an ATS defeat.
  • This is all bad news for a team that has failed to cover a division game yet this season and is just 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 games against the NFC East. WFT is also just 1-7 ATS in its last eight division games after allowing 35 or more points previously.

Eagles vs. Washington Pick

The Eagles get a beat up, unmotivated, and, frankly, bad team this week. And if there’s one thing they’ve done this season, it is capitalize on such matchups. In fact, all eight of the team’s victories have come against opposition that currently owns a losing record.

The Eagles have gone 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as favorites. Look for them to improve upon their current 3-1 ATS run in Washington and 6-2-1 ATS mark overall in this head-to-head rivalry with another emphatic victory.

ATS Pick: Eagles -4.5

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