On Thursday night, the Sixers welcome the Brooklyn Nets to the Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers got back to winning ways with a comfortable win over the Chicago Bulls on Monday night. The Sixers are 40-24 and trail the Milwaukee Bucks by half a game for second place in the Eastern Conference. The Nets are 33-33 and are presently in the play-in places as the NBA playoffs approach.

Let’s get into our Sixers vs. Nets betting pick with player prop predictions, odds, and analysis for this March 10, 2022 matchup.

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Sixers vs. Nets Betting Pick (March 10, 2022)

As of this writing, the story goes that Ben Simmons (who was seen in Philadelphia last night) will be on the Nets bench tonight as 20,000+ Sixers fans spend three hours taking out years of Sixers futility on him. On its face, this seems like an indefensibly stupid choice by the Nets. Simmons hasn’t played a game this season and there is no timetable for his return to active status. The Nets could easily have left Simmons in Brooklyn “to continue his rehabilitation” or whatever. Instead, the Nets are intentionally putting a player whose mental and emotional wellbeing has been, let’s just say, an issue all season, and submitting him to the wrath of the fan base he betrayed. It’s a weird choice.

Thinking of this as a long game play, though, it makes more sense. Putting Simmons on the court could have been pretty disastrous, but there is only so much negative attention Simmons can receive sitting on the bench (especially once the game starts). Once Simmons is past this night, the only real hurdle with regard to getting past his time in Philadelphia and how it ended will be playing a game here, and it could be a really, really long time before that ever happens. Allow us to explain.

The Nets play in Philadelphia twice a year in the regular season. That’s it. This makes it not only possible but probable that the Nets traded for Simmons figuring that they may just scratch Simmons for any of those regular season appearances in Philadelphia as a default setting. Players miss games all the time for all sorts of reasons. They can use the Sixers games in Philadelphia as load management, assuming Simmons ever plays again.

“Hey, but that’s not going to work in the playoffs!” We hear you, but as Tom Petty once famously sang, “Most things I worry about never happen anyway.” The Sixers and the Nets have faced each other in the playoffs three times in the past 43 years: 1979, 1984 and 2019. Not only do both teams have to make the playoffs, they have to end up in each others’ half of the draw OR meet in the conference final. The odds on this are far longer than you think. If this season ended today, the Sixers would play the Cavaliers in the first round, and the Nets would be playing the Charlotte Hornets in the play-in for the right to take on the Milwaukee Bucks. Do you see the Nets getting past the Bucks this season? We don’t.

So people will yell and scream at Simmons tonight. Simmons and the Nets know that it’s a lot of sound and fury signifying nothing.

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Sixers vs. Nets Odds

Here’s the line for the Sixers and Nets at FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • Point Spread: Sixers -4.5 (-110), Nets +4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Sixers -198, Nets +166
  • Total: 234.5

Bets We Like With a Sixers Win

Sixers to Win and Over 234.5 Total Points (+181, FanDuel Sportsbook)

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The over/under in the Bulls game was two points lower and didn’t hit. We blame James Harden, who played a great game but only scored 16 points. Anyway, Harden isn’t being held to 16 points tonight, and Joel Embiid (who had 43 on Monday night) probably has 50 in his sights against the Andre Drummond/Nic Clayton combo he’ll face with LaMarcus Aldridge out. Toss in a likely big night from Kevin Durant, and the over seems probable. And oh by the way, the totals in the last two Nets games were 253 and 246.

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Bets We Like Independent of Outcome

James Harden Over 35.5 Points and Assists (-125, Caesars Sportsbook)

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We laughed at Harden’s assists prop (over 10.5 assists at -145). The oddsmakers are obviously tired of getting blistered on that specific wager. Harden had 14 more assists on Monday night and cashed it very easily. So to bring that juice down some, we’ll count on a bounce back game from a scoring standpoint in the area of 25 points and 10-12 more assists.

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Joel Embiid Under 12.5 Rebounds (-135, DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Embiid did whatever he wanted on Monday night because the Bulls were without Nikola Vucevic. Sixers fans who watched Drummond this season know that while he isn’t a multi-faceted scoring threat, he is still a menace from a rebounding perspective. A lot of those easy rebounds Embiid picked up on Monday night on his way to 14 just won’t be there tonight.

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Kevin Durant Under 30.5 Points (-133, FOX Bet)

Durant has looked good since returning from the injury that cost him about six weeks. In the three games since his return he has gone over 30 points twice. But In the longer view, Durant has scored fewer than 30 points in seven of his last 10 starts where he played more than 13 minutes. And Durant had 14 points in almost 40 minutes two nights ago, on just 13 field goal attempts.

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Sixers vs. Nets Prediction

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The knee-jerk response here is to think that the Sixers will win to exact some sort of revenge over Simmons. That logic doesn’t work out as often as you think. For a reference point, see the Duke Blue Devils losing Coach K’s last game at Cameron Indoor as a heavy favorite to the hated North Carolina Tar Heels. The Sixers won’t win this game to make a statement to Simmons. The Sixers will win this game because the Nets are a .500 team 66 games into the season. At some point, it is true that you are what your record says you are.

Pick: Sixers -4.5 (-112, Barstool Sportsbook)

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