Flyers the Biggest Underdog on Tuesday's NHL Slate
Excuse the horrible pun, but I just became a dad (humble brag) so I can officially use dad jokes now.
The Philadelphia Flyers are about to walk into an actual hurricane on Tuesday night in Carolina.
That’s because the Carolina Hurricanes are averaging 3.9 goals per game and have scored at least four goals in each of their last five games.
The Flyers are, well, the complete opposite of that right now in front of the net. They have been shut out twice this season and their last three games have featured exactly three goals.
The over/under sits squarely at 6 at DraftKings and 6.5 at FanDuel in a game that probably has no happy medium when it comes to play in front of net.
It feels like either the Hurricanes, who at -325 on DK and -295 on FD are the biggest favorite on Tuesday’s slate, win in a rout, or the Flyers use hard-nosed defensive hockey to give them a fighting chance.
If there’s any hope for the Flyers to score and be competitive, it’s that the Canes have allowed multiple goals in five of the six contests during their six-game winning streak.
That would fit into a striking Flyers trend in road games. The Flyers lit the lamp at least two times in every road game this season. The home form has been far more inconsistent since four of the six games at Wells Fargo Center featured two or fewer Flyers tallies.
The road scoring trend means the Flyers’ team total of over/under 2.5 goals is in play. The over is a plus-money prop across all major sportsbooks.
Most of the goals on Tuesday will likely come from 5-on-5 action. The Flyers have the fourth-best penalty kill percentage in the NHL and the Hurricanes are seventh.
Carolina’s top two lines have been the main producers of goals. Martin Necas has a three-game scoring streak and at least one point in eight of his 10 games. If he scores again on Tuesday, his line mates Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Eric Robinson are worth looking at for point props. The top line of Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho, and Jack Roslovic have 26 points between them.
The Canes conceded more goals to wingers than any other position this season, although it’s not an overwhelming number compared to the rest of the league. Left wingers have had a bit more success in front of goal than right wingers against Carolina, so that would make Owen Tippett, Tyson Foerster, and Joel Farabee the most likely scorers based on the data.
But if you’re looking at the overall matchup on New Jersey sports betting apps, which features Pyotr Kochetkov versus Aleksei Kolosov in net, the Hurricanes have the edge, and with the money line too high to bet on its own, the puck line is probably the best bet if you don’t believe in the Flyers.