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Phillies Open Up Nats Series a -185 Favorite Behind Cy-Juan Walker
By Joe Tansey
Published:
Get ready for a whole boat load of NL East baseball.
Seventeen of the Phillies’ next 20 games come against divisional foes, starting with Friday’s clash against the Nationals.
The Phillies are 18-14 in NL East play so far this season and a few days removed from the split of a four-game series with the Nats down in D.C.
Friday’s game, in which the Phils are a -185 money line favorite, gives us the exact same pitching matchup from last Saturday, with Taijuan Walker going up against Cade Cavalli.
Walker and Cavalli combined to give up 13 hits, but each hurler pitched into the seventh inning. The Nats actually won that game 2-0, but there are numbers from that contest that we can use for Friday.
Walker’s pitched at least six innings in each of his last three starts and he’s gone at least five frames across each of his last five appearances. Walker’s outs recorded prop sits at Over/Under 15.5 at bet365. You have to take the over given his current form and the Nats’ overall lack of explosiveness. The Nats scored seven runs in the first three games against the Phils last weekend and then scored nine in a loss on Sunday.
On the other end, I’d look at Cavalli’s Over 5.5 hits allowed. The Phils got seven hits off him in seven innings last week and Cavalli’s allowed seven hits in two of his three starts back in the majors in 2025.
The Phils have the best team batting average over the last seven days by a wide margin. They’re hitting .372 in that span. Only two other teams, the Braves and Yankees are hitting over .300 in the same time frame.
Trea Turner is the hottest hitter in baseball during that stretch, with 16 hits. I would absolutely go after the over on his total bases prop at -110. He had three hits against Cavalli on Saturday and he doesn’t seem to be slowing down anytime soon.
I’d use some of those props as well for bet365’s 50 percent Super Profit Boost for SGPs on Friday’s slate. Walker o15.5 outs, Turner o1.5 total bases, Phillies money line and Phillies o3.5 runs sits at +390 before the boost is applied on NJ betting apps and PA sports betting apps.
BetMGM has an Any Sport No Sweat Token for which I’d lean into the Phillies hitters. Turner, Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto to each have Over 1.5 total bases gets you to +575.
Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.