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Eagles at Vikings: Odds, Picks, and Predictions for the 2025 Carson Wentz Bowl
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Just like we all expected, the Philadelphia Eagles travel to Minneapolis to take on a Vikings team led by Carson Wentz. The Birds are riding a losing streak for the first time since 2023 as sports talk radio raises the concern level to DEFCON on million. But winning cures all, and a dispatching of the Vikes would move the Eagles to 5-2 on the season, good for first place in the NFC East.
They’ll clash with a Vikings team that, despite averaging a slightly higher 23.8 points per game, will need to keep the Eagles out of the red zone, where the offense pops. Minnesota counters with superstar in Justin Jefferson and home field advantage.
Eagles vs Vikings Odds
The consensus odds favor the visiting Eagles in what oddsmakers expect to be a tightly contested affair. Philly enters as slight 1.5-point road favorite, with a moneyline price of -132. The point total is set at 43.5, indicating that sportsbooks anticipate a defensive battle rather than a high-scoring shootout.
| Bet Type | Philadelphia Eagles | Minnesota Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+109) | +1.5 (-128) |
| Moneyline | -132 | +110 |
| Total Points | Over 43.5 (-115) | Under 43.5 (-105) |
As the road favorites, a successful $10 wager on the Eagles moneyline (-132) would net a profit of $7.58. Conversely, a winning $10 bet on the underdog Vikings at +110 odds would yield a higher return, producing an $11.00 profit. This pricing reflects a game that oddsmakers believe is nearly a coin flip, with the Eagles getting the slightest of edges despite playing away from the Linc.
Statistical Breakdown Reveals Key Mismatches
When examining the statistical profiles of both teams, the numbers reveal two evenly-matched squads with contrasting strengths that could determine the game’s outcome. While their scoring outputs are nearly identical, with Minnesota holding a razor-thin edge at 23.8 points per game to Philadelphia’s 23.7, the underlying metrics expose fascinating contrasts in offensive philosophy and defensive approach:
| Key Team Statistic | Philadelphia Eagles | Minnesota Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 23.7 | 23.8 |
| Total Yards Per Game | 274.5 | 305.0 |
| Passing Yards Per Game | 179.2 | 198.2 |
| Rushing Yards Per Game | 95.3 | 106.8 |
| 3rd Down Conversion % | 34.7% | 31.0% |
| Red Zone TD % | 87.5% | 66.7% |
| Sacks (Defense) | 9.0 | 13.0 |
| Takeaways (Defense) | 5 | 7 |
| Turnover Differential | +2 | -2 |
The most significant mismatch on paper involves Philadelphia’s historically-efficient red zone offense clashing with Minnesota’s solid defense. The Eagles have been nearly automatic once they reach the 20-yard line, converting a staggering 87.5% of their red zone possessions into touchdowns.
On the flip side, Minnesota’s offense has moved the ball effectively, averaging 305.0 total yards per game compared to Philadelphia’s 274.5, but the Vikings have struggled with ball security, committing nine turnovers this season. They’ll face an Eagles defensive unit that has tallied nine sacks and five takeaways of its own. The field position battle could be crucial, as Minnesota’s 66.7% red zone conversion rate pales in comparison to Philadelphia’s elite efficiency when drives stall in scoring position.
Quarterback Duel: Hurts vs Wentz Props Tell the Story
This matchup features a compelling quarterback battle between Carson Wentz and the guy drafted to replace him. The betting markets provide a clear snapshot of how oddsmakers view each quarterback’s projected performance, revealing different paths to offensive success:
| Player Prop | Jalen Hurts (PHI) | Carson Wentz (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards Line | 206.5 | 226.5 |
| Passing TDs Line | 1.5 (Under -215) | 1.5 (Under -140) |
| Rushing Yards Line | 33.5 | 9.5 |
| To Throw an Interception | +125 (Yes) / -164 (No) | -114 (Yes) / -114 (No) |
The props highlight the contrasting quarterback identities perfectly. Wentz is projected for 226.5 passing yards, suggesting Minnesota may lean heavily on their air attack with Jefferson. However, the market prices him as a coin flip to throw an interception at -114, aligning with the Vikings’ season-long turnover struggles.
Conversely, Hurts’ passing yardage line sits at a modest 206.5, but his rushing prop of 33.5 yards signals the Eagles’ commitment to utilizing his mobility in their hopefully-improved ground and pound approach. The market strongly expects him to protect the football, pricing the odds of avoiding an interception at -164. Given the Birds’ league-leading red zone execution and Hurts’ pocket presence, his ability to limit mistakes gives the Eagles a clear advantage in quarterback play.
Key Player Props
Quarterback Props
- Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards Over 206.5 (-112) / Under 206.5 (-116), Passing TDs Over 1.5 (+160) / Under 1.5 (-215)
- Carson Wentz: Passing Yards Over 226.5 (-114) / Under 226.5 (-112), Passing TDs Over 1.5 (+107) / Under 1.5 (-140)
Running Back Props
- Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards Over 74.5 (-111) / Under 74.5 (-118), Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 97.5 (-114) / Under 97.5 (-113), Anytime TD Scorer -116
- Jordan Mason: Rushing Yards Over 69.5 (-115) / Under 69.5 (-116), Rushing + Receiving Yards Over 84.5 (-114) / Under 84.5 (-114), Anytime TD Scorer -108
Head-to-Head History Favors Minnesota Against the Spread
While the Eagles enter this contest as road favorites, recent history between these franchises reveals a significant trend that should give bettors pause. The Vikings have consistently outperformed expectations when facing Philly, particularly in covering the point spread.
In their last five matchups, the Eagles have struggled to create separation, posting a disappointing 1-3-1 record against the spread (.200) when facing Minnesota. This indicates that even in games Philadelphia may have won outright, the Vikings have consistently kept contests closer than oddsmakers predicted, making them profitable betting targets in this specific matchup.
Eagles vs Vikings Injury Report: Defensive Pass Rush in Jeopardy
Both teams enter this Week 7 matchup managing significant injuries, but Minnesota faces more widespread concerns with 14 players appearing on their injury report compared to Philadelphia’s six. The status of key defensive players could heavily influence the game’s flow and create substantial betting value.
| Player Name | Position | Injury | Status | Fantasy/Betting Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Calcaterra | TE | Oblique | out | Did not practice all week, solidifying Dallas Goedert’s role as the primary pass-catching tight end with fewer target competitors. |
| Jalen Carter | DT | Heel | Questionable | A limited Carter would significantly impact the Eagles’ interior pass rush, potentially giving Carson Wentz more time to find Justin Jefferson downfield. |
| Jonathan Greenard | OLB | Hamstring | Limited Participation In Practice | Key component of Minnesota’s 13-sack defensive unit. His absence could give Jalen Hurts a cleaner pocket to operate from, boosting his passing props. |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | OLB | Neck | out | Another crucial pass rusher for the Vikings. If both Greenard and Van Ginkel are limited, Minnesota’s defensive schemes could be severely compromised. |
| Brian O’Neill | T | Knee | Questionable | Starting tackle’s potential absence against Philadelphia’s front seven could lead to increased pressure on Wentz and impact Minnesota’s offensive rhythm. |
The Vikings’ defense, built on creating pressure and forcing turnovers, faces a precarious situation with two of their top edge rushers compromised. If Minnesota can’t generate consistent pass rush, it places enormous strain on their secondary to cover A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert in single coverage. Conversely, a questionable Jalen Carter could ease things for Minnesota’s offense, though Brian O’Neill’s potential absence might negate that advantage entirely.
Eagles vs Vikings Prediction: Best Bets for Week 7 Road Test
The key trend supporting the Vikings is their performance when getting points: Minnesota is 4-1 against the spread (.800) in their last five games as underdogs. Combined with their 3-1-1 ATS success against Philadelphia in recent meetings, the value clearly lies with the home team to keep this game within the number.
If you believe, however, the Birds have gotten things straightened out, then…
Best Bets:
- Eagles moneyline (-132): don’t overthink it
- ladder the over at 41, 42, or 43 (-165, -150, -130): Minnesota is 5-1 to the over and the Birds are 3-3
- Carson Wentz Over 0.5 Interceptions (-114): you know it’s probably going to happen
The field position battle will be crucial in this game.
disclaimer: AI helped in the creation of this story, and if you don’t like it, ask to speak to the manager
Kevin has been writing about Philadelphia sports since 2009. He spent seven years in the CBS 3 sports department and started with the Union during the team's 2010 inaugural season. He went to the academic powerhouses of Boyertown High School and West Virginia University. email - k.kinkead@sportradar.com