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Eagles a Three-Point Favorite in Dallas as Cowboys Prepare for Their 2025 Super Bowl
By Joe Tansey
Published:
It’s time to break out your favorite sports talk radio host’s cliche and the Admiral Ackbar GIFs.
The Eagles face the classic Trap Game on Sunday as just a three-point favorite at BetMGM against the Dallas Cowboys.
The line is stinky, even if the Eagles offense hasn’t clicked at all over the last few weeks.
The No. 1 team in the NFC should easily beat a below .500 team with only a glimmer of hope left to just make a late run at the postseason.
Dallas probably thinks they’re getting the Eagles at the right time. The Cowboys just eviscerated the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday night in their first game off a bye, but the Crossing Broad staff could probably put up at least one touchdown on the Raiders D (as long as Kinkead’s hammy is healthy).
It’s a false flag if you ever saw one. Dallas isn’t going to make the playoffs. It’s too hard to do so mathematically with all the teams in front of them.
So that leads to Sunday essentially being the Cowboys’ Super Bowl. They have a high-profile Thanksgiving game against the Chiefs, but the Eagles have the best record of the teams left on their schedule, plus they are a divisional foe.
The only way Dallas can win its through its passing game. No one expects Javonte Williams to run for much against an Eagles defense that held three of its last four opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Log on to PA sports betting apps and New Jersey sports betting apps and take the Under 66.5 rushing yards at bet365 for Williams. Remember, he only had success in Week 1 against the Eagles because Jalen Carter got tossed.
Dak Prescott to have Over 36.5 pass attempts is the prop play from Dallas’ perspective. He’s had at least 30 pass attempts in all but one of his games and three of his four highest pass attempt totals in 2025 have come inside AT&T Stadium.
The win over Las Vegas could also be a false flag that the Dallas defense is for real. Quinnen Williams and Logan Wilson were brought in through trades, but again, there’s not much to boast about when shutting down the Raiders these days.
This is still a flawed Dallas defense that ranks sixth in most total yards allowed.
A lot of focus will be on A.J. Brown for obvious reasons, but I think there’s a value play we’ve ignored (for good reason) up until last week.
Jahan Dotson had two catches for 43 yards on Sunday night against the Lions. That was his most productive game since Week 1 against the Cowboys.
Dotson’s props of Over 10.5 receiving yards and Over 1.5 receptions (at a cool +165) are worth targeting against this type of defense and within a passing game that needs to evolve to be Super Bowl worthy.
As for Brown, he had six more targets than any of his teammates against the Lions. DeVonta Smith is typically the Cowboys killer, but that target share is significant.
I would easily play Brown’s Over 4.5 receptions with last week’s numbers in mind.
If you want to get wild, Brown o4.5 receptions, Dotson o10.5 receiving yards, Williams u66.5 rushing yards, and a Jalen Hurts touchdown (-110 at bet365) gets you to +1050 for a Same Game Parlay.
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Joe Tansey writes sports betting posts for Crossing Broad and also covers the Philadelphia Union for his Substack site, Union Soccer Blog.